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Chances of these guys go pro...

Posted on 11/16/12 at 6:01 pm
Posted by VesperiaLSU
Baton Rouge Tigerland
Member since Sep 2010
1198 posts
Posted on 11/16/12 at 6:01 pm
As much as I would hate to see these great junior players leaving early, no one could deny that they have done more than enough to earn themselves a check from the NFL teams. Now, with No.99 and 49 almost being a done deal of leaving after this season, what do y'all think of the chances of these guys leaving too?

Eric Reid, Tharold Simon, Kevin Minter, Chris Faulk, Bennie Logan, Spencer Ware, Zach Mettenberger...

Well I will start by rating them from the highest possibility of leaving to the lowest one and give my perspective as to why.

Bennie Logan -- 95%. He's played as a starting DT for two consecutive years for LSU, and he's been consistently productive if not too standout. I don't see why he won't leave early as a junior. Plus, he comes from a very small town, so making big money as early could be a big deal to his family.

Eric Reid -- 85%. If Reid wants to leave, he's got every reason to do so, maybe except for getting his college degree. Even though how much a college degree weighs in his decision remains unknown, I still think his chance of leaving is pretty high.

Kevin Minter -- 70%. Honestly, this guy is the last one I wanted to see leaving early out of the list. He is not only a masterpiece in the LB position but has also grown into a leader on the defense. Even though Minter was kinda off the radar at the beginning of this season, but two monster games against FLA and aTm has made him a top LB prospect this year. Our D can possibly absorb the loss of Mingo, Sam, Logan, and even Reid, but I don't think we have had a proper replacement ready for Minter at the middle LB position yet. I really wanted to see him staying for another year and take the rein for defense, but I also have a strong feeling that he may be gone.

Spencer Ware -- 50%. I bet 90% of the division I schools are jealous of the back field talent and depth chart we have at RB. Yet in the meantime, that deep depth chart doesn't necessarily mean a good thing for our RBs, especially for Spencer Ware. After a break out game against aTm in the cotton bowl, Ware has been kind of quiet and struggled from time to time due to injury and off field issues. Staying for another year could result in a drastic improvement on the draft stock, but it also mean potentially getting drown by our other RB talents. Who knows? Maybe 50% chance is the best way to represent that this is a hard decision to make for Ware.

Tharold Simon -- 40%. Simon might be the biggest disappointment on the secondary this year as a lot are expected of him after Mo and TM7 were gone. He's been inconsistent all year and did not leave up to the hype that people give him. I will give him a 40% chance of leaving only because he originally mentioned that he intended to leave early, but that was from his sophomore year. Since his junior year didn't go as well as expected, maybe he will/should stay.

Zach Mettenberger -- 20%. Everybody knows his talent, and having two consecutive monster games only helps the NFL scout confirm the assumption about him. There are already rumors about his draft stock rising up quickly after the Miss State game. Is he really going to pull the trigger with such urgency? I seriously doubted, but cannot rule out the possibility, which can get even higher if he continues to play well for the next two and the bowl games.

Chris Faulk -- 10%. This possibility could be timed by 7 or 8 if not for Faulk's season ending injury. I believe he will come back as the country's top ranked LT and be drafted next year in the first round if he can remain healthy.

This post was edited on 11/17/12 at 3:38 am
Posted by GeauxJookCity
Jook City
Member since Sep 2012
251 posts
Posted on 11/16/12 at 6:04 pm to
Im with you on Kevin Minter we need him.
Posted by JBeam
Guns,Germs & Steel
Member since Jan 2011
68377 posts
Posted on 11/16/12 at 6:05 pm to
I don't see Minter,Mettenberger or Faulk going pro after this season.

Reid & Logan are completely different stories.
Posted by Lester Earl
Member since Nov 2003
278309 posts
Posted on 11/16/12 at 6:07 pm to
i honestly dont think Simon or Logan has played well enough to leave early. They could improve their draft stock dramatically with 1 more year.

