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re: Final standings are on page 10: Predict the 12/31/2014 market prices.
Posted on 12/12/14 at 3:39 pm to LSURussian
Posted on 12/12/14 at 3:39 pm to LSURussian
After a huge down day for the market this is just what I needed to cheer me up. LOL.
Posted on 12/12/14 at 6:30 pm to PlanoPrivateer
It was a brutal day.
Posted on 12/12/14 at 6:46 pm to LSURussian
Russian, as someone with a lot more in the market than me, how do you stay calm during days like this?
Granted, I myself have gotten a lot better and really don't even watch the market anymore, well much. But since before Thanksgiving my portfolio has dropped big time, although EXXI is a lot of it.
So, give myself and any other young investors some words of advice.
Granted, I myself have gotten a lot better and really don't even watch the market anymore, well much. But since before Thanksgiving my portfolio has dropped big time, although EXXI is a lot of it.
So, give myself and any other young investors some words of advice.
Posted on 12/12/14 at 7:09 pm to OnTheBrink
quote:
Russian, as someone with a lot more in the market than me, how do you stay calm during days like this?
I buy more stocks.....
Today I bought BAC (4,000 shares) and JPM (2,000 shares) about 10 minutes before the market closed. I prefer buying things when they go on sale.
Posted on 12/31/14 at 9:54 am to LSURussian
I will post the closing prices and the final list of prediction deviations this afternoon after the markets close and settle.
Posted on 12/31/14 at 3:36 pm to LSU0358
Patting myself on the back...guess on s&p of 2050, closed year at 2058.
Not so close on others.
Not so close on others.
Posted on 12/31/14 at 6:07 pm to LSURussian
Here are the closing prices/interest rates I used as posted on CNBC.com at approximately 3:45 PM CST this afternoon.
DJ30 17,823.07
S&P 2,058.90
NASDAQ 4,736.05
NIKKEI 17,450.77
AAPL 110.53
EUR/$ $1.2100
10yr 2.1703%
30yr 2.7495%
Gold $1,182.10
Silver $15.670
Oil $53.77
Natural Gas $2.918
Wholesale Gas $1.4353
Congrats to Lookin4Par for leading the group with the lowest overall deviation from the actual year end values. For winning this contest Lookin4par's TigerDroppings.com membership will be free for the entire year of 2015.....unless Chicken decides to start charging membership fees.
Lookin4Par also had the closest prediction in any category by predicting a closing value for the S&P 500 Index to be 2,056.78 and the S&P closed at 2,058.90 for a deviation from actual of only 0.10%. He also had the second closest prediction overall for predicting the DowJones 30 would finish the year at 17,800.66 and it ended the year at 17,823.07 for a deviation of only 0.13%. Very impressive!
Some other category winners were:
NASDAQ: Old War Skule: 0.36% deviation. (Prediction of 4,719.00 vs. actual of 4,736.05.)
NIKKEI: djmicrobe: 0.34% deviation. (Prediction of 17,391.31 vs. actual of 17,450.77.)
AAPL: Lookin4Par: 2.24% deviation. (Prediction of $113.00 vs. actual of $110.53.)
EUR/$: OnTheBrink: 0.41% deviation. (Prediction of $1.205 vs. actual of $1.2100.)
10 year bond: ColKilgore: 6.19% deviation. (Prediction of 2.036% vs. actual of 2.1703%.)
30 year bond: ColKilgore: 8.24% deviation. (Prediction of 2.976% vs. actual of 2.7495%.)
Gold: HtownTiger: 0.42% deviation. (Prediction of $1,177.14 vs. actual of $1,182.10.)
Silver: ProjectPat: 4.28% deviation. (Prediction of $15.00 vs. actual of $15.67.)
Crude Oil: LSU0358: 26.46% deviation. (Prediction of $68.00 vs. actual of $53.77.)
Natural Gas: LSUt81: 28.513% deviation. (Prediction of $3.75 vs. actual of $2.918.)
Wholesale gasoline: LSU0358: 60.245% deviation. (Prediction of $2.30 vs. actual of $1.4353.)
The prediction with the highest overall deviation was for wholesale gasoline by ColKilgore with a deviation of 164.028%
for predicting $3.7896/gallon and the actual price at the end of the year was $1.4353/gallon.)
The percent shown below next to each poster's screen name is the average overall (all categories) percentage deviation each poster came to the actual closing values listed above.
1 Lookin4Par 26.259%
2 Walking the Earth 28.310%
3 Jed Zeppelin 28.615%
4 jerryc436 29.643%
5 C 29.992%
6 SmackoverHawg 30.443%
7 white perch 31.048%
8 LSU0358 31.257%
9 Hoodatt 31.829%
10 HtownTiger 32.664%
11 overbrook 32.699%
12 Lsut81 32.783%
13 RickAstley 34.135%
14 PlanoPrivateer 34.180%
15 LSURussian 34.538%
16 thebrowns 34.632%
17 Kill Switch 34.825%
18 ColKilgore 34.927%
19 rmc 35.205%
20 BigBoyTiger 35.731%
21 Sho Nuff 36.108%
22 ITNEVERRAINS 36.944%
23 kennypowers816 38.471%
24 djmicrobe 39.509%
25 threeputt 39.942%
26 Ole War Skule 41.041%
27 OnTheBrink 42.153%
28 ell 13 43.860%
29 reb13 44.485%
30 ProjectPat 44.839%
31 TheBigHurt 48.608%
Thanks to everyone for playing.
