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Started By
Message
Vegas Odds
Posted on 10/29/18 at 9:14 pm
Posted on 10/29/18 at 9:14 pm
Vegas Oddsmakers are uncanny. Objectively, they are scary accurate. It’s around Bama -14.
Are our heads up our asses? Are they wrong? Are we just delusional Tiger fans? Do we know something they don’t?
I feel like -14 is a big spread. Maybe -7, but -14?
Are our heads up our asses? Are they wrong? Are we just delusional Tiger fans? Do we know something they don’t?
I feel like -14 is a big spread. Maybe -7, but -14?
13
Posted on 10/29/18 at 9:16 pm to Halftrack
What was the UGA line chicken little dick?
Posted on 10/29/18 at 9:16 pm to Halftrack
They haven't been very accurate in our games, though.
Posted on 10/29/18 at 9:16 pm to Halftrack
What was the spread of the miami, Auburn, Georgia games?
Posted on 10/29/18 at 9:18 pm to Halftrack
Alabama is the greatest team of all time.
LSUs offense is too inconsistent especially at passing.
I can see why the sharps in Vegas have the line where they do.
LSUs offense is too inconsistent especially at passing.
I can see why the sharps in Vegas have the line where they do.
Posted on 10/29/18 at 9:21 pm to Halftrack
Vegas has had a terrible read on LSU all year. LSU’s offensive metrics are very ugly but those metrics don’t account for players making clutch plays in key moments.
Posted on 10/29/18 at 9:23 pm to Halftrack
What was the Ohio State/ Purdue spread a couple of weeks ago?’
Posted on 10/29/18 at 9:28 pm to 4LSU2
They don’t care what the final is, they want 50 percent of bets on one side and 50 percent on the other
Posted on 10/29/18 at 9:36 pm to tigerbacon
^^^ this.
It has mire to do with bettors perception than football analysis. The want 50/50 a ton. The result is a push to them and they make their money on the percentage take.
It has mire to do with bettors perception than football analysis. The want 50/50 a ton. The result is a push to them and they make their money on the percentage take.
Posted on 10/29/18 at 9:38 pm to Halftrack
Make it bigger. Trying to bank off the moneyline
Posted on 10/29/18 at 10:07 pm to Fishhead
Hit the money line on all three of these.
LSU is currently +435. Hammer time baby!!
LSU is currently +435. Hammer time baby!!
Posted on 10/29/18 at 10:08 pm to tigerbacon
Wrong. They want to set lines like MSU being favored vs A&M and all the money pouring in on the Aggies due to public misconceptions about team strength.
There is a large percentage of the population that will bet Bama no matter what the line is, so they’ve inflated it a bit.
There is a large percentage of the population that will bet Bama no matter what the line is, so they’ve inflated it a bit.
Posted on 10/29/18 at 10:11 pm to Halftrack
quote:
Objectively, they are scary accurate.
Posted on 10/29/18 at 10:23 pm to Fishhead
quote:
What was the spread of the miami, Auburn, Georgia games?
Miami -3.5
Auburn -10.5
Georgia -8.5 (moved to -7)
Posted on 10/29/18 at 10:37 pm to Halftrack
Just some information below:
Alabama's average margin of victory in Baton Rouge since the 2007 game is right under 6 points per win.
LSU has covered 3 out of 5 of the last games in Tiger Stadium as dogs against Bama.
2008 - 27-21 Loss (LSU +3.5)
2010 - 21-24 Win (LSU +7.0) - Cover
2012 - 21-17 Loss (LSU +7.5) - Cover
2014 - 20-13 Loss (LSU +7.5) - Cover
2016 - 10-00 Loss (LSU +7.0)
Alabama also has only beaten LSU by double digits in Tiger Stadium once since the 2002 loss (31-0)
Alabama's average margin of victory in Baton Rouge since the 2007 game is right under 6 points per win.
LSU has covered 3 out of 5 of the last games in Tiger Stadium as dogs against Bama.
2008 - 27-21 Loss (LSU +3.5)
2010 - 21-24 Win (LSU +7.0) - Cover
2012 - 21-17 Loss (LSU +7.5) - Cover
2014 - 20-13 Loss (LSU +7.5) - Cover
2016 - 10-00 Loss (LSU +7.0)
Alabama also has only beaten LSU by double digits in Tiger Stadium once since the 2002 loss (31-0)
Posted on 10/29/18 at 10:39 pm to Halftrack
Bet the 401k baw
Posted on 10/29/18 at 10:40 pm to Halftrack
quote:Yes
Are our heads up our asses? Are they wrong? Are we just delusional Tiger fans? Do we know something they don’t?
No
Yes
No
At -14, the money will/would be heavy on Bama.
Posted on 10/29/18 at 10:46 pm to shel311
Bama will likely have that spread covered by the end of the first quarter. Bigger question is if they lose interest and let LSU back into the game and LSU can eventually cover it.
Posted on 10/29/18 at 10:49 pm to Halftrack
I’m putting $50 on LSU to win outright at 5 to 1, and $50 on LSU to beat the spread as a backup, which would pay a little under $50.
Posted on 11/4/18 at 9:28 am to Halftrack
In reviewing this post and the replies, I can see why Vegas and the oddsmakers seem to be so accurate.
Seems to me emotions take over in a lot of sports (and even elections) and the oddsmakers are just stone cold objective about it.
Seems to me emotions take over in a lot of sports (and even elections) and the oddsmakers are just stone cold objective about it.
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