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re: Haynesville Shale

Posted on 6/5/08 at 9:08 pm to
Posted by DandyPimp
New Orleans
Member since Jan 2007
1091 posts
Posted on 6/5/08 at 9:08 pm to
Not sure the # per acre, just know he made 5% of 100M
Posted by DrWAVeSport
Shreveport, LA
Member since Jun 2008
19 posts
Posted on 6/5/08 at 9:15 pm to
Per leasing with land men: Good friends of mine leased this past Fall 100+ acres in south Caddo parish for $120/acre and small royalty...my neighbor just signed lease on 13 acres/$9,000/acre and 25% royalty...7+ months have passed between these two deals. One signed through a representative of an O&G co. and one signed directly with the O&G. The JP Morgan fellas believe that lease-hold (interest only) contracts per acre (with some kind of computer mumbo-jumbo about a royalty calculation worked into their computer models) are worth (to the mineral owner) as of May 08...between $10K and $42K per acre/Bonus moneys. Spoke with them myself. Big spread. Today...I still talk with landowners in Shreveport/Bossier/Red River/Desoto who are being approached for $2K up to $5K Bonus moneys and are being told that this "deal" is a one shot...this day only offer by the O&G companies. Nothing adds up here. And...the O&G companies are submitting legal notices to the State Conservation Commissioner that include "force pooling" clauses in them. Not voluntary pooling...force pooling.

We need the straight talk from O&G experts that will help the mineral owners get a GREAT deal on their contracts. The O&Gs will be reaping thousands of X's the benefits and $$$$ far longer than the mineral owners. I don't see why any landowner...large...or small...should be getting schmucked in this process. Not one dime will the O&G CEO's be losing sleep over...they have already schmucked over 300,000 acres of landowners last Fall.

I think all sides of the Haynesville Shale Play could get GREAT deals if the leasors had as much integrity as my fellow neighbor leasees possess. Especially those who signed this past Fall, in good faith, with these companies (that "knew" what was sitting under the surface and "knew" exactly how this play was going down)!

Thanks for all the inside info you all are providing...It helps all of us in this HSP.

DrWAVeSport 6/5/08 p.m.

P.O. Check out Questar (bought lease-hold interest only in 22,000 acres (one parcel in Red River and one parcel in Bienville parishes)for $655 Million on Feb. 29, 2008. Press release 3/3/08. Questar/out of Utah....not even a big player in this play...
Posted by GeneralLee
Member since Aug 2004
13112 posts
Posted on 6/5/08 at 9:57 pm to
are you hearing the same info that Benton appears to be the dividing line on the north side between the profitable and non profitable acreage?
Posted by Tiger JJ
Member since Aug 2010
545 posts
Posted on 6/5/08 at 10:25 pm to
quote:

The JP Morgan fellas believe that lease-hold (interest only) contracts per acre (with some kind of computer mumbo-jumbo about a royalty calculation worked into their computer models) are worth (to the mineral owner) as of May 08...between $10K and $42K per acre/Bonus moneys. Spoke with them myself


I just spoke to a contact in Shreveport who said the local paper there today was talking $4500-6500 per acre upfront. I figure if they're actually printing that, the real figure HAS to be much higher.
Posted by Tiger JJ
Member since Aug 2010
545 posts
Posted on 6/5/08 at 10:32 pm to
Questar article

Man, Bienville is getting pretty far away from DeSoto...
Posted by jwinfree
Deville
Member since Jun 2008
4 posts
Posted on 6/6/08 at 7:01 am to
I am a landowner in Southern Sabine Parish and I am told that the shale is too deep that far South. Does that mean that eventually they may move into that area? It seems that the upfront costs to drill are really small beans compared to the returns everyone is talking about. There is very little information about the actual size of the Haynesville Shale. I am sure that it is in the best interest of the oil companies to keep this quiet because they are already having to pay a lot higher prices than they were before the news broke. I have also been researching this topic all over the internet and have learned more about the Haynesville Shale on this blog than anywhere else. Please keep it up and thanks for the information.
Posted by TigerDog83
Member since Oct 2005
8346 posts
Posted on 6/6/08 at 7:15 am to
quote:

I think all sides of the Haynesville Shale Play could get GREAT deals if the leasors had as much integrity as my fellow neighbor leasees possess. Especially those who signed this past Fall, in good faith, with these companies (that "knew" what was sitting under the surface and "knew" exactly how this play was going down)!


Typical response from someone uneducated about this business. Nobody "knew" that this play would get this hot so quickly. If you bought stock a year ago for $10 a share and today it was worth $50 a share would you be upset because you sold out at $10? It is practical business sense to buy things as cheaply as possible. A year ago landowners were happy to get $250 per acre, as it was a great deal around here. Nobody was taken advantage of by signing a lease for a smaller bonus, that was the going rate at the time. You need to stop reading the Marxist propaganda from the Times and start doing some rational thinking.
Posted by TigerDog83
Member since Oct 2005
8346 posts
Posted on 6/6/08 at 7:20 am to
quote:

P.O. Check out Questar (bought lease-hold interest only in 22,000 acres (one parcel in Red River and one parcel in Bienville parishes)for $655 Million on Feb. 29, 2008. Press release 3/3/08. Questar/out of Utah....not even a big player in this play...


There were a lot of producing Cotton Valley wells that came with that deal, hence the high price they paid. It WAS NOT undeveloped acreage. Wells came from Will-Drill. Nice try though......
This post was edited on 6/6/08 at 7:32 am
Posted by LSU0358
Member since Jan 2005
7920 posts
Posted on 6/6/08 at 8:43 am to
quote:

I think all sides of the Haynesville Shale Play could get GREAT deals if the leasors had as much integrity as my fellow neighbor leasees possess. Especially those who signed this past Fall, in good faith, with these companies (that "knew" what was sitting under the surface and "knew" exactly how this play was going down)!


