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re: Crackpot ASOIAF Theories SPOILERS

Posted on 4/11/13 at 12:40 pm to
Posted by Hugo Stiglitz
Member since Oct 2010
72937 posts
Posted on 4/11/13 at 12:40 pm to
quote:

This implies that Varys wanted Ned to live. Everyone expected Ned to survive. Joffrey's actions weren't expected. I don't see how Varys had a hand in Ned's death.

I'm not saying Varys wanted Ned killed.

He just wanted to keep the frickups (Joffery, Cersei, Robert) in power instead of having them overthrown by a unifying Northern Leader (a Stark).

Having Ned confess and kneel to Joffery may have prevented the war, in Varys's eyes.
Posted by manwich
You've wanted my
Member since Oct 2008
52605 posts
Posted on 4/11/13 at 12:40 pm to
liege-lord over the river lands
Posted by F machine
Member since Jun 2009
11886 posts
Posted on 4/11/13 at 12:41 pm to
Yeah, I realize he wanted the idiots running the show. The only flaw to that plan is tywin is there and he's no fool.
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
72170 posts
Posted on 4/11/13 at 12:43 pm to
quote:

He just wanted to keep the frickups (Joffery, Cersei, Robert) in power instead of having them overthrown by a unifying Northern Leader (a Stark).
Interesting point. I support the theory that Varys is actually a Targaryen supporter so that kinda goes against what I think is going to happen, but I see what you are saying.
quote:

Having Ned confess and kneel to Joffery may have prevented the war, in Varys's eyes.
Another way to look at it is that if Ned kneels and is sent to the wall, he might have been able to rally the North.

The only problem with that is that Ned's honor would not permit him to do that and I don't think Varys would put too much faith in that idea.

quote:

liege-lord over the river lands
Thats it.
This post was edited on 4/11/13 at 12:44 pm
Posted by Napoleon
Kenna
Member since Dec 2007
69189 posts
Posted on 4/11/13 at 12:45 pm to
quote:

I'm not saying Varys wanted Ned killed


What is Varys endgame?

We know he is in league with Illyo. We know they were supporting the beggar king. I doubt they expected him to die, as Illiyo even told him to stay while any went to Vaes Dothrak.
Now we have the Blackfyre.

I just don't get what they are doing. Do they really want Targaryens in power? Do they have a larger scheme?

A lot is happening behind the scenes even in the books.

Posted by Hugo Stiglitz
Member since Oct 2010
72937 posts
Posted on 4/11/13 at 12:47 pm to
quote:

I thought tywin masterminded the red wedding.

The Tyrion chapter around page 300 (SoS) where the council meeting takes place.

It's pretty clear Varys was in on the Red Wedding or at least knew about it, along with Tywin.
This post was edited on 4/11/13 at 12:48 pm
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
72170 posts
Posted on 4/11/13 at 12:48 pm to
quote:

Do they really want Targaryens in power? Do they have a larger scheme?
I've heard the theory that Varys is actually a Blackfyre.

He is using his anonymity and position to alter the GoT in the favor of his family.

His endgame, IMO, is to place the Blackfyres on the throne.

quote:

It's pretty clear Varys was in on the Red Wedding or at least knew about it, along with Tywin.
Varys knows about everything though. The fact that he knew about it doesn't mean that he was a part of it.
This post was edited on 4/11/13 at 12:50 pm
Posted by manwich
You've wanted my
Member since Oct 2008
52605 posts
Posted on 4/11/13 at 12:50 pm to
then why help Viserys and Dany? or was that just Illyrio. maybe Illyrio is an either or Targ fan
This post was edited on 4/11/13 at 12:51 pm
Posted by Hugo Stiglitz
Member since Oct 2010
72937 posts
Posted on 4/11/13 at 12:52 pm to
quote:

What is Varys endgame?

He probably got bored in Pentos and looked to Illyio and said, "Hey, you want to steal Westeros? It could be fun."

to which Illyrio replied, "Sure, why not."

quote:

Now we have the Blackfyre.

