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Buy Buy Buy
Posted on 11/5/14 at 7:34 am
Posted on 11/5/14 at 7:34 am
"In the 12 months after a midterm election, the S&P has averaged 17.5% average growth and has never declined going back to 1946. Never!"
stocks ALWAYS rise after mid-term elections....
more of same
thoughts?
stocks ALWAYS rise after mid-term elections....
more of same
thoughts?
1
Posted on 11/5/14 at 7:44 am to Ole War Skule
What are stocks doing 12 months before midterms historically?
Posted on 11/5/14 at 8:26 am to ell_13
Why would it matter? Just wondering your thoughts if he talking of buying today.
Posted on 11/5/14 at 9:39 am to GeeOH
If he's talking trends, I was just curious what was going on before the midterms compared to after.
Posted on 11/5/14 at 9:43 am to GeeOH
quote:
Why would it matter?
It would matter because, historically, stocks have always tended up. So the odds are that stocks average gaining in the 12 months before a midterm too. Anyway what's the evidence of correlation? You could probably look back at the historical results and come up with something like, the stock market averages a 20% gain in the six weeks after the Saints beat the Bucs by more than two touchdowns. Doesn't mean it means anything.
Posted on 11/5/14 at 9:55 am to Cold Cous Cous
quote:
You could probably look back at the historical results and come up with something like, the stock market averages a 20% gain in the six weeks after the Saints beat the Bucs by more than two touchdowns
While 'evidence' of correlation is circumstantial, I would say that there may be something to the fact that after EVERY mid term election since 1946, stocks were higher over the next 12 months.
Your reply suggests that you think national elections have as much effect on stock prices as a Saints game
Posted on 11/5/14 at 9:56 am to Cold Cous Cous
stock market always does better right after I sell off, its foolproof,
Posted on 11/5/14 at 10:11 am to Ole War Skule
quote:
Your reply suggests that you think national elections have as much effect on stock prices as a Saints game
"suggests?"
Posted on 11/5/14 at 11:31 am to Cold Cous Cous
Correlation vs Causation
I would tend to think the economy prior to and the election results would influence the market more than simply the existence of midterm elections.
Posted on 11/5/14 at 12:41 pm to LSUtigerME
Reduction in use of Microsoft products=less user frustration=lower murder rate.
Works for me...
Works for me...
Posted on 11/5/14 at 12:47 pm to AndyCBR
I think it's very possible positive trends happen as confidence is gained after the elections. Everyone, right or wrong, thinks that many of the issues will now be solved and have a better long term outlook on the market.
OR, every single investor in the world reads the OP's post and decides it's enough for them to jump in.
OR, every single investor in the world reads the OP's post and decides it's enough for them to jump in.
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