Yes, that's what people who want to stay in business do, give away money for something way above the going rate. I don't know if that attitude or the one acre multi-millionaire's make me want to laugh harder.
Posted by Pierre
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2005
5290 posts
Posted on 6/6/08 at 8:51 am to
quote:

Nobody "knew" that this play would get this hot so quickly. If you bought stock a year ago for $10 a share and today it was worth $50 a share would you be upset because you sold out at $10? It is practical business sense to buy things as cheaply as possible


Agreed. Even if they did know, it is up to the land owner to look over the offer and maybe do a little research. Then the land owner needs to decide whether or not the offer was acceptable.

It is not up to the oil companies to pay each land owner top dollar.
Posted by Tiger JJ
Member since Aug 2010
545 posts
Posted on 6/6/08 at 8:57 am to
Even if it were somehow up to the O & G companies to pay landowners top dollar, you'd get pretty old sitting around and waiting for them to actually do it. This is the real world.
Posted by GeneralLee
Member since Aug 2004
13112 posts
Posted on 6/6/08 at 9:08 am to
The funny thing is, if Petrohawk and others hadn't blown the whistle on the potential of this shale, Chesapeake still might be going around quietly leasing up all this land for several hundred dollars per acre. I bet they are pissed at the other companies for making their leasing costs go up so much.
Posted by LSU0358
Member since Jan 2005
7920 posts
Posted on 6/6/08 at 9:22 am to
I've read in a few places that the Petrohawk CEO is wanting to sell the company and "cash out." This could explain the news being leaked to the public. Petrohawk might think the play won't be as valuable as everyone else does. I can't figure why else he'd want to sell the company when they're sitting a potential gold mine.
Posted by GeneralLee
Member since Aug 2004
13112 posts
Posted on 6/6/08 at 10:37 am to
I was lurking on the Chesapeake message board on Yahoo and now they have a link to this topic to get as much intel from the "locals" as they can....
This post was edited on 6/6/08 at 11:57 am
Posted by Tiger JJ
Member since Aug 2010
545 posts
Posted on 6/6/08 at 10:44 am to
Posted by Bukstar
Member since Jun 2008
1 post
Posted on 6/6/08 at 11:56 am to
Is the Coushatta, Fairview Alpha, Campti area to far south to be profitable? I have about 10 acres in this area but live out of town. Any local insight would be very helpful.

Thanks.
Posted by DrWAVeSport
Shreveport, LA
Member since Jun 2008
19 posts
Posted on 6/6/08 at 12:38 pm to
Sorry...Don't mean to his a sore spot with anyone on either side of the deal making. FYI I worked for an O&G company for 10 years...I know the game.

And...YES...The SAME O&G Players in the Barnett are the SAME as in the Haynesville. The Barnett shakedown started almost 3 years ago...Same song and dance that is playing out in our area.
They KNEW it all!!! They have known for years this shale was in NWLa and were insiders as to knowing they had the new technology and that the NG prices were climbing higher/in tandem with the Crude Oil prices...

Most were suckered in Ft. Worth/Arlington and most have been suckered in NWLa. Nothing personal to anyone...not from my point of view.
Business is Business...I agree.

But, give us all a break, no one appreciates getting schmucked. Bet not even you.

And...the 800+ who attended last night's Haynesville Shale Play Meeting @ Captain Shreve H.S. in Shreveport (including the Mayor, City CAO Tom Dark, O&G attorney Lang Wedgeworth, etc.) seem to be in agreement with moi. Nobody needs to be taken complete advantage of here...That's my opine...and, nothing personal to any bloggers' opinions. Each to his own.

I am enjoying your opines too. Thanks again for the info from the other side of the play.

DrWAVeSport 6/6/08 NG @ $12.70 as we speak.
Posted by GeneralLee
Member since Aug 2004
13112 posts
Posted on 6/6/08 at 12:46 pm to
Until many more wells come online with verified results, I don't think you will see much more than the $4-6k per acre/25% royalty deals in the general Northwest LA region. The JPMorgan numbers of 10-42k per acre aren't realistic, except for a very narrow area in south Caddo/north Desoto that seems to be the honeyhole for the shale. IMO.
Posted by LSU0358
Member since Jan 2005
7920 posts
Posted on 6/6/08 at 12:54 pm to
Didn't mean to be to sarcastic. But what the Times never seems to mention is that to develop one 640 acre section you are looking at ~64 million dollars up front. This is assuming $6,000 / acre (I know a lot of people signed for less than this...but leasing the mineral rights is small change in comparison to money needed to drill the wells)for leasing mineral rights, then 6 million dollars per a well with 10 wells per a section. This does not account for building the necessary pipelines, roads, etc...

Also, I'm not financially involved on either side of the play...
Posted by DrWAVeSport
Shreveport, LA
Member since Jun 2008
19 posts
Posted on 6/6/08 at 1:08 pm to
Drop in the bucket, per the O&G companies...They have already made their money from the initial leases in each of the plays they have been involved with during the past 3 years...let alone the rise in their financials, stock and balance sheet #s. By the next quarter or two...They better have something to show to their stakeholders...so should be seeing some major claims in the near future for this run to keep getting sold by the O&Gs.

FYI, two wells going in half a mile from my property two miles south of Shreveport, Caddo.
Still haven't leased. But...my neighbor did for $9,000/acre and 25% royalty.



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