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re: NFL Week 5 Betting Thread

Posted on 10/7/12 at 5:08 pm to
Posted by dcrews
Houston, TX
Member since Feb 2011
30163 posts
Posted on 10/7/12 at 5:08 pm to
You already bet your roll, so I'm going to say no way they lose. Saints 38-17
This post was edited on 10/7/12 at 5:09 pm
Posted by aVatiger
Water
Member since Jan 2006
27967 posts
Posted on 10/7/12 at 5:09 pm to
a lil late but pats -2 2ndH -115
Posted by dcrews
Houston, TX
Member since Feb 2011
30163 posts
Posted on 10/7/12 at 5:10 pm to
I thought about taking that, but didn't for some reason.

I'm on Minn -2.5 2H & Minn/Tenn o20 2H
Posted by aVatiger
Water
Member since Jan 2006
27967 posts
Posted on 10/7/12 at 5:10 pm to
quote:

I'm on Minn -2.5 2H


should've grabbed it, but i forgot all about it
Posted by dcrews
Houston, TX
Member since Feb 2011
30163 posts
Posted on 10/7/12 at 5:11 pm to
Yeah, they should have had another TD, but because of the half, Ponder forced a pass.
Posted by TexasTiger1185
New Orleans
Member since Sep 2011
13070 posts
Posted on 10/7/12 at 5:17 pm to
Need some scores in NE
Posted by Grassy1
Member since Oct 2009
6250 posts
Posted on 10/7/12 at 5:18 pm to
On a slightly different subject...

Notice that 5dimes has Romney +230?

Innersting.

After last night, Romney might be my October team...
Posted by dcrews
Houston, TX
Member since Feb 2011
30163 posts
Posted on 10/7/12 at 5:18 pm to
quote:

Need some scores in NE


No we don't
Posted by TexasTiger1185
New Orleans
Member since Sep 2011
13070 posts
Posted on 10/7/12 at 5:24 pm to
Demarius Thomas about to catch a quick TD pass.
Posted by TexasTiger1185
New Orleans
Member since Sep 2011
13070 posts
Posted on 10/7/12 at 5:42 pm to
Should have taken my own advice on bears.
Posted by dcrews
Houston, TX
Member since Feb 2011
30163 posts
Posted on 10/7/12 at 5:55 pm to
So what's the consensus on tonight's game in Nola?
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16834 posts
Posted on 10/7/12 at 5:58 pm to
Looks like chalk walks this evening ...
Posted by TexasTiger1185
New Orleans
Member since Sep 2011
13070 posts
Posted on 10/7/12 at 5:59 pm to
Line scares me. I think saints could win, but the over would be my only bet
Posted by aVatiger
Water
Member since Jan 2006
27967 posts
Posted on 10/7/12 at 5:59 pm to
quote:

So what's the consensus on tonight's game in Nola?


if you can get da Saints at -3 -110, i say go for it.. i think the line could get up to -4 on some books by game time
Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
47120 posts
Posted on 10/7/12 at 6:00 pm to
quote:

W5 NFL Blacklisted Spreadsheet Picks:

Leans: NY Giants -8, Philly +3.5, Atlanta -3, Seattle +2, San Diego +3.5, SF -10

Bet Heavy: Chicago -6.5, Minnesota -6, Houston -9


My spreadsheet picks:

quote:
Atlanta -3, Green Bay -6.5, Miami +3.5, New England -6.5, SF -10




8-1 with NE pending and Houston/SD yet to play.
Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25607 posts
Posted on 10/7/12 at 6:01 pm to
What does blacklisted mean?
Posted by aVatiger
Water
Member since Jan 2006
27967 posts
Posted on 10/7/12 at 6:03 pm to
quote:

8-1 with NE pending and Houston/SD yet to play.


'01 is killing it today!

Posted by TexasTiger1185
New Orleans
Member since Sep 2011
13070 posts
Posted on 10/7/12 at 6:04 pm to
I need 6 points in this patriots game
Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
47120 posts
Posted on 10/7/12 at 6:11 pm to
quote:

What does blacklisted mean?


Some guys spreadsheet. He calls it that.

Basically breaks every position down and assigns it a value.

If the total team value is 3:1 (opponent vs opponent) it's a big play. If it is a handful of points better/worse than the current spread, it's a small play/lean.

I'll post the link again to my google docs for you guys to download. The position values are updated for this week, but you should be able to work with this current spreadsheet for a week or 2.

Blacklisted spreadsheet
Posted by Hogkiller10
LP
Member since Jan 2010
1529 posts
Posted on 10/7/12 at 6:15 pm to
So we need to update it ourself with the numbers or can we get them somewhere. Thanks for the sheet!
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