I dont think Eric Reid is ready for the NFL either
Posted by laxer17
NOLA
Member since Jan 2012
3452 posts
Posted on 11/16/12 at 6:07 pm to
Jesus Christ, Metenberger is not going pro this year. He could turn into goddamn joe Montana and not go higher than second round. Why Would he leave?
Posted by TheDoc
doc is no more
Member since Dec 2005
99297 posts
Posted on 11/16/12 at 6:08 pm to
Simon, Logan, Reid, and minter all stay.
Posted by Hook Em Horns
350000 posts
Member since Sep 2010
15087 posts
Posted on 11/16/12 at 6:12 pm to
mett aint going pro this year sir. he will come back and light up every defense he sees next year..
Posted by TheTigerZone
Moss Bluff ,La
Member since Dec 2009
2343 posts
Posted on 11/16/12 at 6:28 pm to
quote:

Simon, Logan, Reid, and minter all stay.

Reid is gone.
Posted by Lester Earl
Member since Nov 2003
278309 posts
Posted on 11/16/12 at 6:30 pm to
quote:

Reid is gone.




why do people think this? any particular reason?


he has been solid, but could really benefit another year which could vault him into the 1st round. I think people think he has been better than what he is
Posted by ninthward
Boston, MA
Member since May 2007
20406 posts
Posted on 11/16/12 at 6:33 pm to
Reid said that he had accomplished what he wanted to a LSU and he has his degree
Posted by TheTigerZone
Moss Bluff ,La
Member since Dec 2009
2343 posts
Posted on 11/16/12 at 6:36 pm to
I guess it would depend on his draft grade at the end of the season, but I haven't seen a mock draft that doesn't have him in the first round.
Posted by PhiTiger1764
Lurker since Aug 2003
Member since Oct 2009
13856 posts
Posted on 11/16/12 at 6:37 pm to
I had thought that he might come back.. but a few weeks ago a poster said he spoke at a Dutchtown game or something and told all the kids to enjoy high school because it all goes by fast.. and that he realizes that now that he is in his last year at LSU.
Posted by Tigercat
Tacoma, WA
Member since Feb 2004
4518 posts
Posted on 11/16/12 at 6:45 pm to
Another totally uniformed guess based upon draft prospects (and ability to improve them) more than anything:

Montgomery 95%
Mingo 70%
Reid 70%
Minter 60%
Ware 50%
Logan 30%
Simon 30%
Loston 30%
Mett & Faulk 0%
Posted by VesperiaLSU
Baton Rouge Tigerland
Member since Sep 2010
1198 posts
Posted on 11/16/12 at 6:55 pm to
Reid has done more than enough on the field to be considered as a top safety draft pick this year. That's for sure. The only thing I can envision that will hold him back is his degree, which is a total unknown at this point.
Posted by omegaman66
greenwell springs
Member since Oct 2007
22777 posts
Posted on 11/16/12 at 7:05 pm to
0% chance Reid goes pro if he didn't have his degree. But he will get his degree this semester. That said believe it or not their is still a decent chance he doesn't go pro yet.
Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 11/16/12 at 7:11 pm to
Add Copeland to this list. His stock can't get any higher for a FB. He's gone.
Posted by SabiDojo
Open to any suggestions.
Member since Nov 2010
83929 posts
Posted on 11/16/12 at 7:12 pm to
quote:

Kevin Minter


It really would baffle me if this guy didn't go pro. Is he getting any love on the mock drafts?

This guy has done so much. 43 solo tackles, 90 total tackles, a forced fumble, 3 sacks, 11.5 TFL, and he averages 12 tackles on the road.

He is the right size for a LB in the NFL, at 6'2" and 242 lbs.

I hope he comes back.
This post was edited on 11/16/12 at 7:23 pm
Posted by VesperiaLSU
Baton Rouge Tigerland
Member since Sep 2010
1198 posts
Posted on 11/16/12 at 7:15 pm to
I originally want to put Copeland in this list, but since I really couldn't think of a former FB who got drafted early as a junior, so....Any hints?
Posted by Specktricity
Lafayette
Member since May 2011
1233 posts
Posted on 11/16/12 at 7:21 pm to
I generally agree with you, but I would lower Logan's percentage and add Ware in at 50%. I think mett and Faulk will stay.
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
260293 posts
Posted on 11/16/12 at 7:22 pm to
quote:

, Tharold Simon


He shouldn't. Really hasn't been spectacular this year.
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