Let's get realistic: best and worst case scenerios for Bowl Game | TigerDroppings.com

Posted byMessage
Ghostfacedistiller
USA Fan
BR
Member since Jun 2008
15617 posts

Let's get realistic: best and worst case scenerios for Bowl Game



Alright, I'm trying to get caught up on this stuff and thought I'd lay it all out. The biggest domino to fall, potentially, IMO is the issue of Kent State (visiting Tiger Stadium next year) going to the BCS by finishing in the top 16 and ahead of Big East Champ or ACC (Ga Tech) and pushing other teams down.

We have in official "order" five possibilities, with the most likely possibility being the Chick-Fil-A Bowl:

1. Capital One Bowl (SEC No. 2) vs. Big 10 No. 2

Georgia/Alabama is most often picked for this game and the Big 10 is awful with Michigan the common choice and possibly Northwestern. Should Wisconsin upset Nebraska, the Huskers could call to Cap One, bumping down the Big 10 order. However, I've also read the Cap One does not want NU since they were there last year. I'm guessing the SEC CG loser would have to lose in humiliating fashion for LSU to have a chance.

For LSU a tweet was sent out yesterday from the bowl: "@krisbrauner Michigan/Alabama rematch not likely; Michigan/LSU definitely possible"

Best Case: vs. No. 12 Nebraska
Worst Case: vs. No. 19 Michigan or No. 22 Northwestern.


2. Cotton Bowl (SEC, typically SEC West) vs. Big 12 No. 2

Texas A&M is common pick, however Dallas Morning News projects LSU. Opponents could be K-State/Oklahoma if either is passed by BCS or No. 23 Oklahoma State, or Texas.

I really depends on if the Big 12 gets two teams. Oklahoma would likely need to lose to TCU this week to slide. I'd like to be optimistic in thinking that the Capital One Bowl will want a Heisman-winning JFF happy to be in a new place instead of a beat down Georgia team unhappy to be there, and Texas politics will prevent at UT/A&M rematch, but all speculation. Of course LSU was just there and is going back again in August.

Best Case: LSU vs. No. 11 Oklahoma/No. 6 K-State
Worst Case: LSU vs. 23 Oklahoma State and really no loser here with Texas in the mix, although unranked.

2. Outback Bowl (SEC, typically SEC East) vs. Big 10 No. 3

Game typically goes to Eastern Division team. Since 1998, only one West Team (Auburn in 2009 game) has been selected. South Carolina is a common projection to play against No. 22. Northwestern. ESPN.com projects LSU to play in this game. Michigan could fall, and Wisconsin could also end up here. LSU played only once in this bowl, the 1989 game, so maybe they want someone fresh.

Best Case: LSU vs. No. 12 Nebraska or No 19 Michigan
Worst Case: LSU vs. No. 22 Northwestern or unranked Wisconsin

4. Chick-Fil-A Bowl (SEC No. 5) vs. ACC No. 2

We all know this is the common pick and is most often projected to go against ACC No. 2, projected as No. 14 Clemson. It is possible that if No. 13 FSU loses to 6-6 Georgia Tech, they could slide to CFA bowl. North Carolina and Miami are no eligible for post season, so ACC is even weaker than usual.

However, Scout projects a crazy scenario where Oklahoma losing could open the door for Clemson to get in as an at large BCS team, thus weakening the ACC further and giving LSU a huge drop off in opponents. LINK

Best Case: LSU vs. No. 14 Clemson or No. 15 FSU (after devastating ACC CG loss)
Worst Case: LSU vs. Unranked VaTech (going to Atl. to open season), Unranked NC State (just fired coach) or unranked Duke.

5. Gator (SEC 6) vs. Big 10 4/5It would seem highly unlikely LSU would fall this far, but most projections have Wisconsin as the opponent. Should Wisconsin win the B1G, maybe Northwestern would fall to this spot.

