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For those complaining about Maineri and his lack of bunting

Posted on 4/23/15 at 8:33 pm
Posted by lsupride87
Member since Dec 2007
95904 posts
Posted on 4/23/15 at 8:33 pm
It has been proven sac bunting gives your team a worse chance of scoring

quote:

Last season, according to Baseball Prospectus data, in the two most common situations for a sac bunt, your expectation for scoring a run was actually greater if you let the hitter swing away rather than give up an out via a bunt. With a runner at first and no outs, you had a 24.4 percent better chance of scoring a run than you did with a runner at second and one out. With runners at first and second and no outs, you had a 10.4 percent better chance of scoring a run than you did with runners at second and third and one out.
LINK

So will you Lsu baseball thread legends admit you are wrong and actually the moron, or will you "rabble rabble baseball situation always bunt rabble rabble"
Posted by lsu2006
BR
Member since Feb 2004
39983 posts
Posted on 4/23/15 at 8:36 pm to
That's a situation where you bunt and I probably would have kept the bunt on. That said, I don't hate going against the grain and rolling the dice there. Sometimes it bites you in the arse.
Posted by lsu2006
BR
Member since Feb 2004
39983 posts
Posted on 4/23/15 at 8:36 pm to
Lulz
Posted by lsupride87
Member since Dec 2007
95904 posts
Posted on 4/23/15 at 8:39 pm to
He played the percentages. Sac bunting is actually the dumbass thing to do
Posted by lsupride87
Member since Dec 2007
95904 posts
Posted on 4/23/15 at 8:41 pm to
quote:

That's a situation where you bunt and I probably would have kept the bunt on. That said, I don't hate going against the grain and rolling
He didn't roll the dice. That is what I am trying to show people. Sac bunting is actually "rolling the dice"
Posted by notiger1997
Metairie
Member since May 2009
58246 posts
Posted on 4/23/15 at 8:42 pm to
Cool thread
Posted by lsupride87
Member since Dec 2007
95904 posts
Posted on 4/23/15 at 8:44 pm to
Just figured people calling someone a dumbass moron should actually know what they are talking about
Posted by Mr Gardoki
AL
Member since Apr 2010
27652 posts
Posted on 4/23/15 at 8:45 pm to
On the rant?
Posted by lsupride87
Member since Dec 2007
95904 posts
Posted on 4/23/15 at 8:46 pm to
Good point
Posted by TH03
Mogadishu
Member since Dec 2008
171055 posts
Posted on 4/23/15 at 8:48 pm to
This from the same guy who calls Russell Wilson elite
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
85131 posts
Posted on 4/23/15 at 8:48 pm to
You realize that your numbers are total runs and not single run? Bunting is for a single run... hitting away is usually for a multiple run inning. You also have to take into account who's hitting. We had our 6,7,8 guys up. You bunt there and let Chi hit it in the outfield. It's as simple as can be really.
Posted by lsupride87
Member since Dec 2007
95904 posts
Posted on 4/23/15 at 8:49 pm to
Dude I posted factual evidence. Not an opinion.
Posted by Double Oh
Louisiana
Member since Sep 2008
17967 posts
Posted on 4/23/15 at 8:50 pm to
Bunt or lose
Posted by JJ27
Member since Sep 2004
60497 posts
Posted on 4/23/15 at 8:50 pm to
Those are MLB stats, not college. Also, what are the percentages of a hit and run with runners on 1st and 2nd instead of bunting?
Posted by lsupride87
Member since Dec 2007
95904 posts
Posted on 4/23/15 at 8:50 pm to
The numbers show the percentages to score a single run in an inning. It has been know for a while that bunting is not the higher percentage play. It is finally starting to be picked up on by MLB managers as well
Posted by bmy
Nashville
Member since Oct 2007
48203 posts
Posted on 4/23/15 at 8:51 pm to
frick small ball.
Posted by lsutigers1992
Member since Mar 2006
25317 posts
Posted on 4/23/15 at 8:51 pm to
We're gonna win this game because the 3rd base umpire was blind and bailed us out of a ridiculous decision.
This post was edited on 4/23/15 at 8:52 pm
Posted by lsupride87
Member since Dec 2007
95904 posts
Posted on 4/23/15 at 8:52 pm to
The hit and run I searched and could find nothing. That may be bad as well. I am more responding to the people that say "you always bunt there". To the guy asking about college numbers, I would imagine the percentages would be even higher in college as the hitting numbers are better
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
85131 posts
Posted on 4/23/15 at 8:52 pm to
quote:

It has been know for a while that bunting is not the higher percentage play.
Again.. those numbers do not take into account who's batting. 1st and 2nd with the middle of your order up vs 1st and 2nd with the bottom. Where is that? A popup hitter who is your best bunter with a guy who's hitting everything to the OF behind him and a double play risk?
Posted by Tiger79
Zachary
Member since Apr 2009
7350 posts
Posted on 4/23/15 at 8:53 pm to
The only problem I have with CPM is he pulls some guys to early, or too late sometime. And he pushes too hard for sec tourney, his teams peak too early.
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