Which SP's with ADP's over 200 are you planning to target?

The ADP's are from ESPN

Here are a few that I plan to target

Scott Kazmir (213 ADP)- Injury will always be a risk but given how late he is going I think drafting him is well worth the risk. Aside from a terrible August he was pretty solid last season. His FIP and ERA were pretty close at 3.55 and 3.35. Add in the fact that he has posted career lows in walk rates the past two seasons and you have a pitcher that is significantly undervalued.

Mike Fiers (224 ADP)- He was pretty awesome when he was given a spot in the rotation late last season. He did outperform his FIP by .86 and also posted a ridiculous .288 BABIP which means he will certainly be due for some regression this season. Even after you factor in some regression, he should be an absolute steal if he is able to sustain a K/9 rate between 8.5-9.0 even if the ERA and WHIP regress.


Matt Shoemaker (221 ADP)- He really came out of nowhere last season and put up some insane numbers. Before 2014 he previously had problems with his command and strikeout rate but managed to drastically improve both of those rates last season. Some regression will likely occur, but I don't think it will be as drastic as most sites are projecting especially if you consider how close his FIP 3.26 and ERA 3.04 where in 2014.

Brandon McCarthy (231 ADP)- Another guy who is likely being heavily discounted because of the injury risk that is associated with him. Like Kazmir, I plan to target him because the potential reward is much greater than the risk. Personally, I buy into the changes that he made while with the Yankees last season. I remember reading last summer that the dumb arse coaches in Arizona discouraged him from throwing his cutter and as soon as he landed with the Yankees he went back to throwing it. In his 14 starts with the Yankees he was 7-5 and posted a 3.22 FIP, 2.89 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, and a 8.17 K/9. I expect him to post an ERA around 3.20-3.40, provide a solid K rate, provide 10+ wins.