Best Case: LSU vs. No. 22 Northwestern
Worst Case: LSU vs. unranked Wisconsin (but a traditional power)


I'm not happy, but short of Oklahoma/K-State in Cotton or Nebraska in Cap One, which is unlikely, Clemson is not a bad matchup. If for some reason, Clemson goes to the BCS and we go to CFA, it's not good at all.



This post was edited on 11/26 at 1:26 pm



Back to top
Share:
dagrippa
LSU Fan
Saigon
Member since Nov 2004
1767 posts

re: Let's get realistic: best and worst case scenerios for Bowl Game


I wouldn't slit my wrists (like some of the morons on here) over any of those. Not wild about Northwestern though.





Back to top
athletemed
LSU Fan
The Woodlands, Texas
Member since Oct 2007
5474 posts

re: Let's get realistic: best and worst case scenerios for Bowl Game


Best case...for Tiger fans in Texas is the Cotton Bowl where we house the Longhorns by 30....


Worst case is any non New Years Day or later bowl...

ETA: if UTexas is the Big XII team in the Cotton Bowl, TAMU will NOT be the SEC team...

too much politics involved...read my post last night on the issue...



This post was edited on 11/26 at 10:00 am


Back to top
  Replies (0)
Ghostfacedistiller
USA Fan
BR
Member since Jun 2008
15617 posts

re: Let's get realistic: best and worst case scenerios for Bowl Game


quote:

I wouldn't slit my wrists (like some of the morons on here) over any of those


Me neither. Night game vs. Clemson is not looking so bad to be compared to day games vs. Northwestern.






Back to top
alajones
LSU Fan
Hell
Member since Oct 2005
22478 posts

re: Let's get realistic: best and worst case scenerios for Bowl Game


quote:

1. Capital One Bowl
Not going to happen. Loser of SEC Championship game will go here.

quote:

2. Cotton Bowl
A&M has this one wrapped up. To bad Texas finished so shitty. It will Be A & M vs. OSU.

quote:

Outback Bowl
No. USCe will go here.

quote:

4. Chick-Fil-A Bowl
Ta-da! LSU vs Clemson.

quote:

5. Gator (SEC 6)
MSU or Vanderbilt.






Back to top
The Mick
Michigan Fan
Member since Oct 2010
23302 posts
 Online 

re: Let's get realistic: best and worst case scenerios for Bowl Game


I would like to sodomize Texas





Back to top
mikeymike
LSU Fan
BR
Member since Dec 2004
2618 posts

re: Let's get realistic: best and worst case scenerios for Bowl Game


ESPN has Texas a and m going to cap one bowl.Why would cap one take a and m over LSU??





Back to top
  Replies (0)
TigerCub
LSU Fan
Team Boxtard
Member since May 2006
10724 posts
 Online 

re: Let's get realistic: best and worst case scenerios for Bowl Game


quote:

Not going to happen. Loser of SEC Championship game will go here.


Not if the opponent is Michigan. The Cap One Bowl will not match up Alabama and Michigan when they played a few months ago.






Back to top
  Replies (0)
PurpleAndGold86
LSU Fan
Houston, TX
Member since Jun 2012
10693 posts

re: Let's get realistic: best and worst case scenerios for Bowl Game


quote:

2. Cotton Bowl


A&M has this one wrapped up. To bad Texas finished so shitty. It will Be A & M vs. OSU.


I would like to know what inside information you have that leads you to believe that A&M has this one wrapped up.






Back to top
The Mick
Michigan Fan
Member since Oct 2010
23302 posts
 Online 

re: Let's get realistic: best and worst case scenerios for Bowl Game


quote:

I would like to know what inside information you have that leads you to believe that A&M has this one wrapped up.
The heisman plays for A&M, its the sexier pick atm.






Back to top
PurpleAndGold86
LSU Fan
Houston, TX
Member since Jun 2012
10693 posts

re: Let's get realistic: best and worst case scenerios for Bowl Game


quote:

The heisman plays for A&M, its the sexier pick atm.


