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re: Attrition under Miles at the OL position via injuries or transfers...

Posted on 8/28/13 at 10:30 am to
Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
47130 posts
Posted on 8/28/13 at 10:30 am to
I'll fix the Washington screw up.
Posted by therick711
South
Member since Jan 2008
25097 posts
Posted on 8/28/13 at 10:30 am to
quote:

Why don't you collect the data to dismiss that point?


He doesn't have to. The way rhetoric and debate works is that if you put forward a point, you have the burden based on your staking of the ground for providing evidence. That's how it works. If your claim remains unsubstantiated, you are automatically wrong.
Posted by Geauxld Finger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2005
31710 posts
Posted on 8/28/13 at 10:31 am to
quote:

Why don't you collect the data to dismiss that point?


Andre Smith - 1RD - 6th overall
Antoine Caldwell - 3rd round
Mike Johnson - 3rd round
James Carpenter - 1st Round 25th Overall
Chance Warmeck - 1st round 10th overall
DJ Fluker - 1st round 11th overall
Barret Jones - 4th round

Koundiajo will be a 1st rounder this coming season.

What has LSU had picked on the OL in the last 6 years?

Barksdale - 3rd round
Herman Johnson - 5th round
Posted by CP3LSU25
Louisiana
Member since Feb 2009
51150 posts
Posted on 8/28/13 at 10:32 am to
Cam Robinson has destroyed our fan base
Posted by therick711
South
Member since Jan 2008
25097 posts
Posted on 8/28/13 at 10:32 am to
quote:

Injuries at the OL position is something LSU has had that Alabama has not faced.

Just in the last 2-3 years, Alabama has had 7 guys drafted over the last 4 years at OL while we have had only 6 healthy players over the last 6 drafts who were eligible to BE drafted.


Watch Alabama this year. The reports out of their camp is that their line is struggling. It may be a rough year for them, which is only natural given the high level they have played at for the last three years. Could be a long year on the line for the tide, and, to be honest, they are due some trouble there and at the quarterback position.
Posted by clamdip
Rocky Mountain High
Member since Sep 2004
17886 posts
Posted on 8/28/13 at 10:33 am to
btw, your claim in the OP that "Basically, under Miles' tenure, only FIVE guys (6 if you count Barksdale) could have been drafted due to injuries and transfers" is extremely slanted. You seem to be trying to make some point about Miles. This "6 out of 29" claim is just bogus.

You list 29 players INCLUDING ACTIVE PLAYERS who are not yet drafted but still healthy:

See below.

All of these guys either stayed at LSU (and were healthy enough to be considered for draft), or are still at LSU (and potentially will be healthy enough to be drafted):

Collins 5* (Starting. Will get drafted barring injury.)
T-Bob 4* (Not drafted)
Big Herm 4* (3rd round pick)
V Alexander 4* (Starting)
Andy Dodd 4* (Currently on roster)
Trai Turner 4* (Starting)
Josh Dworaczyk 4* (6 year player)
Greg Shaw 4* (Career backup. Undrafted)
Derek Edinburgh 4* (Current backup)
Elliot Porter 3* (Starting)
Jerald Hawkins 3* (Starting)
Jonah Austin 3* (Current backup)
Alex Hurst 3* (Mysteriously quit midseason LY. Would have been drafted)
PJ Lonergan 3* (3 year starter. Undrafted)
Barksdale


That's *15* out of 29 that have not disappeared from LSU due to transfer or injury.

Stop starting sh*t.


Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
47130 posts
Posted on 8/28/13 at 10:33 am to
Uhh.. The point is that LSU has faced more attrition over the last 8 years via injuries and transfers than 99% of top ten programs.

