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re: The QBs Recruited by Les Miles Improved While at LSU
Posted on 11/14/14 at 12:47 pm to Salviati
Posted on 11/14/14 at 12:47 pm to Salviati
Oh ok... well let met me get their total Passer Rating for the year. Just so its on the same playing field...
2008 - Both Lee and JJ were below average
2009 - JJ is just above average, Lee is below
2010 - Both below average
2011 - JJ below average, Lee above average
2012 - Mett below average
2013 - Mett well above average
Like I said, we have had below average QB play 7 of the 10 seasons shown on the graph. And the only 1 that was way above average and was a great year of QB play was last year with Mett. And what was different about that year? We had Cam Cameron. Mett was 4th in the nation in passer rating. Lee did have a 152.0 rating in 2011 and would have been 21st in the country, but didnt play enough or had enough attempts to even qualify.
So... for the most part, our QBs went from sucking to below average. Except for Mett.
Awesome
2008 - Both Lee and JJ were below average
2009 - JJ is just above average, Lee is below
2010 - Both below average
2011 - JJ below average, Lee above average
2012 - Mett below average
2013 - Mett well above average
Like I said, we have had below average QB play 7 of the 10 seasons shown on the graph. And the only 1 that was way above average and was a great year of QB play was last year with Mett. And what was different about that year? We had Cam Cameron. Mett was 4th in the nation in passer rating. Lee did have a 152.0 rating in 2011 and would have been 21st in the country, but didnt play enough or had enough attempts to even qualify.
So... for the most part, our QBs went from sucking to below average. Except for Mett.
Awesome
Posted on 11/14/14 at 12:48 pm to Salviati
quote:
I would say that they developed as a result of coaching and experience.
so you agree a player will improve with experience? now we just need to establish how much credit coaching and experience account for.
Posted on 11/14/14 at 12:49 pm to Salviati
quote:
Salviati
Serious question. Why the sole focus on passer rating? Passer rating is influenced by the overall quality of the offense - how well the line protects, how good the receivers are, etc.
We've already encountered one "alternative hypothesis" to your claim - that Lee and Jefferson simply showed natural improvement over time.
Now we encounter a second alternative - that LSU's team as a whole improved, and that made Lee and Jefferson look better than they were.
Frankly, passer rating may be a bad indicator of "development." If Miles had developed Lee and Jefferson to where they needed to be, they would have be playing in the NFL. That's the best indicator of development, in my opinion. You can make your case all day long, but it just doesn't ring true.
This post was edited on 11/14/14 at 12:50 pm
Posted on 11/14/14 at 12:53 pm to KG5989
JJ ended where he started - no development.
Lee improved, basically by cutting out most of the mortal mistakes he was making.
Mett showed real "development." The light went on for him, and he himself credits Cam Cameron. Mett is the one and only poster boy for LSU QB development.
Lee improved, basically by cutting out most of the mortal mistakes he was making.
Mett showed real "development." The light went on for him, and he himself credits Cam Cameron. Mett is the one and only poster boy for LSU QB development.
This post was edited on 11/14/14 at 12:54 pm
Posted on 11/14/14 at 1:21 pm to TxTiger82
quote:Serious answer.
Serious question. Why the sole focus on passer rating? Passer rating is influenced by the overall quality of the offense - how well the line protects, how good the receivers are, etc.
We've already encountered one "alternative hypothesis" to your claim - that Lee and Jefferson simply showed natural improvement over time.
Now we encounter a second alternative - that LSU's team as a whole improved, and that made Lee and Jefferson look better than they were.
Frankly, passer rating may be a bad indicator of "development."
There is not a sole focus on passer rating. I included three different stats. Why are you focused on only one stat?
quote:There were only 11 QBs drafted in 2012. Some were DT, and some were PS. That's not a lot. If you look at the Top 10 lists for the 2008 and 2009 recruiting years, you will see a lot of names that did not make it to the NFL.
If Miles had developed Lee and Jefferson to where they needed to be, they would have be playing in the NFL. That's the best indicator of development, in my opinion. You can make your case all day long, but it just doesn't ring true.
Playing in the NFL clearly indicates an excellent QB. However, not playing in the NFL does not mean that a QB wasn't developed.
Lee was signed by the Chargers and the BC Lions. Jefferson was signed by Tampa Bay Buccaneers, the Montreal Alouettes, the Pittsburgh Power, and will be playing in the FXFL championship game for the Omaha Mammoths. They might not be NFL caliber, but that doesn't mean that they weren't seriously developed at LSU.
Posted on 11/14/14 at 1:24 pm to Salviati
quote:
Jefferson was signed by Tampa Bay Buccaneers
cut after 1 day.
quote:
the Montreal Alouettes
cut after a week.
quote:
the Pittsburgh Power
cut after a month.
quote:
will be playing in the FXFL championship game for the Omaha Mammoths.
is the backup.
quote:
They might not be NFL caliber, but that doesn't mean that they weren't seriously developed at LSU.
Posted on 11/14/14 at 1:27 pm to TxTiger82
quote:JJ showed tremendous development over the course of his career. People are just overly fixated on his last two games.
JJ ended where he started - no development.
JJ's QB Rating went from 121.34 to 158.97. That's over 37 points. That's almost the same as Lee who you admit improved.
JJ's completions went from 46.3% to 66.1%. That's a bigger increase than Lee who you admit improved.