LSU fans would fill more hotels, eat at more restaurants, and provide more overall tourism dollars to the city of Dallas than A&M would. Bowl games are not about one "sexy" player.






Back to top
Ghostfacedistiller
USA Fan
BR
Member since Jun 2008
15617 posts

re: Let's get realistic: best and worst case scenerios for Bowl Game


quote:

The heisman plays for A&M, its the sexier pick atm.


I'm hoping the Capital One picks A&M for this reason instead of a disapointed SEC CG loser, espescially if UGA loses badly and we go to Cotton.

It's all speculation.



This post was edited on 11/26 at 10:12 am


Back to top
  Replies (0)
biglego
LSU Fan
your mom knows
Member since Nov 2007
22413 posts

re: Let's get realistic: best and worst case scenerios for Bowl Game


Most interesting games would be Michigan, OK, or FSU regardless of bowl venue.

Okie is a year too late and VaTech...blah. Clemson is a good team I guess but I have no interest an there's no prestige for beating Clemson.






Back to top
The Mick
Michigan Fan
Member since Oct 2010
23302 posts
 Online 

re: Let's get realistic: best and worst case scenerios for Bowl Game


quote:

LSU fans would fill more hotels, eat at more restaurants, and provide more overall tourism dollars to the city of Dallas than A&M would.
How do we know this? A&M travels very well also and Im sure would pack the joint and city.

PS Im with you guys, obviously Id rather LSU but Im just offering what I feel is the national consensus atm. (outside of our P&G world).






Back to top
PurpleAndGold86
LSU Fan
Houston, TX
Member since Jun 2012
10693 posts

re: Let's get realistic: best and worst case scenerios for Bowl Game


quote:

How do we know this? A&M travels very well also and Im sure would pack the joint and city.


Not at all saying they don't travel well. They would certainly sell the tickets to the game out. I am saying they live close to the city though. They would NOT fill hotels like LSU fans would. Its like LSU going to the Sugar Bowl.






Back to top
Ghostfacedistiller
USA Fan
BR
Member since Jun 2008
15617 posts

re: Let's get realistic: best and worst case scenerios for Bowl Game


quote:

Most interesting games would be Michigan, OK, or FSU regardless of bowl venue.


I agree. I'm just saying I'd prefer Clemson at night over Northwestern at 11 am.

It's unfortunate how close we were to something great, but still a lot can happen.






Back to top
LoneStarTiger
LSU Fan
Lone Star State
Member since Aug 2004
11198 posts

re: Let's get realistic: best and worst case scenerios for Bowl Game


quote:

I am saying they live close to the city though. They would NOT fill hotels like LSU fans would. Its like LSU going to the Sugar Bowl.


There are massive numbers of Aggies in Houston, B-CS, and all across Texas in places that are not day-of-the-game driving distance from Dallas.

Aggy would flock to Dallas, especially to play Texas






Back to top
  Replies (0)
The Mick
Michigan Fan
Member since Oct 2010
23302 posts
 Online 

re: Let's get realistic: best and worst case scenerios for Bowl Game


quote:

Its like LSU going to the Sugar Bowl.
The entire city sells out when LSU goes to the sugar. The city does extremely well.






Back to top
  Replies (0)
Jumbeauxlaya
LSU Fan
LSU
Member since Jan 2011
18042 posts

re: Let's get realistic: best and worst case scenerios for Bowl Game


I just hope we play Michigan, whatever bowl it takes for that to happen.





Back to top
alajones
LSU Fan
Hell
Member since Oct 2005
22478 posts

re: Let's get realistic: best and worst case scenerios for Bowl Game


quote:

I would like to know what inside information you have that leads you to believe that A&M has this one wrapped up.
Because it's what I think will happen. Is this not a discussion board?






Back to top


Back to top