Your post validates that Alabama has almost faced zero attrition due to injury, unlike LSU.
This post was edited on 8/28/13 at 10:41 am
Posted by clamdip
Rocky Mountain High
Member since Sep 2004
17886 posts
Posted on 8/28/13 at 10:34 am to
quote:

Why don't you collect the data to dismiss that point?
lol, because you started this thread. YOU made this CLAIM. YOU now have the obligation to not continue talking out of your arse.
This post was edited on 8/28/13 at 10:39 am
Posted by therick711
South
Member since Jan 2008
25097 posts
Posted on 8/28/13 at 10:34 am to
What does drafted have to do with it when you are looking at transferred players. Either the transferred players could be drafted or they don't count. Throwing them in obscures the point. Is Matt Allen still healthy? Was he drafted? Could he have been drafted? Those inclusions are in error under this formula.
Posted by PoppaD
Texas
Member since Feb 2008
4911 posts
Posted on 8/28/13 at 10:37 am to
quote:

That's it in Miles/Stud tenure. You absolutely cannot deny that. That's an atrocious track record for OL


You want see an atrocious track record at ol, look up how many Texas has had drafted in say the last six to seven years. This has lead to the funk Texas has been in. Meanwhile, lsu continues to pump out 10 win seasons in the hardest conference in the land. It might be a testament to miles and stud actually that we have not fallen of more with such oline turmoil.

I understand when you look at Bama and lsu in a vacuum, then lsu looks horrible at oline considering they pride themselves on being a running team. But compared to the rest of college football they are not that bad.

Attrition, injuries, and guys not developing limited this team for sure over the past years,, but Like the poster said above I feel like we are finally getting back to where we need to be on the oline.
This post was edited on 8/28/13 at 10:44 am
Posted by chilge1
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2009
12137 posts
Posted on 8/28/13 at 10:38 am to
Collins 5* (Starting)
V Alexander 4* (Starting)
Trai Turner 4* (Starting)
Elliot Porter 3* (Starting)
Jerald Hawkins 3* (Starting)
Andy Dodd 4* (Currently on roster)
Derek Edinburgh 4* (Current backup)
Jonah Austin 3* (Current backup)


T-Bob 4* (Undrafted)
Big Herm 4* (3rd round pick)
Josh Dworaczyk 4* (6 year player)
Greg Shaw 4* (Career backup. Undrafted)
PJ Lonergan 3* (3 year starter. Undrafted)


Chris Faulk 4* (Injuries)
Ciron Black 4* (Bad knees)
Carneal Ainsworth 4* (Injuries)
Mark Snyder 3* (Injuries)
Thomas Parsons 3* (Injuries)
Josh Williford 3* (Injuries)


Corey White 4* (Transferred)
Jarvis Jones 4* (Transferred)
Zhamal Thomas 4* (Dismissed)
Clay Spencer 4* (left after 2 years)
Matt Allen 4* (Transferred)
Stavion Lowe 4* (Transferred)
Evan Washington 4* (Transferred)
Steve Singleton 3* (Transferred)
Cordian Hagans 3* (Transferred)
Alex Hurst 3* (Mysteriously quit midseason)


Not sure who the 6th non-injury draft-eligible guy was. From my understanding, Black was out of commission prior to the draft. Also not sure what year some of the transfer guys were and their draft status or at what point in their careers some of the guys were lost to injury.

Guess what I'm asking for is how many OL guys played their entire careers at LSU and went undrafted unrelated to injury? T-Bob, Longergan, and Dworyczyk are the ones coming to mind.
Posted by therick711
South
Member since Jan 2008
25097 posts
Posted on 8/28/13 at 10:39 am to
quote:

Attrition, injuries, and guys not developing limited this team for sure over the past years. Stud has probably also limited the position, but Like the poster said above I feel like we are finally getting back to where we need to be on the oline.



Stud has limited the position is hilarious when you consider that in 2011 LSU had the most prolific rushing attack in the conference. Third most passing touchdowns. You guys just hear something and harp on it.
Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
47130 posts
Posted on 8/28/13 at 10:40 am to
The point still stands that over the 2009-2013 drafts, only 6 guys made it to the draft who were eligible and healthy.

SIX: T-Bob, Shaw, Lonergan, Barksdale, Dworaczyk, and Herman.

That's basically one incoming class.

