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Posted on 12/16/14 at 9:18 pm to CE Tiger
I always offer the split if it's a coin flip match up. But you have an obvious advantage
I'd go for it all with that squad.
I'm a big time underdog in my SB, I'd feel like I was insulting the dude if I offered a split.
I'd go for it all with that squad.
I'm a big time underdog in my SB, I'd feel like I was insulting the dude if I offered a split.
Posted on 12/16/14 at 9:20 pm to CE Tiger
I've done it only a few times when the situation warranted it. Last year I didn't realize the league I joined played a single week championship on week 17. Both teams had players that were going to sit after the first quarter to rest for the playoffs. We split and played for money. I ended up winning but didn't have any regrets because it could have gone either way.
I think you're matchup looks good but I thought mine was really good last week as the 1 seed then Charles and a few other didn't produce.
I think you're matchup looks good but I thought mine was really good last week as the 1 seed then Charles and a few other didn't produce.
Posted on 12/17/14 at 8:01 am to CE Tiger
Gamble. You've made it this far.
This post was edited on 12/17/14 at 8:02 am
Posted on 12/17/14 at 8:09 am to Louie T
(no message)
This post was edited on 4/9/23 at 2:22 pm
Posted on 12/17/14 at 8:18 am to CE Tiger
Since you have the better team, I'd go for it.
Posted on 12/17/14 at 8:21 am to CE Tiger
I like getting some guaranteed money.
Posted on 12/17/14 at 8:25 am to Walt OReilly
Ask to make it all or nothing
This post was edited on 12/17/14 at 8:26 am
Posted on 12/17/14 at 8:26 am to CE Tiger
I would probably play it out. If I do a chop, it would only be for 200-250 and then play for the rest.
Posted on 12/17/14 at 9:05 am to TigerTatorTots
quote:
Your team is better, especially if he doesn't have Randle
You guys really think Randle is plug in and play if Murray is a no go? I just dont see it. Murray is a special talent. I know the Cowboys O-Line is elite, but just dont see him as a plug and play guy in the championship game.
Posted on 12/17/14 at 9:50 am to CE Tiger
I took a deal. Payout is supposed to be 350 for 1st and 50 for 2nd.
I had great teams in 2 other leagues and lost almost all chance at big payouts. I had no desire to lose a third and walk away from this season with $50 from playoffs.
We decided on $225 for winner and $175 for loser. I'm pretty happy with that for sure. If I hadn't lose in the semifinals in my two bigger money leagues, I might not would have made the deal.
I had great teams in 2 other leagues and lost almost all chance at big payouts. I had no desire to lose a third and walk away from this season with $50 from playoffs.
We decided on $225 for winner and $175 for loser. I'm pretty happy with that for sure. If I hadn't lose in the semifinals in my two bigger money leagues, I might not would have made the deal.
Posted on 12/17/14 at 10:23 am to CE Tiger
quote:
makes sense. im going for it all
From the looks of it, and based on Yahoo, you have about a 60% chance of winning. Taking this into account, going for it all is worth about .6*800 + .4*100 = $520
Going for the split is worth 300 + 300*.6 = $480
This is only assuming you have a 60% chance of winning
If it was me, though, I'd probably take the split, because $300 is 3x what you put in, and $600 is still a lot of money, and you never know what will happen. But I don't think that's the mathematically best thing to do, and also, not as fun.
This post was edited on 12/17/14 at 10:24 am
Posted on 12/17/14 at 2:36 pm to CE Tiger
Mathematically you shouldn't chop. You'll make money long term due to how much better your team is than his.
But I wouldn't fault you for chopping a portion of the pot.
But I wouldn't fault you for chopping a portion of the pot.
Posted on 12/17/14 at 5:45 pm to dnm3305
quote:Yes. Last year Randle got me a couple 15+ point games when Murray was out
You guys really think Randle is plug in and play if Murray is a no go? I just dont see it. Murray is a special talent. I know the Cowboys O-Line is elite, but just dont see him as a plug and play guy in the championship game.
Posted on 12/17/14 at 7:18 pm to CE Tiger
I chopped a 800/300 payout yesterday
Posted on 12/21/14 at 10:21 pm to GynoSandberg
well today was close to teaching me to always take the split because this shite is way too unpredictable. wound up winning by 3 (although i shut it down and didnt roll out sea d) but damn that was too close for comfort. never would i have thought luck would get me 1.45
This post was edited on 12/21/14 at 10:25 pm
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