JJ's YPA increased from 6.6 to 8.7. That's also a bigger increase than Lee who you admit improved.
I understand that I am challenging several well-accepted myths with this thread. I understand that it's difficult to accept a change in paradigm. However, the facts are clear.
Jefferson improved as much as or more than Lee.
Posted on 11/14/14 at 1:33 pm to CptBengal
quote:Wrong.quote:cut after 1 day.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
quote:Wrong.quote:cut after a week.
Montreal Alouettes
quote:Wrong.quote:cut after a month.
Pittsburgh Power
quote:Wrong.quote:is the backup.
will be playing in the FXFL championship game for the Omaha Mammoths
Impressive. You went 4 for 4, wrong every single time.
This post was edited on 11/14/14 at 1:35 pm
Posted on 11/14/14 at 1:35 pm to Salviati
quote:
Impressive. You went 4 for 4, wrong every single time.
You have no credibility. You were eviscerated in this thread.
Posted on 11/14/14 at 1:41 pm to Salviati
I'd never heard of the FXFL before today, so I have now learned one thing from this thread.
Posted on 11/14/14 at 2:14 pm to CptBengal
quote:Is there a quota on the number of times you have to use the word "eviscerate"? You sure use it a lot, and I do not think that word means what you think it means.
You have no credibility. You were eviscerated in this thread.
My credibility is not in jeopardy. Everything I posted is factual and accurate. You are the one who posted bullshite.
And honestly, you should be worried about your own credibility. MastrShake reposted some of your moronic posts.
And MastrShake got just the tip of your iceburg of idiocy:
quote:
tDecline is real.
Recruiting doesn't look good so far, Miles doesn't seem to even care.
How about it pumpers? How do you defend a season with zero SEC wins?
quote:
Kentucky is a real team, and their coach is amazing. We will lose by double digits at home.
Arky is gonna run for 500 yes down our throats in Fayetteville
quote:LSU will not win an SEC game this year.
FL has a defense, a running game, and a mobile qb.
We have no chance in the swamp. Those three things are kryptonite to LSU
I look forward to your idiotic posts after each of our next 6 losses
When we end up at 6-6 and aren't bowl eligible, you will look back and laugh
It's going to be six or seven losses. We won't be eligible to bowl, and the Miles reality will be complete
Miles' teams don't improve during the year
AND THEN THERE IS THIS THREAD:
Half of [Sunshine Pumpers] are Internet trolls paid by the AD or Miles agent to make sure the checks keep rolling in.
Posted on 11/14/14 at 2:59 pm to The Mick
quote:
Actually looking at it, his soph and senior years were almost identical production wise. (I stand corrected)
comp% 61.5 soph 61.0 sr
yds/a 7.3 soph 7.4 sr
efficiency rating 137.2 soph 138.7 sr
Factor in the offensive line and running game -- much better in 2011 than in 2009.
Posted on 11/14/14 at 3:04 pm to Salviati
quote:
No. 2011 was by far his best year
Posted on 11/14/14 at 3:58 pm to TigerMac81
quote:
2011 was by far his best year
This post was edited on 11/14/14 at 4:24 pm
Posted on 11/14/14 at 4:48 pm to Salviati
You're making a mistake looking at those numbers in isolation. You have to contextualize them.
The 2009 offensive line was awful in pass protection and the running game was one of the worst in the league.
The 2009 offensive line was awful in pass protection and the running game was one of the worst in the league.
Posted on 11/14/14 at 5:15 pm to Salviati
quote:
JJ showed tremendous development over the course of his career. People are just overly fixated on his last two games.
And you are overly fixated with the stats. His best year was in 2009. Someone already brought out the stats. He threw way more in 2009 than in 2011, and was arguably just as efficient. Hell, in 2011 he only had 2 games where he had more than 15pass attempts, and only had double digit pass attempts in 5 games for the entire season. And in 2009 we didn't have a great rushing attack or OL. We averaged 122ypg rushing in 2009. In 2011, we averaged 202ypg rushing. So he had much more help in 2011 than he did in 2009. He was pretty much our entire lffense in 2009.
And you keep againg how JJ showed tremendous development and improvement over his career. And that is just wrong. He was just as bad his JR year as he was his freshman year, and his Soph and SR. season were very similar. When someone really improves and develops, they take their game to a new level and CONSISTENTLY play at that level. JJ was not consistent at all over the course of his career for us. He was up and down, up and down, up and down his entire career and when he was up, he was still below average, and when he was down he was horrible. That never changed. His senior year for us, his "ups" we're just as good as they were when he was a sophomore. No consistency and never got better. That shows that he did not improve.
Posted on 11/14/14 at 6:37 pm to KG5989
These metrics are meaningless.
For starters, passer rating does not calculate offensive line protection, or quality of wide receivers, or sacks, fumbles or yards gained rushing. Third down conversions, 4th down conversions, neither are accounted for in this statistic.
We're arguing about the worst stat in the sport of organized football. Why not use ANY/A? It's a much, much better measure of QB competency.
For starters, passer rating does not calculate offensive line protection, or quality of wide receivers, or sacks, fumbles or yards gained rushing. Third down conversions, 4th down conversions, neither are accounted for in this statistic.
We're arguing about the worst stat in the sport of organized football. Why not use ANY/A? It's a much, much better measure of QB competency.
Posted on 11/14/14 at 6:38 pm to Salviati
quote:
I would say that they developed as a result of coaching and experience.
Yeah, you would, but we can't see why.
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