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Started By
Message
Final standings are on page 10: Predict the 12/31/2014 market prices.
Posted on 12/31/13 at 5:52 pm
Posted on 12/31/13 at 5:52 pm
Predict where the markets will be one year from now!
To be eligible for the Grand Prize at the end of the year, you must make a prediction in each of the categories below. You can choose to not make a prediction in some of the categories and still be eligible to win the individual categories you do predict but not the overall championship.
Winners in individual categories will be decided by having a prediction with the smallest deviation from the actual 2014 year end prices. The overall winner will be determined by having the smallest average deviation from actual prices for all the categories below.
All predictions must be posted by 8:00 PM, January 12, 2014 and no edits to predictions after that date are allowed.
ETA: We will use the market data provided by the CNBC website for our prices.
The prediction categories and their 12/31/13 values are:
DowJones 30 Average: 16,576.66
S&P 500 Index: 1,848.36
NASDAQ: 4,176.59
Japan Nikkei Index: 16,291.31
Apple Computer (AAPL): $561.02
Euro/$: $1.3756
10 YR Bond Yield: 3.036%
30 YR Bond Yield: 3.976%
Gold/Oz: $1,205.20
Silver/Oz: $19.52
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $98.62
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $4.248
Wholesale Gasoline/gal: $2.7896
I'll be making my predictions in a follow-up post.
Good luck everyone!
To be eligible for the Grand Prize at the end of the year, you must make a prediction in each of the categories below. You can choose to not make a prediction in some of the categories and still be eligible to win the individual categories you do predict but not the overall championship.
Winners in individual categories will be decided by having a prediction with the smallest deviation from the actual 2014 year end prices. The overall winner will be determined by having the smallest average deviation from actual prices for all the categories below.
All predictions must be posted by 8:00 PM, January 12, 2014 and no edits to predictions after that date are allowed.
ETA: We will use the market data provided by the CNBC website for our prices.
The prediction categories and their 12/31/13 values are:
DowJones 30 Average: 16,576.66
S&P 500 Index: 1,848.36
NASDAQ: 4,176.59
Japan Nikkei Index: 16,291.31
Apple Computer (AAPL): $561.02
Euro/$: $1.3756
10 YR Bond Yield: 3.036%
30 YR Bond Yield: 3.976%
Gold/Oz: $1,205.20
Silver/Oz: $19.52
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $98.62
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $4.248
Wholesale Gasoline/gal: $2.7896
I'll be making my predictions in a follow-up post.
Good luck everyone!
This post was edited on 12/31/14 at 6:08 pm
38
Posted on 12/31/13 at 7:46 pm to LSURussian
Posted on 12/31/13 at 7:47 pm to ell_13
Are you going to play? Make your predictions. Give it a shot.
Posted on 12/31/13 at 8:01 pm to LSURussian
Yeah. I'm playing. Mostly shots in the dark though. But that's usually when I have the most fun with these things.
Posted on 12/31/13 at 8:06 pm to ell_13
It's a shot in the dark for all of us. It's all just for fun.
Posted on 12/31/13 at 11:03 pm to LSURussian
quote:
It's all just for fun.
Whoa, Whoa! No free membership on the line this year?
Posted on 12/31/13 at 11:07 pm to LSURussian
DowJones 30 Average: 17,200
S&P 500 Index: 1980
NASDAQ: 4,400
Japan Nikkei Index: 19,000
Apple Computer (AAPL): $650
Euro/$: $1.45
10 YR Bond Yield: 3.3%
30 YR Bond Yield: 4.5%
Gold/Oz: $1,150
Silver/Oz: $19.50
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $80
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $4.78
Wholesale Gasoline/gal: $2.50
S&P 500 Index: 1980
NASDAQ: 4,400
Japan Nikkei Index: 19,000
Apple Computer (AAPL): $650
Euro/$: $1.45
10 YR Bond Yield: 3.3%
30 YR Bond Yield: 4.5%
Gold/Oz: $1,150
Silver/Oz: $19.50
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $80
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $4.78
Wholesale Gasoline/gal: $2.50
Posted on 1/1/14 at 9:06 am to LSURussian
DowJones 30 Average: 17,135.50
S&P 500 Index: 1,910.23
NASDAQ: 4,323.12
Japan Nikkei Index: 18,000.00
Apple Computer (AAPL): $450.66
Euro/$: $1.25
10 YR Bond Yield: 2.875%
30 YR Bond Yield: 3.875%
Gold/Oz: $1,300.00
Silver/Oz: $23.16
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $100.00
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $4.73
Wholesale Gasoline/gal: $3.02
Lot of shots in the dark here. Feel like Apple is going to regress a bit. Metals make a slight comeback after being all over the map the entire year. Overall up year but not like this past year.
