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I'm Concerned about the Potential "Mushrooming" Effect with Ebola

Posted on 10/15/14 at 12:34 pm
Posted by KCT
Psalm 23:5
Member since Feb 2010
38911 posts
Posted on 10/15/14 at 12:34 pm
I'm reading these threads, and realizing that there are people here who are still saying that this aEbola situation is practically much ado about nothing. Well, let me throw out a few facts:

(1) The WHO is now projecting that we will soon see 10,000 new cases of Ebola EACH WEEK. Now, obviously they are talking about the epidemic growing in the already affected areas of Africa.
HOWEVER, this projection of an exponential increase means that the potential for Ebola-infected people traveling to America could increase exponentially, too.

(2) Each one of these Ebola victims has had dozens of "direct" contacts. It appears that we have had mostly good news so far regarding the contacts for Duncan, except for 2 healthcare workers, but if/when there are more people testing positive for Ebola, the number of contacts for these people will probably be in the dozens, too. In fact, the second healthcare worker was on a commercial flight just 2-3 days ago, and her potential contacts from the flight alone is up to 132.

That's my biggest concern. The sheer number of people coming into contact with infected people, and the possibility that these numbers could end up growing exponentially. I'm reluctant to use the term "law of averages," but this is what bothers me the most.

Are we already in the process of experiencing this?

EDIT - I've corrected my mistake of attributing that projection to CDC. it was the WHO that issued the projection.
This post was edited on 10/15/14 at 3:03 pm
Posted by goatmilker
Castle Anthrax
Member since Feb 2009
64311 posts
Posted on 10/15/14 at 12:35 pm to
I have met no one who is unconcerned FWIW.
Posted by TT9
Global warming
Member since Sep 2008
82952 posts
Posted on 10/15/14 at 12:36 pm to
Still don't care here. Worrying about stuff is not how I'm gonna live my life.
Posted by bamarep
Member since Nov 2013
51798 posts
Posted on 10/15/14 at 12:36 pm to
we'll know in 21 days
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
72058 posts
Posted on 10/15/14 at 12:40 pm to
quote:

The CDC is now projecting that we will soon see 10,000 new cases of Ebola EACH WEEK.
That was the WHO talking about Africa.

It won't happen.
quote:

Each one of these Ebola victims has had dozens of "direct" contacts. It appears that we have had mostly good news so far regarding the contacts for Duncan, except for 2 healthcare workers, but if/when there are more people testing positive for Ebola, the number of contacts for these people will probably be in the dozens, too.
Well, get back to Scruffy when it actually starts spreading.

Until then, unbunch your panties, Cindy.
quote:

Are we already in the process of experiencing this?

No.
This post was edited on 10/15/14 at 12:41 pm
Posted by Pettifogger
Capitol Hill Autonomous Zone
Member since Feb 2012
79159 posts
Posted on 10/15/14 at 12:41 pm to
quote:

(1) The CDC is now projecting that we will soon see 10,000 new cases of Ebola EACH WEEK. Now, obviously they are talking about the epidemic growing in the already affected areas of Africa.



Categorically false. FFS people.
Posted by S.E.C. Crazy
Alabama
Member since Feb 2013
7905 posts
Posted on 10/15/14 at 12:41 pm to
TT9, I will personally buy you and Rex one way tickets to Liberia to care for those Ebola infected patients.

Have a heart.
Posted by Pettifogger
Capitol Hill Autonomous Zone
Member since Feb 2012
79159 posts
Posted on 10/15/14 at 12:41 pm to
Not only was it WHO, WHO was not projecting we'd see that. WHO said it was a possibility we'd see 5k-10k a week, but that they hoped we'd be seeing a decline in cases per week by the new year.
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
72058 posts
Posted on 10/15/14 at 12:42 pm to
quote:

Not only was it WHO, WHO was not projecting we'd see that. WHO said it was a possibility we'd see 5k-10k a week, but that they hoped we'd be seeing a decline in cases per week by the new year.
Whoa.

Slow your roll. We can't scare people more with talk like that.
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
90552 posts
Posted on 10/15/14 at 12:45 pm to
I just heard the CDC is quarantining a town 70 miles from Dallas because 5 new patients tested positive
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
72058 posts
Posted on 10/15/14 at 12:48 pm to
quote:

I just heard the CDC is quarantining a town 70 miles from Dallas because 5 new patients tested positive
Are they going to firebomb the town?

Hopefully Dustin Hoffman is available.
Posted by KCT
Psalm 23:5
Member since Feb 2010
38911 posts
Posted on 10/15/14 at 12:48 pm to
It was WHO, but here's an article:

LINK /
Posted by moneyg
Member since Jun 2006
56452 posts
Posted on 10/15/14 at 12:52 pm to
quote:

I have met no one who is unconcerned FWIW.



There are many on here who are adamant (strangely so, IMO) that there is nothing to be concerned about.
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
72058 posts
Posted on 10/15/14 at 12:53 pm to
quote:

There are many on here who are adamant (strangely so, IMO) that there is nothing to be concerned about.
At this time, there is nothing to be concerned about.
Posted by moneyg
Member since Jun 2006
56452 posts
Posted on 10/15/14 at 12:54 pm to
quote:

At this time, there is nothing to be concerned about.



This line of thinking is illogical, IMO.

Once there is something to worry about by your definition, it will have already happened.
Posted by Hawkeye95
Member since Dec 2013
20293 posts
Posted on 10/15/14 at 12:56 pm to
if you are going to be worried about something be worried about Enterovirus D68

its airborne and also has caused several fatalities. Its spreading like wildfire through schools.

Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
72058 posts
Posted on 10/15/14 at 12:59 pm to
quote:

Once there is something to worry about by your definition, it will have already happened.
From the standpoint of an individual who lives in a state that has not had a case of Ebola and who cannot do anything to affect whether or not it spreads, no, there is nothing to worry about.

Are you afraid? Are you scared for your health and your family's health?

Why? There have been no cases in LA and the only 2 known cases are in healthcare workers who had direct contact with the original host.

At this time, I see no reason to be concerned. If it continues to spread, I'll be more concerned.

Until then, everyone's fears are more disruptive and destructive than this "outbreak" is.
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
72058 posts
Posted on 10/15/14 at 1:00 pm to
quote:

if you are going to be worried about something be worried about Enterovirus D68 its airborne and also has caused several fatalities. Its spreading like wildfire through schools.
It has also shown a possible link to polio-like syndromes in children.

No one gives a crap about that anymore though.
Posted by Hawkeye95
Member since Dec 2013
20293 posts
Posted on 10/15/14 at 1:02 pm to
quote:

It has also shown a possible link to polio-like syndromes in children.

No one gives a crap about that anymore though.

i care scruffy

apparently its burning through hospitals too.

some lady in denver died last week of it, adult too.
Posted by S.E.C. Crazy
Alabama
Member since Feb 2013
7905 posts
Posted on 10/15/14 at 1:06 pm to
Drudge headline : Passenger wears Hazmat suit to Dulles Airport.
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