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re: BCS Champion should be # 1

Posted on 8/20/08 at 7:10 am to
Posted by ksayetiger
Centenary Gents
Member since Jul 2007
68365 posts
Posted on 8/20/08 at 7:10 am to
obviously, but a better distinction of same record teams would be more fairly ranked. if there are 2 undefeated teams, and one of them struggled every game, they would be ranked lower than team b that had 5 blow out victories. Whereas now, if team a was ranked higher than team b they most likely still would be.
Posted by appfan
Member since Jul 2008
477 posts
Posted on 8/20/08 at 7:11 am to
I don't agree with the whole Championship-#1 thing. I agree with several people on this thread that the polls should be based on the coming season. I too think that polls should not come out until like...week 3-week 4, and I know that there are several OOC games, but, if a team were to lose to an OOC opponent, that could be factored in as well. Once you reach conference play, and start winning, then those games could "weigh" more and you would get bumped up, if you lose an OOC game.

JMO
Posted by rbdallas
Dallas, TX
Member since Nov 2007
10340 posts
Posted on 8/20/08 at 7:23 am to
quote:

I don't agree with the whole Championship-#1 thing. I agree with several people on this thread that the polls should be based on the coming season. I too think that polls should not come out until like...week 3-week 4, and I know that there are several OOC games, but, if a team were to lose to an OOC opponent, that could be factored in as well. Once you reach conference play, and start winning, then those games could "weigh" more and you would get bumped up, if you lose an OOC game.


OK, I have said it a few times...I AGREE, but thinking that "they" are going to wait until week 3-4-5..IT IS NOT GOING TO HAPPEN.
so I am trying to deal with 2nd best option. and....and at the onset, NO GAMES for the upcoming season would have yet been played, so it's pure speculation and biases.
I am just trying to get "position # 1" out of the process.

quote:

obviously, but a better distinction of same record teams would be more fairly ranked. if there are 2 undefeated teams, and one of them struggled every game, they would be ranked lower than team b that had 5 blow out victories. Whereas now, if team a was ranked higher than team b they most likely still would be.


at PRE-SEASON, no one has played any games and
THEY WILL ISSUE a poll preseason, that will not change. I am talking pre-season...after that...I agree that a better system than the current one is needed...BUT...too much politics exists and sadly...WILL exist. It is due to politics that a playoff does not exist
This post was edited on 8/20/08 at 7:27 am
Posted by Tiger40
Member since Oct 2007
27 posts
Posted on 8/20/08 at 7:27 am to
When the coaches' poll comes out doesn't matter at all. Why? 2 reasons: First, we the consuming public demand polls and we would still gobble up the Athlon, Lindy's, SI Power Rankings, etc, week by week (and even if you could somehow eliminate those polls, they'd be replaced in the blogosphere). Second, a delayed coaches poll would do exactly what the Harris poll does right now: piggyback on the non-offical polls out there which represent the national consensus. In fact, the polls actually come out about ten seconds after the end of each season as each columnist and outlet posts their "way-early" rankings for the next season. Throughout the spring and summer, those rankings are modified based on perceptions of recruiting, early-entry, injuries, etc. Georgia (and I am no Dawg fan) survived this process to emerge as number 1 in the first "official" rankings. Whether one agrees with the choice or not (and I don't), the manic interest in and information about college football produces more national dialogue about the rankings than ever before. Also, regarding number one not dropping without a loss: I don't know if I agree with this. More and more we see CFN, Mandell, Dodd, et. al. posting weekly power rankings that go into detail explaining why teams are ranked the way they are. I think this moe fluid approach is slowly leaking into the official polls, and I think we saw abundant evidence last season in the final poll, when voters decided that LSU and tOSU were the right two teams to play for the title. Wether you agree with that decision or not, you can't argue that it was the simple result of moving teams up one slot automatically. I think the Auburn experience has provoked some of these changes, and that's a good thing. It's funny how we put our P&G glasses on and say that an undefeated '08 LSU team would deserve the title game over an undefeated OU or USC because the SEC is so strong. Isn't that a version of the same thing we criticize? Deciding how good the teams are before a game is played?
Posted by SouthEndzoneTiger
Louisiana
Member since Mar 2008
10605 posts
Posted on 8/20/08 at 7:33 am to
I have a comment about those that say "a top 5 team will not move/drop as long as they win". I think that this is not as true as it used to be. In 03 LSU would have been #1 in that poll had they lost to Florida before USC lost to Cal. That's why I think USC's claim is BS. The only reason they were #1 was because they lost first. And I still think the AP is the least likely poll to drop a team down if they don't lose. The good news about that? The AP is not part of the BCS and is therefore irrelevant.