S&P 500 Index: 1,910.23
NASDAQ: 4,323.12
Japan Nikkei Index: 18,000.00
Apple Computer (AAPL): $450.66
Euro/$: $1.25
10 YR Bond Yield: 2.875%
30 YR Bond Yield: 3.875%
Gold/Oz: $1,300.00
Silver/Oz: $23.16
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $100.00
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $4.73
Wholesale Gasoline/gal: $3.02
Lot of shots in the dark here. Feel like Apple is going to regress a bit. Metals make a slight comeback after being all over the map the entire year. Overall up year but not like this past year.
Posted on 1/1/14 at 10:17 am to LSURussian
DowJones 30 Average: 17,500
S&P 500 Index: 2,000
NASDAQ: 4,500
Japan Nikkei Index: 17,000
Apple Computer (AAPL): $600.00
Euro/$: $1.00
10 YR Bond Yield: 2.036%
30 YR Bond Yield: 2.976%
Gold/Oz: $1,000
Silver/Oz: $15.00
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $100.00
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $7.00
Wholesale Gasoline/gal: $2.75
these are all just wild arse guesses but what the hell
S&P 500 Index: 2,000
NASDAQ: 4,500
Japan Nikkei Index: 17,000
Apple Computer (AAPL): $600.00
Euro/$: $1.00
10 YR Bond Yield: 2.036%
30 YR Bond Yield: 2.976%
Gold/Oz: $1,000
Silver/Oz: $15.00
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $100.00
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $7.00
Wholesale Gasoline/gal: $2.75
these are all just wild arse guesses but what the hell
This post was edited on 1/1/14 at 10:51 am
Posted on 1/1/14 at 10:20 am to white perch
quote:Guess something! Otherwise you won't be included in the overall standings at the end of this year.
Japan Nikkei Index: no f'ing clue
Just put today's starting value if nothing else.
Posted on 1/1/14 at 10:24 am to LSURussian
DowJones 30 Average: 15,850
S&P 500 Index: 1,785
NASDAQ: 4,000
Japan Nikkei Index: 15,200
Apple Computer (AAPL): $550
Euro/$: $1.4100
10 YR Bond Yield: 3.3%
30 YR Bond Yield: 4.5%
Gold/Oz: $1,450
Silver/Oz: $26.50
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $108.00
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $3.90
Wholesale Gasoline/gal: $3.30
S&P 500 Index: 1,785
NASDAQ: 4,000
Japan Nikkei Index: 15,200
Apple Computer (AAPL): $550
Euro/$: $1.4100
10 YR Bond Yield: 3.3%
30 YR Bond Yield: 4.5%
Gold/Oz: $1,450
Silver/Oz: $26.50
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $108.00
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $3.90
Wholesale Gasoline/gal: $3.30
Posted on 1/1/14 at 10:49 am to LSURussian
quote:
Japan Nikkei Index: no f'ing clue
I'll go with 17,000
I'll edit my first post
Posted on 1/1/14 at 10:56 am to LSURussian
DowJones 30 Average: 18904.39
S&P 500 Index: 2650.71
NASDAQ: 4,704.16
Japan Nikkei Index: 16,720.57
Apple Computer (AAPL): $642.99
Euro/$: $1.3457
10 YR Bond Yield: 3.482%
30 YR Bond Yield: 4.295%
Gold/Oz: $1,1101.50
Silver/Oz: $18.94
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $94.80
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $4.478
Wholesale Gasoline/gal: $2.6295
S&P 500 Index: 2650.71
NASDAQ: 4,704.16
Japan Nikkei Index: 16,720.57
Apple Computer (AAPL): $642.99
Euro/$: $1.3457
10 YR Bond Yield: 3.482%
30 YR Bond Yield: 4.295%
Gold/Oz: $1,1101.50
Silver/Oz: $18.94
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $94.80
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $4.478
Wholesale Gasoline/gal: $2.6295
Posted on 1/1/14 at 11:43 am to white perch
quote:
I'll go with 17,000
I'll edit my first post
Posted on 1/2/14 at 9:14 am to LSURussian
DowJones 30 Average: 17,154.14
S&P 500 Index: 1,914.14
NASDAQ: 4,314.14
Japan Nikkei Index: 16,814.14
Apple Computer (AAPL): $577.14
Euro/$: $1.2914
10 YR Bond Yield: 3.414%
30 YR Bond Yield: 4.314%
Gold/Oz: $1,177.14
Silver/Oz: $18.14
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $88.14
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $5.014
Wholesale Gasoline/gal: $2.914
