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re: "First time LSU is a dog in Death Valley since..."

Posted on 10/9/12 at 10:09 pm to
Posted by jpguidry23
Louisiana
Member since Nov 2011
433 posts
Posted on 10/9/12 at 10:09 pm to
yeah i see some lines LSU -2.5 and i have seen others with LSU +3
Posted by Sev09
Nantucket
Member since Feb 2011
15578 posts
Posted on 10/9/12 at 10:15 pm to
quote:

LSU is 3pt Dog

Link? I hear some people say this, but I'm starting to think they don't know how to read lines.
Posted by navy
Parts Unknown, LA
Member since Sep 2010
29128 posts
Posted on 10/9/12 at 10:18 pm to
quote:

And that was in 2009 to Tebow and #1 Florida 13-3



The post-Tebow-concussion game ... where we showed offensive prowess that was... well, offensive.
Posted by tigercross
Member since Feb 2008
4918 posts
Posted on 10/9/12 at 10:31 pm to
quote:

It's 2 losses since '04 at night.


True, but only UF '09 was on Saturday night. The '05 loss to UT was the infamous Monday night game.

FWIW, the stat about being undefeated at night in the past xx years is pretty dumb. Because of the CBS contract, we get mostly 2:30 kickoffs versus SEC opponents.

2011: 3 ranked opponents at home, 3 2:30 kickoffs
2010: 2 ranked opponents at home, 1 @ 2:30 1@8:00
2009: 1 ranked opponent at home, 7 p.m. kick LOSS
2008: 2 ranked opponents at home, 2 2:30 kickoffs, 2 losses
2007: 4 ranked opponents at home, 3 nighttime kickoffs (all wins)
2006: No ranked opponents at home
2005: 3 ranked opponents at home, 2 nighttime kicks (1-1)
2004: No ranked opponents at home
2003: 2 ranked opponents at home, 1 nighttime kick (win)
2002: 1 ranked opponent at home, 1 nighttime kick (LOSS)

So, the Tigers have played nine home night games against ranked opponents in the previous ten seasons and are 6-3 in those games. If you take out the magical 2007 season, they are batting .500. It's not a terrible statistic, but it is hardly intimidating.
Posted by blizzle
Dallas, TX
Member since Jan 2009
935 posts
Posted on 10/9/12 at 10:35 pm to
think you're right. even early lines had us favored by 3
Posted by Lonnie Utah
Utah!
Member since Jul 2012
24182 posts
Posted on 10/9/12 at 10:37 pm to
Vegas does not try to predict winners when it sets odds. It tries to get even money on each side of the bet.

Posted by L S Usetheforce
Member since Jun 2004
22805 posts
Posted on 10/9/12 at 10:46 pm to
LSU isn't a dog in Vegas.
Posted by TriumphTiger
Alpharetta, GA
Member since Sep 2007
10187 posts
Posted on 10/9/12 at 10:53 pm to
quote:

Message Posted by gringeaux It's 2 losses since '04 at night.


Miles has one home Sat night loss. In all fairness, we usually play a team ranked as high as USCe at 2:30 CT.

Edit: What tigercross said
This post was edited on 10/9/12 at 10:55 pm
Posted by Pauldean
Red Stick by way of Syracuse
Member since Oct 2011
2629 posts
Posted on 10/9/12 at 11:05 pm to
quote:

So, the Tigers have played nine home night games against ranked opponents in the previous ten seasons and are 6-3 in those games. If you take out the magical 2007 season, they are batting .500. It's not a terrible statistic, but it is hardly intimidating


Lies, damn lies, and statistics...
Posted by sheek
The Woodlands, TX
Member since Sep 2007
43895 posts
Posted on 10/9/12 at 11:44 pm to
probably since the bama game in 2010. well at least our fans will be better prepared than our offense. We will need the fans for this game as well as the bama game.
Posted by Datbayoubengal
Port City
Member since Sep 2009
26754 posts
Posted on 10/10/12 at 6:39 am to
I thought home team gets 3pts? If that's the case, then it's still being seen as a one point game. I wouldn't touch that Hit with a 10fr pole because idk who we play. We may come out electrified and USCe may come out sluggish after its big win.
Posted by Ford Frenzy
337 posts
Member since Aug 2010
6876 posts
Posted on 10/10/12 at 6:47 am to
LSU is not an underdog, they are favored against the #3 team in the country, Vegas likes the Tigers...that's a good sign
Posted by Bmath
LA
Member since Aug 2010
18689 posts
Posted on 10/10/12 at 7:32 am to
quote:

C'mon guys, it still says I'm from Baton Rouge. I'm not the ONLY poster who has sarcastic fandoms during the football season.


Then don't use the word "we" in the OP. say LSU or the Tigers. My handle has LSU next to it but I usually try and do this anyway.
Posted by Papa Tigah
TIGER ISLAND, LA
Member since Sep 2007
18547 posts
Posted on 10/10/12 at 7:39 am to
LSU -3
Posted by snakanator
Member since Sep 2010
634 posts
Posted on 10/10/12 at 7:40 am to
Wrong this is wrong
Posted by The Mick
Member since Oct 2010
43316 posts
Posted on 10/10/12 at 7:42 am to
Your USCe logo is gay and confusing. Stop that doucheness now.
Posted by JPLSU1981
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2005
26427 posts
Posted on 10/10/12 at 7:45 am to
quote:

Vegas does not try to predict winners when it sets odds. It tries to get even money on each side of the bet.


Regardless, the line is what the line is. LSU is favored against USC.
Posted by windhammontanatigers
windham-stanford, montana
Member since Nov 2009
4993 posts
Posted on 10/10/12 at 7:54 am to
Posted by jlc05
Member since Nov 2005
32909 posts
Posted on 10/10/12 at 7:56 am to
quote:


Are you proud to be a Fan of The Cock?




His post was quite cocky
Posted by Ford Frenzy
337 posts
Member since Aug 2010
6876 posts
Posted on 10/10/12 at 8:06 am to
quote:

Regardless, the line is what the line is. LSU is favored against USC.
then explain West Virginia -4 or -5 at Texas Tech and how that's gonna get money split 50/50
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