re: The Official Way Too Early 2014 and 2016 predictions

[quote]Also, the truth is that it is very rare to have a “ 3 peat ” as president from one party, the lone exception in the last 60 years is Reagan - Bush, other than that the nation rarely stays with one party over 8 years.
/quote]

Same page here, a few months ago:



"re: If Hillary doesn't run, can the Democrats keep the White House? (Posted by NHTIGER on 2/11/14 at 1:32 am to TDsngumbo)

I have heard continuously in my lifetime how one party or the other was "dead", and said party invariably bounces back. It's cyclical and will remain that way. The masses bring things back toward the center because that is where they feel the most comfortable psychologically.

White House residency:

1901-1913 - 12 yrs - GOP

1913-1921 - 8 yrs - Dems

1921-1933 - 12 yrs - GOP

1933-1953 - 20 yrs - Dems

1953-1961 - 8 yrs- GOP

1961-1969 - 8 yrs- Dems

1969-1977 - 8 yrs- GOP

1977-1981 - 4 yrs- Dems

1981-1993 - 12 yrs- GOP

1993-2001 - 8 yrs - Dems

2001-2009 - 8 yrs GOP

2009-2017 - 8 yrs Dems



GOP 60 yrs Dems 56 yrs


Since Kennedy took office:

GOP 28 yrs Dems 28 yrs



Imagine that ..."








Anne Patterson - watch for that name !!!

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That's a good pick.

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Likewise, re your pick of Evan Bayh.

Yeah - poor spelling on my part

If its Jeb vs Hilary I fricking quit

1. GOP
2. 50/50 or GOP by 1
3. Dem
Clinton
Biden

GOP *
Ryan
Rubio

4. Dem
Booker

GOP
Cruz
walker

*Rick Perry, he had been great for Texas but I don't think he can handle the pres

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Bill Nelson Florida senator

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Nelson will be 74 on Election Day 2016, Dems constantly railing about "old white guys" would greatly diminish his chances.

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Gop will have a 52 to 47 lead with one Ind.

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I assume you are counting King as a "Republican" in that total based upon his speculating that he might caucus with the GOP if they take control of the Senate.

Yup, but no one expexts a VEEP to do much anyway, and they can be replaced rather easily. If you have a Yankee woman on the ticket I would think they would try and steal Florida, the biggest toss-up state.

I was speaking of Bernie Sanders as the Independent


However if the republicans win the senate or if it's a 50-50 tie I could see Senator Manchin of West Virginia swapping his allegiance to the republicans over the coal issue.

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Jeb Bush with Vp Rubio

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Can't have both halves of the ticket from the same state.

Well, you can, but it's impractical. Electors have to vote for either a President or a VP who isn't from their own state. So the Florida electors would have to vote for a different VP, and the election will probably be close enough that the GOP couldn't afford to lose those electoral votes. The VP election would end up in the Senate.

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I don't care much who is president I just want a Congress that is fiscally competent.

I don't like one party controlling all 3 branches because they both abuse it.

Gridlock is a good thing

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This. When W had a Republican legislature, the Republicans didn't spend like conservatives.