DJ30 17,823.07
S&P 2,058.90
NASDAQ 4,736.05
NIKKEI 17,450.77
AAPL 110.53
EUR/$ $1.2100
10yr 2.1703%
30yr 2.7495%
Gold $1,182.10
Silver $15.670
Oil $53.77
Natural Gas $2.918
Wholesale Gas $1.4353
Congrats to Lookin4Par for leading the group with the lowest overall deviation from the actual year end values. For winning this contest Lookin4par's TigerDroppings.com membership will be free for the entire year of 2015.....unless Chicken decides to start charging membership fees.
Lookin4Par also had the closest prediction in any category by predicting a closing value for the S&P 500 Index to be 2,056.78 and the S&P closed at 2,058.90 for a deviation from actual of only 0.10%. He also had the second closest prediction overall for predicting the DowJones 30 would finish the year at 17,800.66 and it ended the year at 17,823.07 for a deviation of only 0.13%. Very impressive!
Some other category winners were:
NASDAQ: Old War Skule: 0.36% deviation. (Prediction of 4,719.00 vs. actual of 4,736.05.)
NIKKEI: djmicrobe: 0.34% deviation. (Prediction of 17,391.31 vs. actual of 17,450.77.)
AAPL: Lookin4Par: 2.24% deviation. (Prediction of $113.00 vs. actual of $110.53.)
EUR/$: OnTheBrink: 0.41% deviation. (Prediction of $1.205 vs. actual of $1.2100.)
10 year bond: ColKilgore: 6.19% deviation. (Prediction of 2.036% vs. actual of 2.1703%.)
30 year bond: ColKilgore: 8.24% deviation. (Prediction of 2.976% vs. actual of 2.7495%.)
Gold: HtownTiger: 0.42% deviation. (Prediction of $1,177.14 vs. actual of $1,182.10.)
Silver: ProjectPat: 4.28% deviation. (Prediction of $15.00 vs. actual of $15.67.)
Crude Oil: LSU0358: 26.46% deviation. (Prediction of $68.00 vs. actual of $53.77.)
Natural Gas: LSUt81: 28.513% deviation. (Prediction of $3.75 vs. actual of $2.918.)
Wholesale gasoline: LSU0358: 60.245% deviation. (Prediction of $2.30 vs. actual of $1.4353.)
The prediction with the highest overall deviation was for wholesale gasoline by ColKilgore with a deviation of 164.028%
for predicting $3.7896/gallon and the actual price at the end of the year was $1.4353/gallon.)
The percent shown below next to each poster's screen name is the average overall (all categories) percentage deviation each poster came to the actual closing values listed above.
1 Lookin4Par 26.259%
2 Walking the Earth 28.310%
3 Jed Zeppelin 28.615%
4 jerryc436 29.643%
5 C 29.992%
6 SmackoverHawg 30.443%
7 white perch 31.048%
8 LSU0358 31.257%
9 Hoodatt 31.829%
10 HtownTiger 32.664%
11 overbrook 32.699%
12 Lsut81 32.783%
13 RickAstley 34.135%
14 PlanoPrivateer 34.180%
15 LSURussian 34.538%
16 thebrowns 34.632%
17 Kill Switch 34.825%
18 ColKilgore 34.927%
19 rmc 35.205%
20 BigBoyTiger 35.731%
21 Sho Nuff 36.108%
22 ITNEVERRAINS 36.944%
23 kennypowers816 38.471%
24 djmicrobe 39.509%
25 threeputt 39.942%
26 Ole War Skule 41.041%
27 OnTheBrink 42.153%
28 ell 13 43.860%
29 reb13 44.485%
30 ProjectPat 44.839%
31 TheBigHurt 48.608%
Thanks to everyone for playing.
Posted on 12/31/14 at 6:09 pm to LSURussian
Thanks for doing this Ruskie!
Lookin4Par-
Lookin4Par-
Posted on 12/31/14 at 6:44 pm to LSURussian
Below is each poster's personal best (closest to actual) prediction:
rmc: 3.15% deviation for the NIKKEI Index.
HtownTiger: 0.42% deviation for gold.
Hoodatt: 1.57% deviation for the DowJones 30.
SmackoverHawg: 0.15% deviation for the DowJones 30.
LSU0358: 0.43% deviation for the S&P 500 Index.
C: 2.72% deviation for gold.
Kill Switch: 4.5% deviation for gold.
djmicrobe: 0.34% deviation for the NIKKEI Index.
threeputt: 0.58% deviation for gold.
