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Landrieu outperformed the rcp poling averages by 8 points

Posted on 12/7/14 at 12:40 am
Posted by HailHailtoMichigan!
Mission Viejo, CA
Member since Mar 2012
69301 posts
Posted on 12/7/14 at 12:40 am
RCP showed her down 20.2, and she lost by 12.

Even in a red tide year that saw other southern dems go down by twenty or more, this lady managed to over-perform expectations.

Why has she been able to "defy odds" so damn much in elections? I'm glad she's gone, but I wanted a wendy davis type landslide.

Cassidy annoying robocalls probably worked against him.
Posted by Jim Rockford
Member since May 2011
98188 posts
Posted on 12/7/14 at 12:49 am to
My conservative relatives hated, hated Cassidy's negative ads, especially the spelling bee one. So much that they would change the channel or get up and leave the room. They probably still voted for Cassidy, but his advertising really turned them off. So it may have motivated a few of his voters to stay home.

Ideology aside, Cassidy is kind of a doofus and apparently has some ethical baggage related to his double billing LSUMC. He had the wind at his back this time, but I expect somebody to make a hard run at him when he comes up for reelection. Either a Democrat or somebody from his own party.
Posted by HailHailtoMichigan!
Mission Viejo, CA
Member since Mar 2012
69301 posts
Posted on 12/7/14 at 12:52 am to
That, or it could have been cassidy supporters staying home thinking it was in the bag.
Posted by LeonPhelps
Member since May 2008
8185 posts
Posted on 12/7/14 at 12:54 am to
I decided not to vote rather than vote for Cassidy after getting daily robocalls for a while from his supporters, up to 2 or 3 calls a day this past week. I will never vote for a candidate that robocalls me ever again.
Posted by TOKEN
Member since Feb 2014
11990 posts
Posted on 12/7/14 at 1:22 am to
Cassidy's people didn't vote
Posted by cave canem
pullarius dominus
Member since Oct 2012
12186 posts
Posted on 12/7/14 at 3:20 am to
quote:

I will never vote for a candidate that robocalls me ever again.


X2
Posted by Topisawtiger
Mississippi
Member since Oct 2012
3492 posts
Posted on 12/7/14 at 3:22 am to
quote:

That, or it could have been cassidy supporters staying home thinking it was in the bag.


Pretty much this....
Posted by TigerTattle
Out of Town
Member since Sep 2007
6623 posts
Posted on 12/7/14 at 4:37 am to
quote:

RCP showed her down 20.2, and she lost by 12 because RCP showed him up by 20.2
I know of two who didn't vote because "he's got this." Anyone else?

Posted by SpidermanTUba
my house
Member since May 2004
36128 posts
Posted on 12/7/14 at 5:27 am to
quote:


Why has she been able to "defy odds" so damn much in elections?


Hunting season.

quote:

I'm glad she's gone, but I wanted a wendy davis type landslide.



Other than the D and the parts I don't see much in common between the two.
Posted by NC_Tigah
Carolinas
Member since Sep 2003
123920 posts
Posted on 12/7/14 at 6:30 am to
quote:

RCP showed her down 20.2, and she lost by 12.

Even in a red tide year that saw other southern dems go down by twenty or more, this lady managed to over-perform expectations.

Why has she been able to "defy odds" so damn much in elections? I'm glad she's gone, but I wanted a wendy davis type landslide.
Considering she received >40% in the primary, anyone seriously predicting she'd lose by >20% needed their head examined.

Make no mistake though. Landrieu was crushed.

Don't take my word for it.
Here is Politico's account:
quote:



DEMS' FINAL INSULT: LANDRIEU CRUSHED

Cassidy trounces incumbent with Republicans set to control 54 Senate seats in the next Congress.

By James Hohmann
12/6/14 9:49 PM EST


In the final insult of a devastating 2014 election for Democrats, Sen. Mary Landrieu, the party’s last remaining statewide officeholder from the Deep South, was trounced Saturday in the head-to-head Louisiana Senate runoff election.
Republican Bill Cassidy’s resounding victory is the ninth Senate seat picked up by the GOP in this year’s elections, three more than the party needed to take control of the chamber. With nearly all the ballots counted, Cassidy led Landrieu by 14 points, 57 percent to 43 percent.

LINK
Posted by Bestbank Tiger
Premium Member
Member since Jan 2005
71083 posts
Posted on 12/7/14 at 7:19 am to
quote:

Considering she received >40% in the primary, anyone seriously predicting she'd lose by >20% needed their head examined.


I think those people were assuming a lot of her primary voters would stay home this time.
Posted by TrueTiger
Chicken's most valuable
Member since Sep 2004
67926 posts
Posted on 12/7/14 at 7:22 am to
She gone,

and that is all that matters right now.

Christmas has come early!

This post was edited on 12/7/14 at 7:24 am
Posted by Jim Ignatowski
Louisiana
Member since Jul 2013
1383 posts
Posted on 12/7/14 at 7:27 am to
"Hunting season"?????????

Racist much TUba?? Your constant referral to this betrays your inner racism.
Posted by Hooligan's Ghost
Member since Jul 2013
5189 posts
Posted on 12/7/14 at 7:43 am to
this is a figurative celebration


LINK
Posted by dante
Kingwood, TX
Member since Mar 2006
10669 posts
Posted on 12/7/14 at 7:44 am to
I have a very hard time believing she legally got 85% of the vote in Orleans Parish.
Posted by tigerbait3488
River Ridge
Member since Dec 2007
10451 posts
Posted on 12/7/14 at 7:59 am to
I thought the spelling bee commercial was effective and clever. I do not understand how a person cannot vote someone because of ads. Either you like the candidate's message or not. Its not like ML was being an angel in her campaign. Unfortunatley, sometimes you have to pound the truth into people in order for them to see the truth. Bill Cassidy message was clear and simple. ML voted for Obama 97 percent of the time. His message worked!!
Posted by dolamite
st. mary parish
Member since Sep 2009
910 posts
Posted on 12/7/14 at 8:06 am to
Her biggest parish support came from Orleans Parish.
Check out the demographics of that parish, and you'll know why.
Facts are facts... Mary only carried parishes with majority Black voters.
Posted by EST
Investigating
Member since Oct 2003
17832 posts
Posted on 12/7/14 at 8:10 am to
Everyone in my conservative circle loved the spelling bee commercial.
Posted by TigerTattle
Out of Town
Member since Sep 2007
6623 posts
Posted on 12/7/14 at 8:11 am to

Not saying they were all legal, but she lost about 7500 of the votes she had on 11-4. Cassidy picked up about 500.

Mary - from 94905 to 87398
Cassidy - from 15033 to 15585
Posted by Bestbank Tiger
Premium Member
Member since Jan 2005
71083 posts
Posted on 12/7/14 at 8:15 am to
quote:


Mary - from 94905 to 87398
Cassidy - from 15033 to 15585


Those numbers don't seem that crazy for Orleans, given the population and the demographics.
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