S&P 500 Index: 1,914.14
NASDAQ: 4,314.14
Japan Nikkei Index: 16,814.14
Apple Computer (AAPL): $577.14
Euro/$: $1.2914
10 YR Bond Yield: 3.414%
30 YR Bond Yield: 4.314%
Gold/Oz: $1,177.14
Silver/Oz: $18.14
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $88.14
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $5.014
Wholesale Gasoline/gal: $2.914
Posted on 1/2/14 at 9:35 am to LSURussian
DowJones 30 Average: 14,560.63
S&P 500 Index: 1,615.80
NASDAQ: 3,516.19
Japan Nikkei Index: 15,100.31
Apple Computer (AAPL): $502.02
Euro/$: $1.205
10 YR Bond Yield: 3.5%
30 YR Bond Yield: 4.2%
Gold/Oz: $1,450.20
Silver/Oz: $25.52
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $90.62
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $4.52
Wholesale Gasoline/gal: $3.02
S&P 500 Index: 1,615.80
NASDAQ: 3,516.19
Japan Nikkei Index: 15,100.31
Apple Computer (AAPL): $502.02
Euro/$: $1.205
10 YR Bond Yield: 3.5%
30 YR Bond Yield: 4.2%
Gold/Oz: $1,450.20
Silver/Oz: $25.52
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $90.62
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $4.52
Wholesale Gasoline/gal: $3.02
Posted on 1/2/14 at 1:15 pm to LSURussian
DowJones 30 Average: 17,467.13
S&P 500 Index: 2,106.77
NASDAQ: 4,371.42
Japan Nikkei Index: 17,899.19
Apple Computer (AAPL): $525.89
Euro/$: $1.47
10 YR Bond Yield: 3.053%
30 YR Bond Yield: 4.157%
Gold/Oz: $1,274.18
Silver/Oz: $25.37
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $95.15
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $4.45
Wholesale Gasoline/gal: $2.65
S&P 500 Index: 2,106.77
NASDAQ: 4,371.42
Japan Nikkei Index: 17,899.19
Apple Computer (AAPL): $525.89
Euro/$: $1.47
10 YR Bond Yield: 3.053%
30 YR Bond Yield: 4.157%
Gold/Oz: $1,274.18
Silver/Oz: $25.37
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $95.15
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $4.45
Wholesale Gasoline/gal: $2.65
Posted on 1/2/14 at 1:33 pm to RickAstley
The Dow will be slightly lower than today as a lot of economists say this bull run will slow down. What this means for you? Buy blue chip stocks, let those dividends compound, and enjoy the ride.
Posted on 1/2/14 at 2:27 pm to LSURussian
DowJones 30 Average: 18,500
S&P 500 Index: 2,050
NASDAQ: 4,500
Japan Nikkei Index: 16,000
Apple Computer (AAPL): $500
Euro/$: $1.10
10 YR Bond Yield: 3.7%
30 YR Bond Yield: 4.2%
Gold/Oz: $1,400.20
Silver/Oz: $24
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $68
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $4.75
Wholesale Gasoline/gal: $2.30
S&P 500 Index: 2,050
NASDAQ: 4,500
Japan Nikkei Index: 16,000
Apple Computer (AAPL): $500
Euro/$: $1.10
10 YR Bond Yield: 3.7%
30 YR Bond Yield: 4.2%
Gold/Oz: $1,400.20
Silver/Oz: $24
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $68
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $4.75
Wholesale Gasoline/gal: $2.30
Posted on 1/2/14 at 5:04 pm to LSURussian
Thanks for running this annual contest. My guesses are:
Dow Jones 30 Average: 18,250
S&P 500 Index: 2030
NASDAQ: 4600
Japan Nikkei Index: 17000
Apple Computer (AAPL): $575
Euro/$: $1.25
10 YR Bond Yield: 4.0%
30 YR Bond Yield: 5.1%
Gold/Oz: $1,150
Silver/Oz: $18.50
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $95.00
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $4.50
Wholesale Gasoline/gal: $2.65
Edited to changed Nikkei from 1700 to 17000.
Dow Jones 30 Average: 18,250
S&P 500 Index: 2030
NASDAQ: 4600
Japan Nikkei Index: 17000
Apple Computer (AAPL): $575
Euro/$: $1.25
10 YR Bond Yield: 4.0%
30 YR Bond Yield: 5.1%
Gold/Oz: $1,150
Silver/Oz: $18.50
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $95.00
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $4.50
Wholesale Gasoline/gal: $2.65
Edited to changed Nikkei from 1700 to 17000.
This post was edited on 1/6/14 at 5:33 pm
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