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re: Top SEC Offenses of the Last 3 Years
Posted on 1/16/16 at 12:04 pm to chilge1
Posted on 1/16/16 at 12:04 pm to chilge1
2015 is really the first season recently where we underachieved.
In 2013, we had just lost basically the entire defense. In 2014, we had just lost basically the entire offense.
We did have a first-year starting quarterback in 2015, and the season started off nicely, but I thought we were going to be a 10-2 or 11-1 team this season. Didn't happen.
Next season, we should win the West. I hate to be so result-oriented like that, but it's true. Favorable schedule and the most returning we've had in a long, long time.
In 2013, we had just lost basically the entire defense. In 2014, we had just lost basically the entire offense.
We did have a first-year starting quarterback in 2015, and the season started off nicely, but I thought we were going to be a 10-2 or 11-1 team this season. Didn't happen.
Next season, we should win the West. I hate to be so result-oriented like that, but it's true. Favorable schedule and the most returning we've had in a long, long time.
Posted on 1/16/16 at 12:07 pm to BayouBengals03
quote:
And, to be fair, we were super talented (mainly on defense) from 2010-2012.
I thought that I had specified on both sides of the ball, but maybe not. Looking at the 2011 roster, the only NFL talent we had on offense was Reuben Randle and Spencer Ware, with Alfred Blue and Odell Beckham in complementary roles. Neither of our QBs and nobody from that 2011 offensive line even sniffed the NFL.
Whereas now, we are literally stacked with NFL talent at the skill positions and in the trenches.
Posted on 1/16/16 at 12:09 pm to BayouBengals03
quote:
We did have a first-year starting quarterback in 2015, and the season started off nicely, but I thought we were going to be a 10-2 or 11-1 team this season. Didn't happen.
Next season, we should win the West.
Pretty much this. I expected to be 8-0 heading into November and then split at 2-2 at minimum. Factor in the McNeese game and the fact that Alabama and Ole Miss were probably just better than we were this year, but we still should have beaten Arkansas. No excuse for that one.
Posted on 1/16/16 at 12:15 pm to chilge1
1) The 2013 offense can not be maintained yearly. Beckham and Landry are setting NFL and team records. Mett is the 1st LSU QB to start an NFL game since Matt Flynn. He's actually started more games than Flynn. Jeremy Hill had 1100 yards and 9 TDs as a rookie and although he had a sophomore slump, he finished with 795 yards and 11 TDs this year.
If we need star NFL power who are two juniors WRs, a RSSR QB, and an eligible to declare for the NFL sophomore RB, just to finish with an efficient and respectable offense, then the whole system is fudged up.
2) The 2015 offense is statistically that good because both Fournette and Guice are ridiculous RBs. We can't expect to get guys like that every year in recruiting. We haven't had an RB as good as these two since Kevin Faulk.
Again against top competition, the offense was shut down. Our three worst yards per play performances were in the month of November, and 4 of our 5 worst was the entire month of November. And they weren't slightly worse either, I'm talking the 3 worst were off by 2 yards per play. Given a typical 60-80 plays, that's an incredible 120-160 in yardage drop. This effect can be seen with the scoring as well. We averaged 32.5 ppg for the year, but only 16.5 ppg for the month of November. Every other month was significantly higher.
Outside of Bama, these weren't juggernaut defenses. Sure TAMU had a top passing defense, but anybody who watched the game knew it was more that LSU was bad than TAMU was extremely good. Sure Arkansas has a pretty good run defense this year, but that doesn't explain them sacking Harris 5 times and us being pretty much irrelevant rushing the football. They weren't THAT damn good. The sacking was especially bad seeing as the were one of the worst teams in the country in getting to the QB prior.
So yes, while the end result of the offense looked pretty on the stat sheet, digging deeper showed just how awful we were when it counted.
If we need star NFL power who are two juniors WRs, a RSSR QB, and an eligible to declare for the NFL sophomore RB, just to finish with an efficient and respectable offense, then the whole system is fudged up.
2) The 2015 offense is statistically that good because both Fournette and Guice are ridiculous RBs. We can't expect to get guys like that every year in recruiting. We haven't had an RB as good as these two since Kevin Faulk.
Again against top competition, the offense was shut down. Our three worst yards per play performances were in the month of November, and 4 of our 5 worst was the entire month of November. And they weren't slightly worse either, I'm talking the 3 worst were off by 2 yards per play. Given a typical 60-80 plays, that's an incredible 120-160 in yardage drop. This effect can be seen with the scoring as well. We averaged 32.5 ppg for the year, but only 16.5 ppg for the month of November. Every other month was significantly higher.
