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Message
1
Posted on 8/25/21 at 7:14 pm to deltaland
We are still in dreamland here
South Texas appears to be out
But anywhere Houston to Mobile likely fair game
South Texas appears to be out
But anywhere Houston to Mobile likely fair game
Posted on 8/25/21 at 7:14 pm to thermal9221
quote:
thermal9221
Fantasy draft/get wasted with all the Chalmations in Walker.
Posted on 8/25/21 at 7:15 pm to Turftoe
quote:
That’s an insane wind field
It's at 850 mb and doesn't have friction to slow it down. Those won't translate to the surface.
It is calling for about 140 mph max sustained at the surface though, which, not ideal.
Posted on 8/25/21 at 7:15 pm to deltaland
Damn even if that thing hits Lake Charles we’re gonna get some serious wind in Nola based on that.
Posted on 8/25/21 at 7:17 pm to bigberg2000
quote:
I am driving to the Baton Rouge are Saturday morning and planning on leaving Sunday to head back to Houston. I dont want to be caught up in any evacuations.
I’m leaving for Lafayette Friday and heading back to Houston Sunday for my fantasy draft too
I’ll be leaving laffy around 6am Sunday
Posted on 8/25/21 at 7:19 pm to bnb9433
quote:
I’ll be leaving laffy around 6am Sunday
Yeah that might be OK. I just would hate to be going through Lafayette at like 10 when evacs are really ramping up. I will just wait and see.
Posted on 8/25/21 at 7:19 pm to CuseTiger
quote:
Would not plan on that as of current. Watch the travel board and I'll post the waivers and help everyone get out as soon as everything is posted by the airlines
Your plane has to get there Monday night and in a category 3 hurricane, no airline is going to fly there on Monday
Assuming it's not a Katrina event, how likely would flying out Friday be? I assume normal flights would be ongoing
Posted on 8/25/21 at 7:20 pm to bnb9433
Have we reached Jay Grimes black jeans status yet?
Posted on 8/25/21 at 7:21 pm to deltaland
There is no positive to that. My house is basically in the eye in that run time.
Posted on 8/25/21 at 7:23 pm to Turftoe
Yea that’s hurricane force winds across the entire state which would be insane. Talk about a widespread mess
Posted on 8/25/21 at 7:24 pm to CuseTiger
Glad being in the eye 5 days out is a good thing. Cuz this would be a shite show
Posted on 8/25/21 at 7:25 pm to rds dc
Some short term upper level changes on the GFS form 12z to 18z. The 18z run might be having some issues based on how the GFS handles convection (thunderstorms). Essentially, this run might have convection too far NE & too intense. This results in the LLC consolidating very far NE and actually crossing over Western Cuba. The 18z GFS is known as the Happy Hour GFS for a reason but it could also be right 
Posted on 8/25/21 at 7:26 pm to Duke
quote:
It is calling for about 140 mph max sustained at the surface though, which, not ideal.
Posted on 8/25/21 at 7:26 pm to CuseTiger
quote:
Would not plan on that as of current. Watch the travel board and I'll post the waivers and help everyone get out as soon as everything is posted by the airlines
Thanks Cuse. If Grymes is right, my flght to LAX is scheduled for Tuesday, connecting in Houston when the storm is forecast to make landfall. I’ll be watching the Travel Board for those waivers. You da man!
Posted on 8/25/21 at 7:27 pm to rds dc
quote:
Some short term upper level changes on the GFS form 12z to 18z. The 18z run might be having some issues based on how the GFS handles convection (thunderstorms). Essentially, this run might have convection too far NE & too intense. This results in the LLC consolidating very far NE and actually crossing over Western Cuba. The 18z GFS is known as the Happy Hour GFS for a reason but it could also be right
Dumb it down for the special folk
Posted on 8/25/21 at 7:28 pm to lsusteve1
quote:
Dumb it down for the special folk
Sometimes it goes too far NE.
There’s a chance it’s right though.
Posted on 8/25/21 at 7:28 pm to Bryno1960
Check out this frickin bullshite
Posted on 8/25/21 at 7:28 pm to rds dc
So it thinks regular afternoon storms are more of a big thing and lets them impact other things?
Posted on 8/25/21 at 7:30 pm to LSUJuice
Should we expect Jay Grimes in jeans tomorrow?
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