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LSU is team 74 in Bracketology

Posted on 2/10/14 at 7:43 am
Posted by LSUTigKyl
Nashville
Member since May 2009
1812 posts
Posted on 2/10/14 at 7:43 am
While it is a major uphill battle we are still in the mix. Basically LSU has to win the next two games on the road to have a shot. LINK
Posted by bayoubengal225
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Jan 2009
5268 posts
Posted on 2/10/14 at 7:49 am to
55??? That thing is hard to read fo sho!
This post was edited on 2/10/14 at 7:50 am
Posted by NeverRains
Texas
Member since Jun 2012
3010 posts
Posted on 2/10/14 at 7:50 am to
I think 74 is the projected final order
Posted by CP3LSU25
Louisiana
Member since Feb 2009
51150 posts
Posted on 2/10/14 at 7:58 am to
Seems like this happens every year
Posted by Choupique19
The cheap seats
Member since Sep 2005
61927 posts
Posted on 2/10/14 at 8:23 am to
quote:

Basically LSU has to win the next two games on the road to have a shot. LINK


Well, me thinks that LSU can lose the next 7 in a row and still have a shot to make the NCAA tournament if they win the SEC tournament.
Posted by T
Member since Jan 2004
9889 posts
Posted on 2/10/14 at 8:26 am to
So that has us as the 6th team out. I think the people who freak out over where we are positioned right now are the ones who expect the 10 teams above and below us to all go undefeated the rest of the year.
Posted by LSUTigKyl
Nashville
Member since May 2009
1812 posts
Posted on 2/10/14 at 9:45 am to
If we can find a way to win at TAMU on Wednesday (which I in no way am confident about), it would essentially set up a "stay-in" game between Arkansas and LSU next Saturday in my opinion.

Our biggest help so far has been St. Joe's winning against tournament teams in their conference. We need to keep rooting for them, and rooting against the bubble teams. Should be a fun stretch if we can have on good week on the road.
Posted by TopWaterTiger
Lake Charles, LA
Member since May 2006
10213 posts
Posted on 2/10/14 at 9:51 am to
quote:

Should be a fun stretch if we can have on good week on the road.


Nothing I've seen yet has lead me to believe this can happen. (and I'm not a negatiger)

Bottom line is this team should at least be 18-4 (7-3 in SEC) and in a comfortable spot in the tourney mix.

Do they have the talent to win a few on the road?? Absolutely!
Posted by LSUTigKyl
Nashville
Member since May 2009
1812 posts
Posted on 2/10/14 at 9:53 am to
quote:

Well, me thinks that LSU can lose the next 7 in a row and still have a shot to make the NCAA tournament if they win the SEC tournament.



Great thought. LSU has won the SEC tournmanet once ever. 1980. Only 34 years ago. Should be fairly easy.
Posted by iknowmorethanyou
Paydirt
Member since Jul 2007
6548 posts
Posted on 2/10/14 at 9:58 am to
Makes perfect sense that ESPN has Arkansas in at this point and LSU out.
Posted by TigerCub
Team Boxtard
Member since May 2006
20230 posts
Posted on 2/10/14 at 10:00 am to
IMO we can't lose any other games aside from Kentucky and Florida. 11-7 in the SEC won't get us in the Big Dance.
Posted by lsumatt
Austin
Member since Feb 2005
12812 posts
Posted on 2/10/14 at 10:03 am to
quote:

IMO we can't lose any other games aside from Kentucky and Florida. 11-7 in the SEC won't get us in the Big Dance.


Disagree. I think we are on the bubble right now; probably last 4 out. 5-3 in the regular season should be enough and how we go 5-3 is almost irrelevant.

We probably couldn't lay a complete egg though in the tourney and might need to make the semi-finals. But finishing 11-7 (probably 4th in the SEC) and 4th in the tourney gets us in.
Posted by TigerCub
Team Boxtard
Member since May 2006
20230 posts
Posted on 2/10/14 at 10:08 am to
The SEC is a weak conference. There were two teams that went 12-6 last year and didn't get in.
Posted by More beer please
Member since Feb 2010
45053 posts
Posted on 2/10/14 at 10:10 am to
quote:

LSU is team 74 in Bracketology


That UGA loss absolutely killed us
Posted by Bear Is Dead
Monroe
Member since Nov 2007
4696 posts
Posted on 2/10/14 at 10:11 am to
quote:

IMO we can't lose any other games aside from Kentucky and Florida. 11-7 in the SEC won't get us in the Big Dance.

Yes. 12-6 probably wont get us in either.
Posted by Harry Caray
Denial
Member since Aug 2009
18648 posts
Posted on 2/10/14 at 10:11 am to
If we had any idea how to play basketball on the road, I'd like our chances. However....
Posted by Alt26
Member since Mar 2010
28386 posts
Posted on 2/10/14 at 10:18 am to
quote:

Disagree. I think we are on the bubble right now; probably last 4 out. 5-3 in the regular season should be enough and how we go 5-3 is almost irrelevant.


5-3 with wins over UK and UF (on the road) would carry a hell of a lot more weight than 5-3 with losses to both of those teams.

Right now, LSU has a few "bad" losses and really only one "good" win. The committee doesn't focus strictly on where you finished in the conf. (Alabama was the West champ a few years back and didn't make the NCAAT). They look at:

Who you played in the OOC part of the schedule and how you did against those teams.

How many "bad" losses do you have vs. "good" wins. Those good wins will carry more weight than the bad losses.

Right now, LSU has one good win-UK and 3 bad (though not horrible) losses - Bama, UGA, RI. Couple that with the fact that their OOC schedule wasn't great, and LSU is on the outside looking in.

11-7 with a season sweep of UK, or wins over UK and UF would likely get LSU in.

11-7 with only one "good" win in the bunch probably won't cut it
Posted by josh336
baton rouge
Member since Jan 2007
77510 posts
Posted on 2/10/14 at 10:31 am to
Do these projections take into account a few cinderellas winning their conference tourneys and stealing a couple spots from bubble teams?
Posted by lsumatt
Austin
Member since Feb 2005
12812 posts
Posted on 2/10/14 at 10:34 am to
quote:

5-3 with wins over UK and UF (on the road) would carry a hell of a lot more weight than 5-3 with losses to both of those teams.


Maybe, but beating one of those teams would have to come with a trade off of another "bad loss".
Posted by Bear Is Dead
Monroe
Member since Nov 2007
4696 posts
Posted on 2/10/14 at 10:46 am to
quote:

11-7 with a season sweep of UK, or wins over UK and UF would likely get LSU in.

If we beat Florida and Kentucky, who the hell are the other three teams that we lose to?
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