Outside of Bama, these weren't juggernaut defenses. Sure TAMU had a top passing defense, but anybody who watched the game knew it was more that LSU was bad than TAMU was extremely good. Sure Arkansas has a pretty good run defense this year, but that doesn't explain them sacking Harris 5 times and us being pretty much irrelevant rushing the football. They weren't THAT damn good. The sacking was especially bad seeing as the were one of the worst teams in the country in getting to the QB prior.
So yes, while the end result of the offense looked pretty on the stat sheet, digging deeper showed just how awful we were when it counted.
Posted on 1/16/16 at 12:20 pm to stewie
quote:
Let's see the balance between rush/pass yes.
Let's see what happened against top competition.
this is correct. Overall stats that include games against far lesser competition don't mean much to me.
Anyone who thinks our offense is just fine, given what we've seen the last couple years, especially against the better teams on our schedule, is simply living in a dream world.
Posted on 1/16/16 at 12:30 pm to Datbayoubengal
quote:
Again against top competition, the offense was shut down. Our three worst yards per play performances were in the month of November, and 4 of our 5 worst was the entire month of November.
We'll see how it goes. Nobody expected we'd be an offensive juggernaut this year, and there were some obvious shortcomings against top competition, but you look at where this team was last year and where we're headed, and I do believe that we will be virtually unstoppable in Harris's junior and senior years.
ETA: Against Ole Miss, Alabama, and Arkansas last year, we scored a combined 20 points.
Against Ole Miss, Alabama, and Arkansas this year, we scored a combined 47 points.
We are SLOWLY getting to where we all want to be.
This post was edited on 1/16/16 at 12:33 pm
Posted on 1/16/16 at 1:02 pm to chilge1
quote:
ETA: Against Ole Miss, Alabama, and Arkansas last year, we scored a combined 20 points. Against Ole Miss, Alabama, and Arkansas this year, we scored a combined 47 points.
Yeah we are sloooooooowly getting there, but don't you realize how pathetic that is? One of the highest paid coaching staffs in the country. An OC who was tied for the highest paid in 2014, then was the highest paid in 2015. We are 2nd to only Bama in recruiting in the SEC West, and our offensive recruiting is on par with Bama. How are we THAT pathetic?
Just for perspective, both Ole Miss and Arkansas have worse defenses this year than last year.
Arkansas Total Defense/Yards Per Play Given Up
2014 - 323.4 ypg 5.12 ypp
2015 - 391.4 ypg 6.07 ypp
Arkansas Scoring Defense
2014 - 19.2 ppg
2015 - 27.4 ppg
Ole Miss Total Defense/Yards Per Play Given Up
2014 - 329 ypg 4.67 ypp
2015 - 385.8 ypg 4.87 ypp
Ole Miss Scoring Defense
2014 - 16 ppg
2015 - 22.6 ppg
I wouldn't even consider our passing game much better at all. Statistically they were near identical while the 2015 passing game faced worse defenses (outside of Bama).
The main difference is the improvement of Fournette, and that we have a beast backup in Guice. That's it. That is our major improvement on offense.
Posted on 1/16/16 at 1:11 pm to Datbayoubengal
quote:
An OC who was tied for the highest paid in 2014, then was the highest paid in 2015. We are 2nd to only Bama in recruiting in the SEC West, and our offensive recruiting is on par with Bama.
We're also 2nd to only Bama in offensive production in the SEC.
Look, I get what you're saying, and it's true. The last three years, our most physical games have been Alabama, Arkansas, and Ole Miss, and we're 2-7 against them over that time, and we need to perform better against those three teams specifically if we're going to have success in this conference.
That being said, we're returning everyone who touched the football on offense last year minus Diarse and three All-Americans on the offensive line, we're recruiting better at both the skill positions and the trenches that we ever have, and maybe, just maybe, we can land Haskins, Narcisse, and Dinkelmann in consecutive classes and finally get some stability at the QB position.
Rome wasn't built in a day.
Posted on 1/16/16 at 1:21 pm to chilge1
quote:
and I do believe that we will be virtually unstoppable in Harris's junior and senior years.
I think we absolutely should be damned hard to stop.
So. If we end up with the same struggles.........well, we know how that will turn out.
Many on here will point the finger at Miles...........you won't.
There. Saved us some time.
Posted on 1/16/16 at 1:24 pm to chilge1
Here's my main point, you look at these offenses within the division and when they're at their highest and lowest points.
Alabama (2), Auburn (5, 8), Texas A&M (1), and even LSU (4) have had some of the most successful offenses during this era, but each of these programs slipped back after losing McCarron, Marshall, Manziel, and Mettenberger, respectively.
On the other hand, Arkansas (6) has steadily improved with the progression of Brandon Allen and State has been productive as well with Dak Prescott (10, 14). I expect both of those programs to take big steps back next year offensively.