After 04 I really believe that the Coaches and Harris polls do a better job toward the end of the season at looking at the "body of work" of each team. They have become a little more likely to make jumps when it is deserving. And even if an actual JUMP is not made, enough votes are cast to make the deserving team at least closer by getting more points. And with that team getting closer, it can allow the computer polls (which look exclusively at the body of work) to cause the jump in the overall BCS standings.

Look at the "respect" the BCS final standings had for the SEC the last 2 seasons. I think they got it right. To me it appears that the system, as flawed as it is, is at least getting the deserving teams (those with the tougher schedules, biggest wins, etc.) in the championship game. Having said that, if USC and UGA go undefeated, or both have 1 loss and there are no undefeated teams, they will be #1 and #2. They have the toughest schedules of all the big dogs in the hunt. So guys, if OSU beats USC, and LSU drops 1 game, don't look for LSU to get the nod over USC this year. Of course I realize that the "tougher schedule" argument can change. Half of USC's "tough" teams could turn out to be busts and Bama and S. Car could end up in the 10. All of this is just my opinion.
Posted by rbdallas
Dallas, TX
Member since Nov 2007
10340 posts
Posted on 8/20/08 at 7:33 am to
quote:

when voters decided that LSU and tOSU were the right two teams to play for the title. Wether you agree with that decision or not, you can't argue that it was the simple result of moving teams up one slot automatically.


I a talking PRE-SEASON...last year the movement was a result of all the upsets with some of "their darlings", I am not sure that they had that many choices. I guess until there is a playoff system, no clear choice will emerge.
I may be wrong, but I believe that some of the decisions (IF AN OBVIOUS ONE DOES NOT EXIST) and they can justify theirs, is partially done on the potential size of the national viewing audience for the Championship game.

Great day to all of you...gotta go.
Geaux Tigers

BTW..nice to talk to people with ideas w/out insults
This post was edited on 8/20/08 at 7:44 am
Posted by Tiger40
Member since Oct 2007
27 posts
Posted on 8/20/08 at 7:43 am to
Why would the coaches care about the potential viewing audience for the title game? I think Oswald acted alone; there's no rankings conspiracy. Rather, inane rankings have historically been the result of laziness and lack of attention (Michigan up one notch, check; Notre Dame up one notch, check, etc.) Now there are more eyes than ever on the polls, and I think those days are ending. Heck, Spurrier can't even vote for Duke anymore.
Posted by Don Corleone
The Don sees, hears, and knows ALL!
Member since Jan 2007
2596 posts
Posted on 8/20/08 at 7:47 am to
The pre-season polls are based on where a team finished the previous year and how many starters and key positions they bring back. That's it.

It has nothing to do with this year's schedule or anything else.

