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New poll: Roy Moore leading in Alabama senate election and runoff

Posted on 8/4/17 at 3:16 pm
Posted by HailHailtoMichigan!
Mission Viejo, CA
Member since Mar 2012
69354 posts
Posted on 8/4/17 at 3:16 pm
Moore - 31%
Strange - 29%
Brooks - 18%
Pittman - 8%
Brinson - 2%
Undecided - 11%

Moore - 34%
Strange - 32%
Undecided - 35%

Moore - 43%
Brooks - 20%
Undecided - 37%

Strange - 42%
Brooks - 22%
Undecided - 36%

LINK /
Posted by FooManChoo
Member since Dec 2012
41735 posts
Posted on 8/4/17 at 3:20 pm to
Posted by bamarep
Member since Nov 2013
51811 posts
Posted on 8/4/17 at 3:22 pm to
I just wanna drop by to say

frick


Luther


Strange
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
119002 posts
Posted on 8/4/17 at 3:27 pm to
Who does McConnell support?
Posted by AuburnTigers
Member since Aug 2013
6964 posts
Posted on 8/4/17 at 3:40 pm to
Not buying any poll data.
Posted by Loserman
Member since Sep 2007
21963 posts
Posted on 8/4/17 at 3:43 pm to
I am voting for Moore...

I would have never ever considered a crazy loon like him before, but with the way things are going, I'm pretty damn sure I know how that loon will vote.

Don't be surprised if Moore wins it.
This post was edited on 8/4/17 at 3:44 pm
Posted by SirWinston
PNW
Member since Jul 2014
82162 posts
Posted on 8/4/17 at 3:45 pm to
Good - I want to trigger leftists and GOPe cucks so badly that I'm willing to give up my own principles at this point
This post was edited on 8/4/17 at 3:47 pm
Posted by 9th life
birmingham
Member since Sep 2009
7310 posts
Posted on 8/4/17 at 4:03 pm to
Primary, not election. Distinction without a difference here in AL though.

God i hope its not roy moore.
Posted by Strannix
District 11
Member since Dec 2012
49014 posts
Posted on 8/4/17 at 4:08 pm to
Roy is the goat!
Posted by Kraut Dawg
Member since Sep 2012
4508 posts
Posted on 8/4/17 at 4:25 pm to
(no message)
This post was edited on 1/10/21 at 9:47 am
Posted by HempHead
Big Sky Country
Member since Mar 2011
55516 posts
Posted on 8/4/17 at 5:50 pm to
I've met Luther a few times, and he seems like a decent enough dude in those conversations, but his actions re: Bentley leave a really poor taste in my mouth. I'm probably going to vote for Brooks (who happens to be the target of a PAC claiming he is an anti/never-Trumper), just because Roy Moore ascending to the Senate only confirms some unforunate stereotypes about my home. Thank God that the gubernatorial race has better prospects.
Posted by NoMoreKnees
Pulaski, TN
Member since Jan 2017
313 posts
Posted on 8/4/17 at 5:59 pm to
Big Luther is nothing but a big phony. I can not believe he can look in the mirror after what he and the establishment have said about Mo.
Mo has always been a conservative and will continue being one.
Don't be an uninformed voter and look at Mo Brooks record for you self and make a intelligent decision.
Vote for Mo Brooks!
Posted by BackWoodsTiger
Member since Sep 2008
6145 posts
Posted on 8/4/17 at 6:07 pm to
This seems like a prime time for the President to show up and make some noise. He could take a big shite on all of the McConnell/Never trumper money that will be used in this race. Just let these rino's know that I'm gonn keep showing up in these elections if you decide you want to be obstructionists. These creatures are so dependent on "the swamp", any threat to their gravy train will result in them toeing the line.
Posted by AU86
Member since Aug 2009
22422 posts
Posted on 8/4/17 at 8:14 pm to
I hope that Luther Strange doesn't win. Probably going to vote for Mo Brooks.
Posted by Tiguar
Montana
Member since Mar 2012
33131 posts
Posted on 8/4/17 at 8:15 pm to
frick Moore, useless count
Posted by Five0
Member since Dec 2009
11354 posts
Posted on 8/4/17 at 9:08 pm to
The sample size from the pollsters' website. I hung up on the pollsters two nights ago.

The survey of 426 likely Republican voters was conducted between July 31 and August 3, 2017 using both an IVR automated phone survey (369 voters) and an online survey (57 voters). 
Posted by Weagle25
THE Football State.
Member since Oct 2011
46212 posts
Posted on 8/4/17 at 9:51 pm to
I would normally be surprised that Brooks isn't running away with this but it's Alabama politics so it's expected
Posted by pvilleguru
Member since Jun 2009
60453 posts
Posted on 8/4/17 at 10:50 pm to
I'm not shocked. The voters in this state are retarded.
Posted by Evolved Simian
Bushwood Country Club
Member since Sep 2010
20619 posts
Posted on 8/5/17 at 12:06 am to
Moore has no shot in a runoff.
Posted by ever43
Raleigh, NC
Member since Aug 2009
2947 posts
Posted on 8/5/17 at 1:20 am to
A N=426 IVR statewide survey is pretty much trash. A damn live caller survey with that cell size isn't going to be very reliable.
- Strange is in the mid 30's
- Moore is in low 30's
- Brooks is 15-16

1. Brooks was around 25 about a week after the shooting and then had an anvil dropped on his head. He's an average candidate with zero message discipline. He can't figure out who he wants to be or what he wants to say.

2. The negative ads used against him were and still are devastating. Trump's approval and favs among GOP primary voters in AL is in the high 80's. Mo is getting his head bashed in on TV and radio while getting sliced apart on digital and mail over his nasty Trump comments during the primary and running up to election day. He went on local radio last week and shite all over Trump yet again and then rolled out a new TV ad trying to wrap his arms around Trump. Mo's upside down and doesn't have any room to breathe.

3. Moore has just been chilling while Mo and Luther have been hitting each other. Both Mo and Luther want to face Moore in a runoff, so he had been largely left alone until this week. Luther and his allies have enough money to keep their foot on Mo's neck while making sure Moore has some bark taken off of him heading into the runoff. The beneficiary of Moore dropping a bit is Luther. Luther gets roughly 56% of people that peel off of Moore.

The runoff is going to be Luther vs Moore and Luther is going to get 56-69% in the runoff.
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