LSU is uniquely positioned in that we were able to have a successful offense (to what extent is debatable), due almost exclusively to Fournette and to a lesser extent, Guice. If Harris can take even a small step forward in his development, it is entirely possible for LSU to put up the best offense that the conference has seen in the last few years en route to Fournette's Heisman campaign.
Alabama (2), Auburn (5, 8), Texas A&M (1), and even LSU (4) have had some of the most successful offenses during this era, but each of these programs slipped back after losing McCarron, Marshall, Manziel, and Mettenberger, respectively.
On the other hand, Arkansas (6) has steadily improved with the progression of Brandon Allen and State has been productive as well with Dak Prescott (10, 14). I expect both of those programs to take big steps back next year offensively.
LSU is uniquely positioned in that we were able to have a successful offense (to what extent is debatable), due almost exclusively to Fournette and to a lesser extent, Guice. If Harris can take even a small step forward in his development, it is entirely possible for LSU to put up the best offense that the conference has seen in the last few years en route to Fournette's Heisman campaign.
Posted on 1/16/16 at 1:28 pm to chilge1
quote:
LSU is uniquely positioned in that we were able to have a successful offense (to what extent is debatable), due almost exclusively to Fournette and to a lesser extent, Guice. If Harris can take even a small step forward in his development, it is entirely possible for LSU to put up the best offense that the conference has seen in the last few years en route to Fournette's Heisman campaign.
All valid. LSU most certainly, on paper, should have a good offense next year.
But. If they turn out to shite the bed in the same way again this year, I know who you will NOT be blaming.
Posted on 1/16/16 at 1:29 pm to chilge1
quote:
but you look at where this team was last year and where we're headed, and I do believe that we will be virtually unstoppable in Harris's junior and senior years.
Say what?!?!
Posted on 1/16/16 at 1:30 pm to Datbayoubengal
quote:
If we need star NFL power who are two juniors WRs, a RSSR QB, and an eligible to declare for the NFL sophomore RB, just to finish with an efficient and respectable offense, then the whole system is fudged up
this is what ive been thinking. we basically needed an nfl team on offense to make LSU's offensive gameplan under Miles work. we basically run the same offense. we just dont have nfl stars doing it.
oh well im just glad football is over
Posted on 1/16/16 at 1:37 pm to ShortyRob
quote:
But. If they turn out to shite the bed in the same way again this year, I know who you will NOT be blaming.
Cam's offenses have averaged over 430 yards in both 2013 and 2015. The only other years that an LSU offense can say that is 2007 and 2001 for as far back as I looked.
If Aranda is as good as advertised, then with our defense having returned the entire DL and DBs, and hopefully with Beckwith returning, then this is truly a NC or bust year for the LSU program. Anything short of an SEC championship and playoff berth will be a complete and total failure of..... THE COACHES.
Posted on 1/16/16 at 1:50 pm to chilge1
quote:
Cam's offenses have averaged over 430 yards in both 2013 and 2015. The only other years that an LSU offense can say that is 2007 and 2001 for as far back as I looked.
OK. So, in other words, no matter what happens next year, we know that if things go poorly, you'll blame the 18-22 year olds, not the millionaires tasked with developing offenses.
I mean, we know this. But it is good of you to go on record. You'd prefer to trash the players over the coaches.
quote:
If Aranda is as good as advertised, then with our defense having returned the entire DL and DBs, and hopefully with Beckwith returning, then this is truly a NC or bust year for the LSU program. Anything short of an SEC championship and playoff berth will be a complete and total failure of..... THE COACHES.
Ahh. I see. Well frick the defense. If the defense shits the bed but we put out good offense, them's the breaks. But, your response is an easy set up.
It will NEVER be Miles' fault. It will either be the players on offense of the defense's fault.
Got it.
Posted on 1/16/16 at 1:59 pm to ShortyRob
quote:
It will NEVER be Miles' fault. It will either be the players on offense of the defense's fault.
I put my response in caps and bold. You shouldn't try so hard to misstate what other people are saying.
This post was edited on 1/16/16 at 2:00 pm
Posted on 1/16/16 at 2:16 pm to chilge1
quote:
So the team with the least points sometimes win games in September?!?!
Pansies (opponents) in September help inflate offensive stats. SEC-W schedule in Nov is a stat killer.
Posted on 1/16/16 at 2:27 pm to chilge1
I'm perplexed by these "rankings." Why is 2013 lsu ranked higher than teams with more overall yards and yards per game?
Posted on 1/16/16 at 2:57 pm to stewie
quote:....they are "Les fans" not LSU fans.
you support poor and lazy coaching.
Posted on 1/16/16 at 3:09 pm to chilge1
If only Bama wasn't built to stop LSU
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