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So, Ebola has a 50 - 70 % mortality rate in West Africa, but 0 % in US?

Posted on 10/1/14 at 10:42 am
Posted by mizzoukills
Member since Aug 2011
40686 posts
Posted on 10/1/14 at 10:42 am
Hmmmmmm?
This post was edited on 10/1/14 at 10:44 am
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
126962 posts
Posted on 10/1/14 at 10:43 am to
Yeah, so?

ETA: The average life expectancy in Liberia is 54 years old. In the U.S. it's 79.8 years old.

What is your point??
This post was edited on 10/1/14 at 10:48 am
Posted by Fun Bunch
New Orleans
Member since May 2008
115906 posts
Posted on 10/1/14 at 10:44 am to
Go to a hospital and Africa. Then go to one here.

Mystery solved.
Posted by burdman
Louisiana
Member since Aug 2007
20686 posts
Posted on 10/1/14 at 10:48 am to
quote:

Ebola has a 50 - 70 % mortality rate in West Africa, but 0 % in US


With all this information coming out about Ebola, it's not quite as scary as it used to be.

Don't get me wrong, it's terrible and I would never want it or want anyone else to get it. I just used to think it was like a disease where you were guaranteed to die and die instantly.

Guess I was just ignant.
Posted by inelishaitrust
Oxford, MS
Member since Jan 2008
26079 posts
Posted on 10/1/14 at 10:49 am to
We have the means to keep people alive here. I'd imagine that if it became an epidemic the mortality rate would increase.
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
126962 posts
Posted on 10/1/14 at 10:50 am to
quote:

I just used to think it was like a disease where you were guaranteed to die and die instantly.
I think I saw that movie, too. Wasn't Samuel L. Jackson in it?
Posted by LSU0358
Member since Jan 2005
7918 posts
Posted on 10/1/14 at 10:50 am to
quote:

Go to a hospital and Africa. Then go to one here.


Most Africans don't have access to medical care as we know it here. Countries like Liberia have medical care that is orders of magnitude worse than Nigeria, much less the US.
Posted by wickowick
Head of Island
Member since Dec 2006
45812 posts
Posted on 10/1/14 at 10:50 am to
quote:

We have the means to keep people alive here. I'd imagine that if it became an epidemic the mortality rate would increase.


I wonder how many patients the US can treat at a given time...
Posted by bhtigerfan
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2008
29481 posts
Posted on 10/1/14 at 10:59 am to
A "hospital" in Liberia is basically a waiting room for the graveyard.
Posted by mizzoukills
Member since Aug 2011
40686 posts
Posted on 10/1/14 at 11:00 am to
So when media/doctors indicate that this version of Ebola Zaire has a 50 - 70 percent mortality rate, that stat isn't necessarily concrete, right?

They make it seem like Ebola has a 50 - 70 percent mortality rate period, regardless of wherever the outbreak were to occur.

However, that clearly isn't the case. For example, this strain may have a 1 - 10 percent mortality rate in the US, versus a 50 - 70 percent mortality rate in Liberia, versus an 80 - 90 percent mortality in a shittier country...right?
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
126962 posts
Posted on 10/1/14 at 11:02 am to
quote:

For example, this strain may have a 1 - 10 percent mortality rate in the US
So you think 2 or 3 cases in the U.S. is a valid sample number to base your thread's statistics upon?
Posted by roygu
Member since Jan 2004
11718 posts
Posted on 10/1/14 at 11:05 am to
Americans are not a special people.
You didn't build it.
A black man was killed in Ferguson, Mo.
I apoligize for the mistakes that we have made.
Posted by TigerRad
Columbia, SC
Member since Jan 2007
5354 posts
Posted on 10/1/14 at 11:11 am to
with no care at all, its >90% mortality

with some basic supportive care like that available in some underdeveloped countries (hydration, respiratory and nutritional support etc), 50-70% may be more possible.

With full, modern ICU care, there are no legit statistics, but I'd guess we could reduce the number to the 10-20% range. Of course, even large hospitals in major US cities have a limited number of beds that can provide that level of care. Most ICUs can handle around a dozen patients. In a true epidemic, those resources will be quickly exhausted.
Posted by mizzoukills
Member since Aug 2011
40686 posts
Posted on 10/1/14 at 11:13 am to
Give me a break, Russian. No need to enter this thread as a penis gobbler.

It was an arbitrary example and you know it.
Posted by Bard
Definitely NOT an admin
Member since Oct 2008
51648 posts
Posted on 10/1/14 at 11:16 am to
quote:

So, Ebola has a 50 - 70 % mortality rate in West Africa, but 0 % in US?


Because the amount of cases in the US can be counted on one hand. The cases in West Africa are legion.
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
72128 posts
Posted on 10/1/14 at 11:28 am to
quote:

So when media/doctors indicate that this version of Ebola Zaire has a 50 - 70 percent mortality rate, that stat isn't necessarily concrete, right?
Facility and medical care likely has a large impact on that percentage, but at this time, our sample size is too small.

You can't make a determination off of 2-3 cases. We have never had a large scale outbreak here, and hopefully we never will.
This post was edited on 10/1/14 at 11:29 am
Posted by trackfan
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2010
19691 posts
Posted on 10/1/14 at 11:35 am to
We know that there was a higher mortality rate among Native Americans for the diseases that Europeans brought over here than there was among Euopreans. The two American doctors who survived it are of European descent, while one of their colleagues, a Liberian doctor who was treated with the same drugs they were treated with, did not survive. It's counterintuitive to think that Europeans would have a higher survival rate than Africans, but I guess that's a possibility.
Posted by mizzoukills
Member since Aug 2011
40686 posts
Posted on 10/1/14 at 11:48 am to
TigerRad

quote:

with no care at all, its >90% mortality with some basic supportive care like that available in some underdeveloped countries (hydration, respiratory and nutritional support etc), 50-70% may be more possible. With full, modern ICU care, there are no legit statistics, but I'd guess we could reduce the number to the 10-20% range. Of course, even large hospitals in major US cities have a limited number of beds that can provide that level of care. Most ICUs can handle around a dozen patients. In a true epidemic, those resources will be quickly exhausted.



Great post
Posted by bhtigerfan
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2008
29481 posts
Posted on 10/1/14 at 11:55 am to
quote:

versus a 50 - 70 percent mortality rate in Liberia, versus an 80 - 90 percent mortality in a shittier country...right?

What shithole could be worse than Liberia? North Korea? It doesn't get any shittier than Liberia.
Posted by TigerRad
Columbia, SC
Member since Jan 2007
5354 posts
Posted on 10/1/14 at 11:59 am to
quote:

Great post


i do my best to stick to facts and well-supported suppositions on the rare occasion that I post on the poli board
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