OnTheBrink: 0.41% deviation for the EUR/$ exchange rate.
white perch: 1.81% deviation for the DowJones 30.
Walking the Earth: 0.99% deviation for the DowJones 30.
Sho Nuff: 1.23% deviation for the NIKKEI Index.
PlanoPrivateer: 1.40% deviation for the S&P500 Index.
RickAstley: 2.00% deviation for the DowJones 30 Index.
ell 13: 11.07% deviation for the DowJones 30 Index.
overbrook: 0.67% deviation for the NASDAQ.
thebrowns: 1.47% deviation for the NIKKEI Index.
jerryc436: 0.31% deviation for the DowJones 30 Index.
Ole War Skule: 0.36% deviation for theNASDAQ.
Jed Zeppelin: 1.75% deviation for the NIKKEI Index.
reb13: 3.80% deviation for the DowJones 30 Index.
ColKilgore: 1.97% deviation for gold.
ITNEVERRAINS: 1.81% deviation for the DowJones 30 Index.
Lsut81: 4.07% deviation for the S&P 500 Index.
TheBigHurt: 17.52% deviation for the DowJones 30 Index.
BigBoyTiger: 1.07% deviation for gold.
ProjectPat: 4.28% deviation for silver.
kennypowers816: 2.34% deviation for the NIKKEI Index.
Lookin4Par: 0.10% deviation for the S&P500 Index.
LSURussian: 3.16% deviation for the NIKKEI Index.
rmc: 3.15% deviation for the NIKKEI Index.
HtownTiger: 0.42% deviation for gold.
Hoodatt: 1.57% deviation for the DowJones 30.
SmackoverHawg: 0.15% deviation for the DowJones 30.
LSU0358: 0.43% deviation for the S&P 500 Index.
C: 2.72% deviation for gold.
Kill Switch: 4.5% deviation for gold.
djmicrobe: 0.34% deviation for the NIKKEI Index.
threeputt: 0.58% deviation for gold.
OnTheBrink: 0.41% deviation for the EUR/$ exchange rate.
white perch: 1.81% deviation for the DowJones 30.
Walking the Earth: 0.99% deviation for the DowJones 30.
Sho Nuff: 1.23% deviation for the NIKKEI Index.
PlanoPrivateer: 1.40% deviation for the S&P500 Index.
RickAstley: 2.00% deviation for the DowJones 30 Index.
ell 13: 11.07% deviation for the DowJones 30 Index.
overbrook: 0.67% deviation for the NASDAQ.
thebrowns: 1.47% deviation for the NIKKEI Index.
jerryc436: 0.31% deviation for the DowJones 30 Index.
Ole War Skule: 0.36% deviation for theNASDAQ.
Jed Zeppelin: 1.75% deviation for the NIKKEI Index.
reb13: 3.80% deviation for the DowJones 30 Index.
ColKilgore: 1.97% deviation for gold.
ITNEVERRAINS: 1.81% deviation for the DowJones 30 Index.
Lsut81: 4.07% deviation for the S&P 500 Index.
TheBigHurt: 17.52% deviation for the DowJones 30 Index.
BigBoyTiger: 1.07% deviation for gold.
ProjectPat: 4.28% deviation for silver.
kennypowers816: 2.34% deviation for the NIKKEI Index.
Lookin4Par: 0.10% deviation for the S&P500 Index.
LSURussian: 3.16% deviation for the NIKKEI Index.
Posted on 12/31/14 at 8:47 pm to LSURussian
Give me a quick financial primer: with the large deviations, does this mean that we all kind of suck?
Posted on 12/31/14 at 8:56 pm to Walking the Earth
Pretty much.
But it was the interest rates, oil, nat gas and wholesale gas which crushed most of our predictions.
But it was the interest rates, oil, nat gas and wholesale gas which crushed most of our predictions.
Posted on 12/31/14 at 10:02 pm to LSURussian
quote:
lookin4Par
Golf clap
Posted on 1/1/15 at 6:45 am to LSURussian
quote:
12 Lsut81 32.783%
I'll take it
I'll do better next year... I continue to learn about the economy and market. I know just enough to be dangerous at this point
Posted on 1/1/15 at 8:10 am to Lsut81
quote:Speaking of "next year," 2014 was my fourth year to coordinate the predictions thread and I'm ready for someone else to do it.
I'll do better next year.
Any volunteers out there?
Posted on 1/1/15 at 8:18 am to LSURussian
quote:
Speaking of "next year," 2014 was my fourth year to coordinate the predictions thread and I'm ready for someone else to do it.
Any volunteers out there?
LOL, not me... Unless you want me to go ahead and declare myself the winner and you in a close 2nd place
Spreadsheets are not my thing
Posted on 1/1/15 at 8:23 am to Lsut81
I understand.
Anyone else?
FTR, I'm not going to do it again so if no one wants to do it, we'll not have a predictions thread.
Anyone else?
FTR, I'm not going to do it again so if no one wants to do it, we'll not have a predictions thread.
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