Also, pre-season polls don't mean much unless they don't chage until the BCS comes out. It can give you a jump start but also lays on the pressure.
Posted by Tigerwoman
Member since Apr 2008
8 posts
Posted on 8/20/08 at 7:59 am to
All of you give the media too much credit. That's how they make their $$$$. A true Tiger fan should never rely on the polls. They are rarely right. Especially before the season starts. Don't pay attention to them and have faith that the Tigers will do their best to be one of the teams out front when it's all over. I love it when we are grossly under rated. Crouching Tiger would be a good description of our team. Can't wait to see what happens to APP State.
Posted by rbdallas
Dallas, TX
Member since Nov 2007
10340 posts
Posted on 8/20/08 at 8:30 am to
quote:

Also, pre-season polls don't mean much unless they don't chage until the BCS comes out. It can give you a jump start but also lays on the pressure.


They can mean a lot...
Maybe more in some polls than others but ......
Let's say that the top 3 teams go undefeated.....
chances are very good that 1 and 2 will play and 3 will be left out of the NC game.
IT IS HARDER than it should be to displace a TOP ranked team. There is an assumption of "we were right" that's why I said that IF ANYONE SHOULD RECEIVE THE BENEFIT OF THE DOUBT, it should be the previous year's winner.

I think we are now talking about what should be a different thread...it changed from my initial "point"

Hope you'll have a great day.
Posted by SouthEndzoneTiger
Louisiana
Member since Mar 2008
10605 posts
Posted on 8/20/08 at 8:37 am to
quote:

Let's say that the top 3 teams go undefeated.....
chances are very good that 1 and 2 will play and 3 will be left out of the NC game.


I don't think so. I think the 2 teams with the toughest schedules would play. The BCS formula would take care of this.
Posted by SG_Geaux
Beautiful St George
Member since Aug 2004
78060 posts
Posted on 8/20/08 at 8:38 am to
quote:

I think that the BCS Champ should automatically be ranked # 1 the following season REGARDLESS of how they are perceived the following season Then if / when they loose, the rankings can be adjusted.



I think you are completely wrong. Last year should have nothing at all to do with this year.
Posted by thetempleowl
dallas, tx
Member since Jul 2008
14847 posts
Posted on 8/20/08 at 8:38 am to
Preseason polls are an indication of how good your team is. The preseason polls are, however, for the uneducated, soundbyte college football fan.

He/she can quickly scan the top 25 polls and at least make a comment when the football talk comes up at the office.

Everyone who knows football realize the preason polls are just a guage of how people feel about how talented your team is. The real deal is who gets it done on the field, and that will be proven over the season until the bcs screws it up at the end because there is no playoff system.

And there is absolutely no way the national champion should be preseason number 1. The national champion is just that, the national champion for the previous year. The national champions or for that matter, most college teams not called Temple who actually has 21 of 22 starters coming back, actually lose a significant number of players to graduation. The team that won the championship is not the team playing this year.

Since the polls are for this year, obviously being national champ last year means nothing to the preseason polls. And just keeping the number 1 spot open, or not coming out with polls until the 5th week will not alleviate the bias that many of the voters have. The bias in any poll is just human nature. Certain pollsters will look at certain teams through rose colored glasses.
Posted by oompaw
In piney hill country...
Member since Dec 2007
6271 posts
Posted on 8/20/08 at 8:40 am to
What about the term, "Defending National Champions"? If last year's champions don't start off the new season ranked at number 1, then they're not defending anything. I agree with what Les Miles said about that. We're not defending last year's championship, because no team will take that away. Pre-season rankings have been proven to be inaccurate. But hey, that's the system we have, and I bet it ain't gonna change.
Posted by FrisceauxTiger
out west
Member since Jul 2008
1851 posts
Posted on 8/20/08 at 8:44 am to
quote:

an additional perk.

What, like Make It-Take It? Is that how it should work? It would defeat the purpose of the rankings completely.
Posted by Nuts4LSU
Washington, DC
Member since Oct 2003
25468 posts
Posted on 8/20/08 at 9:16 am to
quote:

What do you guys think?
Forget that LSU was the Champ.
I think that the BCS Champ should automatically be ranked # 1 the following season REGARDLESS of how they are perceived the following season Then if / when they loose, the rankings can be adjusted.


