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Started By
Message
Statistics suggest the USA should advance
Posted on 6/23/14 at 12:19 am
Posted on 6/23/14 at 12:19 am
Germany: 253/256 = 98.82% chance of advancing
USA: 221/256 = 86.32% chance of advancing
Ghana: 36/256 = 14.06% chance of advancing
Portugal: 3/256 = 0.01172 chance of advancing
Guys, unless the soccer gods decide to go ayyyyy lmao all over the place on Thursday, I think we have a CLEAR two-team race
8
Posted on 6/23/14 at 12:22 am to Gcockboi
Let's just give a big frick you to the rest of the planet and beat Germany. 
No collusion though, I don't trust those bastards.
No collusion though, I don't trust those bastards.
Posted on 6/23/14 at 12:29 am to Gcockboi
Yeh, we're a likely favorite to advance, but 15% is nothing to scoff at.
I just hope Portugal has one decent game in them this tournament.
I just hope Portugal has one decent game in them this tournament.
Posted on 6/23/14 at 12:35 am to Gcockboi
If Germany had beat Ghana we'd be about 10 points higher to advance at least.
Posted on 6/23/14 at 12:37 am to Cockopotamus
i think we can beat Germany, we match up well with them. They don't have the speed on the outside to stop us on the wings, Fabian will be important to create.
Posted on 6/23/14 at 12:38 am to Gcockboi
I really hope so. I can and will go apesh!t if that goal ends up knocking us out. It pretty much cost us the group unless we beat Germany. Would have loved to have a no pressure game with them and get a draw to end on 7 points.
As long as we advance im cool with whatever happens. 86.33% seems like good odds.
As long as we advance im cool with whatever happens. 86.33% seems like good odds.
Posted on 6/23/14 at 1:47 am to LukeSidewalker
So if we lose 3-0 and Portugal wins 2-0, then we have to draw lots?
Ho lee shite, can you even fathom how fricked we would be in that scenario?
Ho lee shite, can you even fathom how fricked we would be in that scenario?
This post was edited on 6/23/14 at 1:47 am
Posted on 6/23/14 at 1:48 am to NawlinsTiger9
I really think Portugal holding Ghana scoreless is the least likely scenario.
Posted on 6/23/14 at 1:50 am to Riseupfromtherubble
I agree. I think Ghana wins 3-1, which means we absolutely have to get points out of our match.
Posted on 6/23/14 at 2:02 am to NawlinsTiger9
That upper leftmost orange square scares the shite out of me.
Posted on 6/23/14 at 2:02 am to NawlinsTiger9
I am still flummoxed by the Americans' choice to be based in Sao Paolo given the stadium schedule of the group. Yeah the Manaus game was always going to be a trip, but seriously being based in SP is basically like having most of your games take place in the NE/Montreal (with the outlier in Calgary) and deciding to be based in Miami. It makes even less sense when you realize that the Group G second place will again play up in the NEastern quadrant in teh round of 16.
The G1 does have to hoof it to the most southern stadium in Port Alegre, but still, it seems like particularly crappy planning on the US's part. To put it in perspective, USA has something like 9000miles of travel in 2 weeks. Germany has around 2300.
The G1 does have to hoof it to the most southern stadium in Port Alegre, but still, it seems like particularly crappy planning on the US's part. To put it in perspective, USA has something like 9000miles of travel in 2 weeks. Germany has around 2300.
Posted on 6/23/14 at 2:04 am to DallasTiger11
quote:
That upper leftmost orange square scares the shite out of me.
Right? I have to admit that both of those results seem extremely probable
Posted on 6/23/14 at 2:05 am to NawlinsTiger9
Except that Ghana loses one of their key offensive players and Portugal gets one of their key defensive players back. I don't know about the injuries for Portugal, but would any of them be back for this game?
Posted on 6/23/14 at 2:17 am to SoGaFan
Statistics huh? What was the likelihood of us drawing with one minute to play and Bradley controlling the ball today?
I'm going to guess 15% is greater
I'm going to guess 15% is greater
Posted on 6/23/14 at 2:19 am to SoGaFan
Portugal has almost nothing to play for. That's the worrisome part for me.
Posted on 6/23/14 at 2:24 am to SoGaFan
quote:
I am still flummoxed by the Americans' choice to be based in Sao Paolo given the stadium schedule of the group
Pretty sure I heard that the US decided to be based in Sao Paolo before the groups were drawn/game locations set.
Why they would set a base before knowing where and when they were going to be playing is a completely different and valid question
Posted on 6/23/14 at 7:41 am to Cockopotamus
I guess we'll see. I'll refrain from over the top negative comments. US just has to find a way to recover from Sunday. The Germans will be playing for a W.
Posted on 6/23/14 at 7:44 am to Cockopotamus
quote:
Why they would set a base before knowing where and when they were going to be playing is a completely different and valid question
Because everybody wanted that base camp, we had to jump on it.
Posted on 6/23/14 at 8:47 am to SoGaFan
quote:
I am still flummoxed by the Americans' choice to be based in Sao Paolo given the stadium schedule of the group.
Are they not just flying from one location to another? Seems to be the most logical. Finish game last night, stay in local hotel then fly out mid-day to site for Thursday game.
Posted on 6/23/14 at 8:50 am to Golfer
quote:
Are they not just flying from one location to another? Seems to be the most logical. Finish game last night, stay in local hotel then fly out mid-day to site for Thursday game.
Ummm, there is the matter of practice field and access to other facilities (weight rooms, recovery pools, etc.) that is VERY important in these next few days.
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