This post was edited on 8/28/13 at 10:45 am
Posted by therick711
South
Member since Jan 2008
25097 posts
Posted on 8/28/13 at 10:41 am to
quote:

The point still stands that over the 2009-2013 drafts, only 6 guys made it to the draft who were eligible and healthy.

SIX.


That's false. The transfers may or may not have been both eligible and healthy. Also, Hurst was eligible and healthy.
Posted by clamdip
Rocky Mountain High
Member since Sep 2004
17886 posts
Posted on 8/28/13 at 10:43 am to
quote:

You want see an atrocious track record at ol, look up how many Texas has had drafted in say the last six to seven years. This has lead to the funk Texas has been in. Meanwhile, lsu continues to pump out 10 win seasons in the hardest conference in the land. It might be a testament to miles and stud actually that we have not fallen of more with such oline turmoil.

I understand when you look at Bama and lsu in a vacuum, then lsu looks horrible at oline considering they pride themselves on being a running team. But compared to the rest of college football they are not that bad.

Attrition, injuries, and guys not developing limited this team for sure over the past years. Stud has probably also limited the position, but Like the poster said above I feel like we are finally getting back to where we need to be on the oline.
well said.

So, we have Bama as a case in point. Texas as a counter-point. OP still has a long way to go to get to the proof of "LSU is worse than 99%" of the rest of college football.

And, btw, I think we're trending up.
Posted by DrEdgeLSU
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Dec 2006
8166 posts
Posted on 8/28/13 at 10:43 am to
So, are we basing OL success at LSU from 2005-2012 only on how many get drafted? Not on actual production on the field?

Makes sense.

Posted by therick711
South
Member since Jan 2008
25097 posts
Posted on 8/28/13 at 10:45 am to
The comparison compares two unrelated things and essentially double counts the transfers as an effect. The transfers left so if they made it to the draft LSU doesn't get credit, but they count as attrition and hurt the perception of LSU's draftable o-lineman. It is completely bogus. If the guy who backed up Ciron Black left and was drafted but Black got hurt, you have not accounted for the cause and effect there.

You are using this made up metric like a drunk uses a light poll: for support, not illumination.
Posted by chilge1
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2009
12137 posts
Posted on 8/28/13 at 10:46 am to
quote:

The point still stands that over the 2009-2013 drafts, only 6 guys made it to the draft who were eligible and healthy.


Not trying to bash, but over those drafts, only 6 guys made it to the draft who were eligible and healthy AND ON THE LSU ROSTER.

You don't say what happened to the players after they transferred and you don't include what year the injured/transfer players are currently in. For example, an guy that was injured as a Junior in 2009 should count against the draft totals, while a freshman who transferred last year would not.
Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
47130 posts
Posted on 8/28/13 at 10:47 am to
quote:

That's false. The transfers may or may not have been both eligible and healthy. Also, Hurst was eligible and healthy.


The transfers I listed actually transferred to other schools.

It's a missed scholarship opportunity is what I'm getting at here on the injuries and transfers.

I don't count Hurst because he quit LY. Had he played all year, someone would have drafted him.

This post was edited on 8/28/13 at 10:49 am
Posted by therick711
South
Member since Jan 2008
25097 posts
Posted on 8/28/13 at 10:48 am to
quote:

Not trying to bash, but over those drafts, only 6 guys made it to the draft who were eligible and healthy AND ON THE LSU ROSTER.

You don't say what happened to the players after they transferred and you don't include what year the injured/transfer players are currently in. For example, an guy that was injured as a Junior in 2009 should count against the draft totals, while a freshman who transferred last year would not.


It also is subject to recency bias in that Williford counts against immediately while current players have to play all the way out before LSU gets credit. The whole point of this exercise is devoid of meaning because the metrics are confused and random. You have to be drafted, healthy, and eligible, but you need to be drafted high like Alabama players. Otherwise ATTRITION and REASONS.

Also you cannot have transferred to another program because REASONS. So the experiment is designed to make no one count and the one's that would count that are current players don't count because we can't predict the future.
This post was edited on 8/28/13 at 10:52 am
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