I disagree. It's a different team. If you are going to rank teams in preseason, then that ranking should be based on how good you think they are, not on where they finished last year.

I'm curious, though. If you think #1 in last year's final poll should stay #1 in this year's preseason poll, do you think the entire top 25 should stay the same? Should they just not even do a preseason poll, but just use last year's final poll as the starting point for this year?
Posted by Tiger-Striped-Bass
The Bay Area
Member since Dec 2004
1266 posts
Posted on 8/20/08 at 9:17 am to
RBDallas
I've been trying to make the same point as you. I even called into the radio yesterday, but left field Bobby Hebert cut in and they hung up on me before I could explain. In a contraversy filled system, the worst case scenario, the biggest travesty of all that would greatly eclipse Auburn '04, is that a "defending" national champion goes undefeated the following year, but doesn't get a chance to "defend" because they are dependant on the losses of 5 of the 6 teams ahead of them in preseason rankings, for them to be in the game. Where's the crime in making the previous years champion #1 in preseason and the title theirs to lose if they don't measure up to last years team? Make last years accomplishment count for something. Why does the reign have to expire the day after the championship game? If they don't measure up to the team that won it last year, they will lose and as soon as they do, they fall and everybody behind is back to where they were. It's an easy way to eliminate the worst case scenario at no expense. What am I missing?

Edit: I think after the automatic # 1 as described above, the remaining top 25 should be picked as they currently are. The only intent in my comment is to totally eliminate the worse case scenario-that being an undefeated, previous years champion being left out. Do I think it will play out that way. No way, but you could easily eliminate that possibility.
This post was edited on 8/20/08 at 9:27 am
Posted by Nuts4LSU
Washington, DC
Member since Oct 2003
25468 posts
Posted on 8/20/08 at 9:22 am to
quote:

To be honest, i think the first polls should come out after week 3.


That's often suggested, but evidence indicates it would do no good. The Harris poll doesn't come out until a few weeks into the season, and it is virtually identical to the other polls of that week, which means that waiting a few weeks to start doesn't change anything. You still wind up with the same thing you'd have if you started in preseason and adjusted as the weeks went by.

quote:

This garbage of predictions hurts a team (like 04 auburn).


You're right, it does. The problem is that waiting until week 3 (or 5 or 10 or whatever) doesn't solve that problem. Voters still have an idea in preseason how good everyone is and "rank" them that way in their minds. Then as games are played, they adjust their preexisting rankings accordingly, just like the voters do in the polls that come out in preseason. There is simply no way to get human beings to go into the season with a completely open mind and no preconceptions about how good teams are. Once those preconceptions are there, they become the voter's presumptive rankings until something changes them.
Posted by Lou
Modesto, CA
Member since Aug 2005
8290 posts
Posted on 8/20/08 at 9:25 am to
quote:

I think that the BCS Champ should automatically be ranked # 1 the following season REGARDLESS of how they are perceived the following season Then if / when they loose, the rankings can be adjusted.
disagree. the previous season has nothing to do with the following season. rankings are stupid anyway. if you want to have them just for a conversational piece, so be it. but to use it to determine a champion is asanine.
Posted by thetempleowl
dallas, tx
Member since Jul 2008
14847 posts
Posted on 8/20/08 at 9:26 am to
The term defending national champions means the school. No one will claim it is the same team. And winning he NCG does mean something, it means you won the NCG that year.

It doesn't imply anything towards the next year.

And if you guys complain that it is an unfair system because you guys start out at 7 and are basically counting on teams above you to lose so you can move up, you are right. It is a stupid system. But guess what, life isn't fair, and certainly the bcs isn't fair.

If you want to make the polls count for less and success on the field count for more, than support a college football playoff system.

Otherwise, preseason polls, postseason polls, human bias, and the mystery that is the "computer bcs system" will continue to make college football what it is.
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