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re: 32 degrees at North Pole; Louisiana gulf waters rising?

Posted on 12/25/16 at 4:06 pm to
Posted by Dale51
Member since Oct 2016
32378 posts
Posted on 12/25/16 at 4:06 pm to
quote:

I think between our ingenuity, advances in technology, and the logical shift to alternative energy sources (while still heavily utilizing oil and gas) we (USA) will be just fine.


I think the USA and the rest of the world will be just fine regardless. To date all forms of "alternative energy" has been a miserable failure...but the "experts" promise a breakthrough is "right around the corner"., but why degrade the environment with fake inefficient systems when fossil fuels are the cleanest, most efficient and Earth/human friendly sources readily available?
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
57379 posts
Posted on 12/25/16 at 4:10 pm to
quote:

they dont use averages to do science, just see trends
oh dear!

quote:

the 24hr cycle has absolutely no bearing on the analysis other than nitetime and daytime provide the high and lows at that collection point.
Another whopper. Are you claiming that solar flux = radiation loss capacity so the two "average out"?
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
57379 posts
Posted on 12/25/16 at 4:13 pm to
quote:

it boils down to physics.. nothing more. it's just ridiculously complex and we're ~10-15 years off of having the required computing power.
This simply isn't the case. One cannot model something that happens randomly and expect accurate results. Much of or weather happens with NO regularity, no apparent causality.

I can create a physically complete model of a roulette wheel. Will it predict the result on any single spin? Nope.

If it was just "physics", I'd have all my employees working on a model of the lottery balls machine. But I know they'll never predict the outcome...

quote:

i say let artificial intelligence handle it anyways
"artificial intelligence" can only mimic actual intelligence. Are you suggesting that an intelligent entity (a being) drives the weather?
This post was edited on 12/25/16 at 4:18 pm
Posted by bmy
Nashville
Member since Oct 2007
48203 posts
Posted on 12/25/16 at 9:08 pm to
quote:


This simply isn't the case. One cannot model something that happens randomly and expect accurate results. Much of or weather happens with NO regularity, no apparent causality.



not only is that wrong it's absurd it's not like god is waving a magic wand

quote:


I can create a physically complete model of a roulette wheel. Will it predict the result on any single spin? Nope.



if it addressed all possible variables it would be 100% accurate

quote:


"artificial intelligence" can only mimic actual intelligence. Are you suggesting that an intelligent entity (a being) drives the weather?


No. I'm suggesting that an artificially created intelligence will one day be able to accurately predict all weather events that will occur on any given day X days into the future.. in the same way that artificial intelligence can effectively create cures for diseases, diagnose medical conditions, or function as lawyers.

Deep Learning AI/Neural Networks
This post was edited on 12/25/16 at 9:11 pm
Posted by bmy
Nashville
Member since Oct 2007
48203 posts
Posted on 12/25/16 at 9:17 pm to
quote:


I think the USA and the rest of the world will be just fine regardless. To date all forms of "alternative energy" has been a miserable failure...but the "experts" promise a breakthrough is "right around the corner"., but why degrade the environment with fake inefficient systems when fossil fuels are the cleanest, most efficient and Earth/human friendly sources readily available?


Nuclear is cleaner and more efficient than fossil fuels for starters. Solar is an incredible technology and has made remarkable strides in the last 5 years. Fusion should obviously be pursued but who knows where that will go. Solar is the future.. may as well buckle up and get used to it. Will be a happy day when the big oil giants fall.
This post was edited on 12/25/16 at 9:23 pm
Posted by dmjones
Acworth, GA
Member since Mar 2016
2303 posts
Posted on 12/25/16 at 9:20 pm to
Second warmest Christmas on record in Atlanta.
Posted by SmoothOperator96
TD Premium Member
Member since Jan 2016
4044 posts
Posted on 12/26/16 at 8:32 am to
Humans have been releasing CO2 into the air since fire was discovered.
Posted by Dale51
Member since Oct 2016
32378 posts
Posted on 12/26/16 at 9:09 am to
quote:

Second warmest Christmas on record in Atlanta.


So, being second, it's cooling.

Posted by Dale51
Member since Oct 2016
32378 posts
Posted on 12/26/16 at 9:12 am to
quote:

Nuclear is cleaner and more efficient than fossil fuels for starters.


Nukes are great, but they don't have the secondary benefits of fossils.

Solar and wind are like some kind of bad joke. Their only practical use is in the homestead/commune setting.
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
57379 posts
Posted on 12/26/16 at 12:32 pm to
quote:

not only is that wrong it's absurd
OK. Then why don't you make a model and predict next week's lottery?

quote:

it's not like god is waving a magic wand
oh look. A claim no one made.

quote:

if it addressed all possible variables it would be 100% accurate
nope.

quote:

No. I'm suggesting that an artificially created intelligence will one day be able to accurately predict all weather events that will occur on any given day X days into the future..
Prepare for disappointment.
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
57379 posts
Posted on 12/26/16 at 12:34 pm to
quote:

Humans have been releasing CO2 into the air since fire was discovered.
Ya but it only counts if you use oil or coal.
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