NATIONAL TITLE HOPES - Updated page 1

OFFICIAL STANDINGS

Let me get this up front...

YOU DO NOT HAVE TO WIN YOUR CONFERENCE TO GO TO THE BCS CG

IT IS ALMOST IMPOSSIBLE FOR LSU TO PASS UNDEFEATED TCU WITHOUT WINNING THE SEC

But we have 2 chances to make the NC game:

1. AU loses to UGA and Bama and LSU wins the SECCG. It would be close between LSU and TCU at that point. Losses to Boise for example would help.

2. AU beats UGA and we don't play in the SECCG. We would need at least 3 of the following 4 to happen:

a) Oregon loses
b) TCU loses
c) AU loses to Bama and SECCG
d) Boise loses or Big12 champ (e.g. NU) finishes with 2 losses

Personally, I think Boise has to lose AND the Big 12 champ has to finish with 2 losses. We can play AU if Oregon, TCU, Boise, and Big12 champ lose.

Note that slackster had a long breakdown of NC possibilities last week: Slackster's breakdown

================== BCS BOWL=======================
11-1 should be slam dunk as far as making a BCS bowl. In fact, they may finish top 4 making them an automatic qualifier. But one caveat...if AU loses in the SECCG to finish 12-1, they could push LSU out.

Even at 10-2 LSU would be in good shape. If Bama finishes 10-2 also or the East team upset AU, LSU could be left in the cold. Don't assume that the BCS takes LSU over Bama. I think it is too early to talk about which bowl though.