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Study: States that raised minimum wage had stronger job growth

Posted on 7/10/14 at 5:39 pm
Posted by TT9
Global warming
Member since Sep 2008
82952 posts
Posted on 7/10/14 at 5:39 pm
quote:

A recent study by the Center for Economic and Policy Research attempts to undercut the argument that raising the minimum wage kills jobs.

The study, which updates a Goldman Sachs analysis to include data from April and May, shows that the 13 states that increased their minimum wages on Jan. 1 have had stronger employment growth than the 37 states that didn’t. The study compared average employment during the first five months of 2014 with the last five months of 2013.




LINK
Posted by Tiger n Miami AU83
Miami
Member since Oct 2007
45656 posts
Posted on 7/10/14 at 5:40 pm to
Well, surprise surprise
Posted by HailHailtoMichigan!
Mission Viejo, CA
Member since Mar 2012
69370 posts
Posted on 7/10/14 at 5:42 pm to
quote:

Center for Economic and Policy Research
The Center for Economic and Policy Research (CEPR) is a progressive economic policy think-tank, founded by two leftist economists.
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
111617 posts
Posted on 7/10/14 at 5:46 pm to
quote:

CEPR acknowledges this analysis is far from scientific and draws no direct link between raising the minimum wage and payroll gains. Still, “it does provide evidence against theoretical negative employment effects of minimum wage increases,” CEPR researcher Ben Wolcott writes.


quote:

The average change in payrolls in the 13 states that increased their minimum wages was 0.99% vs. 0.68% in the other states. On January 1, Connecticut, New Jersey, New York and Rhode Island boosted their pay floors as a result of legislation. The other nine states – Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Missouri, Montana, Ohio, Oregon, Vermont and Washington – automatically raised their minimums by smaller amounts based on inflation.


Would be interesting to see the comparison of just CT, NJ, NY and RI versus those who didn't raise minimum wage. Probably more relevant to the argument, too.
Posted by BlackHelicopterPilot
Top secret lab
Member since Feb 2004
52833 posts
Posted on 7/10/14 at 5:46 pm to
I would honestly be interested in the methodology.


I'd like to learn of the circumstances and would be open minded.

But, I do know that stats are like bikinis. What they reveal is interesting...what they hide is VITAL.,




I'd want to know if the states that raised the wage rate were in a situation where job growth was strong, anyway.

I know that at my office, the pay rate is increasing because the demand is there, etc. So, the job-growth fueled the ability to raise pay. Not the other way around.


Again, I'd be willing to learn more about this "study". If it is simply a "survey" type (count the jobs, etc)...then it is inadequate to really get insight. There should be controls for other factors, etc.


Posted by NC_Tigah
Carolinas
Member since Sep 2003
124188 posts
Posted on 7/10/14 at 5:50 pm to
quote:

The average change in payrolls in the 13 states that increased their minimum wages was 0.99% vs. 0.68% in the other states.
What were the respective rates leading up to the increase?
Posted by real
Dixieland
Member since Oct 2007
14027 posts
Posted on 7/10/14 at 5:52 pm to
Well when you own a business you can pay people all you want.
Posted by mauser
Orange Beach
Member since Nov 2008
21736 posts
Posted on 7/10/14 at 5:55 pm to
quote:

The study compared average employment during the first five months of 2014 with the last five months of 2013.


Wow, let's blow trumpets.....this study is so representative of the state of the economy. You could of done this just by handing out phone books.

Posted by Rohan2Reed
Member since Nov 2003
75674 posts
Posted on 7/10/14 at 5:57 pm to
How do you min wage increase supporters feel about mandating hire wages for white children of wealthy families who have chosen to earn extra money by flipping burgers in between their summers at prep school?
Posted by Old Hellen Yeller
New Orleans
Member since Jan 2014
9423 posts
Posted on 7/10/14 at 5:58 pm to
Great news. Walmart will now have to take care of its employees, instead of the taxpayers doing it.
Posted by 90proofprofessional
Member since Mar 2004
24445 posts
Posted on 7/10/14 at 6:36 pm to
Amazing that no academic journals have picked up this research, what with its truly impressive methods combined with its revolutionary results.

Edit: Oh.
quote:

CEPR acknowledges this analysis is far from scientific and draws no direct link between raising the minimum wage and payroll gains.
This post was edited on 7/10/14 at 6:40 pm
Posted by WeeWee
Member since Aug 2012
40191 posts
Posted on 7/10/14 at 6:41 pm to
from you own link

quote:

CEPR acknowledges this analysis is far from scientific and draws no direct link between raising the minimum wage and payroll gains.


ETA: dammit
quote:

the808bass
This post was edited on 7/10/14 at 6:43 pm
Posted by Ole War Skule
North Shore
Member since Sep 2003
3409 posts
Posted on 7/10/14 at 6:50 pm to
are you, and they, really so simple as not to understand that states raising minimum wage are already growing?


rooster crows
sun rises
rooster causes sun to rise

quote:

The average change in payrolls in the 13 states that increased their minimum wages was 0.99% vs. 0.68% in the other states.


oh yeah..that's CLEARLY a cause and effect
Posted by SpidermanTUba
my house
Member since May 2004
36128 posts
Posted on 7/10/14 at 7:01 pm to
quote:


The study, which updates a Goldman Sachs analysis to include data from April and May, shows that the 13 states that increased their minimum wages on Jan. 1 have had stronger employment growth than the 37 states that didn’t. The study compared average employment during the first five months of 2014 with the last five months of 2013.

Economic theory says this isn't possible! The facts must be wrong!

Econ 101. Meeeeooooo
This post was edited on 7/10/14 at 7:02 pm
Posted by goatmilker
Castle Anthrax
Member since Feb 2009
64486 posts
Posted on 7/10/14 at 7:19 pm to
So if we raise the min wage even more...say to 20-30 dollar a hour we get even better job growth and we don't even need hard work, innovation, investment etc we just have big brother raise min wage.
Awesome sauce.
The brains should have figured this out hundreds of years ago. Thanks for changing the world with your post
Posted by GoBigOrange86
Meine sich're Zuflucht
Member since Jun 2008
14486 posts
Posted on 7/10/14 at 7:25 pm to
Do you know where I can find the study itself?

I mean, it flat out admits it's unscientific, so it's a little hard to take this as "proof" that the minimum wage doesn't hurt job growth. Yet it seems that plenty on the left in this thread accept it out of hand and plenty on the right in this thread reject it out of hand without even looking at how the study was conducted.
Posted by roygu
Member since Jan 2004
11718 posts
Posted on 7/10/14 at 9:30 pm to
Do you believe any goverment funded study.
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