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2023 stock picking challenge thread

Posted on 12/30/22 at 8:19 am
Posted by GeneralLee
Member since Aug 2004
13106 posts
Posted on 12/30/22 at 8:19 am
Not sure who won the 2022 thread, probably someone who picked an energy stock.

But, anyways, submit your pick by market open on 1/3/23 for next year's contest for the stock you think will go up the most by 12/31/23. I'll go with ORGN.
This post was edited on 1/1/23 at 7:28 pm
Posted by Tmcgin
BATON ROUGE
Member since Jun 2010
5087 posts
Posted on 12/30/22 at 8:48 am to
2022 or someone who shorted
DWAC and Tesla ??
Posted by makersmark1
earth
Member since Oct 2011
16016 posts
Posted on 12/30/22 at 9:28 am to
Verizon, VZ

It is dogcrap.
Posted by jsk020
Nola
Member since Jan 2013
1700 posts
Posted on 12/30/22 at 10:01 am to
NEE
Posted by el Gaucho
He/They
Member since Dec 2010
53143 posts
Posted on 12/30/22 at 10:15 am to
I’m gonna say Michael burrys jail stock

They gonna get that big fema camp contract
Posted by ynlvr
Rocket City
Member since Feb 2009
4598 posts
Posted on 12/30/22 at 11:12 am to
I'll play . . . ZS
Posted by SaDaTayMoses
Member since Oct 2005
4324 posts
Posted on 12/30/22 at 12:01 pm to
Constellation Energy Corp. (CEG)
Posted by SmackoverHawg
Member since Oct 2011
27381 posts
Posted on 12/30/22 at 1:30 pm to
quote:

Not sure who won the 2022 thread, probably someone who picked an energy stock.


Whoever picked HAL. My RIG pick is gonna come up just short. I'm gonna wait and see where we close today for my 2023 pick. Watching ORGN closely.
Posted by The Baker
This is fine.
Member since Dec 2011
16185 posts
Posted on 12/30/22 at 2:13 pm to
Quantumscape

Just passed A0 milestone for 24 layer cells.

Next milestone is prototype for testing in VW cars.
Posted by damnlambert
Louisiana
Member since Oct 2019
158 posts
Posted on 12/30/22 at 2:17 pm to
LTHM maybe not 2023 but whenever lithium starts to heat up i think this will be a front runner.
Posted by Nonetheless
Luka doncic = goat
Member since Jan 2012
33007 posts
Posted on 12/30/22 at 2:38 pm to
lyft
Posted by el Gaucho
He/They
Member since Dec 2010
53143 posts
Posted on 12/30/22 at 3:06 pm to
I’m no longer bullish on lithium and think electric cars aren’t the future and by 2030 we gonna be like France where everybody drives a 20 year old car except plutocrats
Posted by astonvilla
New Jersey
Member since Dec 2005
3123 posts
Posted on 12/30/22 at 3:23 pm to
FSR (since ORGN is taken)
This post was edited on 12/30/22 at 3:24 pm
Posted by Shoalwater Cat
Pville
Member since Dec 2017
701 posts
Posted on 12/30/22 at 4:05 pm to
RMAX
Posted by Hussss
Living the Dream
Member since Oct 2016
6745 posts
Posted on 12/30/22 at 4:14 pm to
HTGM
Posted by buffbraz
Member since Nov 2005
5677 posts
Posted on 12/30/22 at 4:49 pm to
ARKK
Posted by GeneralLee
Member since Aug 2004
13106 posts
Posted on 12/30/22 at 4:54 pm to
quote:

Watching ORGN closely.


I think late Q2 into Q3 is when it moves big time once O1 plant is up and producing revenues.

Scary selloff we had this week but it's gotten some of that back.

If S&P craters before O1 plant goes live (April), then it could go under $4 and then I'm really gonna pucker up.

Once they can prove that their tech scales, the sky is the limit with licensing deals, government financing, etc. Just counting down the days until it isn't a pre-revenue stock anymore. Once they prove the tech works and is cost competitive with oil (i.e. no green premium, in fact a green discount), you can bet that majors like BASF or BP are going to make buyout offers to them.

I've run a detailed DCF for it and I think ~$20/share is fair value at the moment (in the scenario where tech scales) with a fairly conservative set of assumptions (20% cost of capital, no cost share from governments or tax incentives, single train plants, etc.). If they run dual train plants, more like $30/share fair value.
This post was edited on 12/30/22 at 4:56 pm
Posted by Bestbank Tiger
Premium Member
Member since Jan 2005
71446 posts
Posted on 12/30/22 at 9:28 pm to
I'll roll the dice on Dollar Tree. They might benefit from stagflation.
Posted by SmackoverHawg
Member since Oct 2011
27381 posts
Posted on 12/30/22 at 11:15 pm to
SLI
Posted by jlu03
San Diego
Member since Jul 2012
3321 posts
Posted on 12/31/22 at 3:16 am to
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