I don't think Varys gives a frick about the Blackfyre.

quote:

Do they really want Targaryens in power?

They want a good king that will do their bidding.
This post was edited on 4/11/13 at 12:54 pm
Posted by manwich
You've wanted my
Member since Oct 2008
52605 posts
Posted on 4/11/13 at 12:54 pm to
quote:

They want a good king that will do their bidding.
so he wasn't lying when he said he serves "the realm"

Posted by Hugo Stiglitz
Member since Oct 2010
72937 posts
Posted on 4/11/13 at 12:56 pm to


And the realm should serve him.
Posted by F machine
Member since Jun 2009
11886 posts
Posted on 4/11/13 at 12:57 pm to
quote:

I support the theory that Varys is actually a Targaryen supporter


shite is this even a theory anymore? I almost view it as fact.
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
72170 posts
Posted on 4/11/13 at 12:58 pm to
quote:

then why help Viserys and Dany?
Viserys and Dany are true Targs. The other child that we meet in DwD, Young Griff (pseudo-Aegon), is not a true Targ. He is part of the offshoot family, the Blackfyres, but he doesn't know this. He believes that he is a true Targ.

Most people believe that Aegon is dead. Having someone appear claiming to be him would cause speculation. Dany and her brother are known survivors. Their existence offers credence to the survival of the Targaryen line. If they were to support the boy, no one would question his existence.

Once that is handled, Dany and Viserys would then be expendable.

Just my theory.

The fact that Dany now has dragons though offers a whole new usable element to Varys' plan.

As for Illyrio, he is just in it for more money and power, as any rich and powerful individual is. I doubt he really cares much about the Iron Throne. It isn't as if supporting Dany and Viserys is really costing him anything.
This post was edited on 4/11/13 at 1:03 pm
Posted by Sid in Lakeshore
Member since Oct 2008
41956 posts
Posted on 4/11/13 at 12:59 pm to
quote:

Parts in the book allude to Varys knowing about the red wedding ahead of time and possibly masterminding it.

He also urged Ned to kneel to King Joffery to prevent the Starks from overthrowing him.


he also likely convinced Joffrey to behead Ned Stark in lieu of sending him to the wall (to start all out war).
Posted by manwich
You've wanted my
Member since Oct 2008
52605 posts
Posted on 4/11/13 at 1:01 pm to
quote:

If they were to support the boy, no one would question his existence.

Once that is handled, Dany and Viserys would then be expendable.

Just my theory.
solid

you're two steps ahead of my thinking


however, it's a dangerous plan going after a chick with dragons
This post was edited on 4/11/13 at 1:02 pm
Posted by Sid in Lakeshore
Member since Oct 2008
41956 posts
Posted on 4/11/13 at 1:02 pm to
quote:

Edit: And if she does betray Robb, does this mean the showrunners confirmed with Martin that Jeyne Westerling isn't going to play a significant role in the future?


If she does betray Robb, I feel it confirms the suspicions that in the book, Tywin was behind having Jayne Westerling and Robb hook-up. Wetehr Jayne was in on it is another story.
Posted by F machine
Member since Jun 2009
11886 posts
Posted on 4/11/13 at 1:03 pm to
quote:

he also likely convinced Joffrey to behead Ned Stark in lieu of sending him to the wall (to start all out war).


Am I missing something, because I really don't recall this even being hinted at?
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
72170 posts
Posted on 4/11/13 at 1:04 pm to
quote:

however, it's a dangerous plan going after a chick with dragons
Definitely.

I doubt Varys expected her to revive the dragons though. The thing is, she is still vulnerable even with her dragons.
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
72170 posts
Posted on 4/11/13 at 1:05 pm to
quote:

Am I missing something, because I really don't recall this even being hinted at?
It wasn't hinted at. Its just an idea people are having.

I don't think its true though.
Posted by manwich
You've wanted my
Member since Oct 2008
52605 posts
Posted on 4/11/13 at 1:05 pm to
tell that to Ser Urine Mormont and Donatello Selmy
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