re: Way too early Trump v's Kamala Harris Electoral Map (2020)

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About the only "out on a limb" prediction is VA for the Dems. Everything else is just a "man, let's see how they've voted the last 4 elections"

Well, and maybe Illinois.

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The state Dem party and the public labor unions are far too powerful in Illinois at the moment for it to fall to federal purple-ish or red hands for at least another decade. Rauner is a pretty damn moderate R who was elected to handle our historically-unparalleled state fiscal situation, and Lord knows that he has tried, and I'd be surprised if he lasted beyond his one term. The city of Chicago is still too large and way too politically powerful for the state to turn federally purple.

That said, I do think there is a permanent realignment on-going within American electoral politics, and the Midwest is turning purple-ish (Minnesota, Pennsylvania) to red (Ohio, Michigan, Wisconsin, Iowa) all across the board, and it won't go back for a while excepting a superb D candidate (like Obama). On the flip side, Virginia is probably purple-to-blue at this point, as is Colorado and New Mexico, and North Carolina is purple-ish and Georgia is turning red-purpleish.

Just the way the wheel turns in our system.