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Denver Broncos 16-1 now for Super Bowl
Posted on 10/19/12 at 10:31 am
Posted on 10/19/12 at 10:31 am
Ok so I don't necessarily see the Broncos winning the super bowl, but I certainly think they will win their division and have a shot at playing for or winning the AFC.
Right now they are sitting at 3-3 with their 3 losses being @ Atlanta, @ New England, vs. Texans.
Wins over @ San Diego, vs Pittsburg, vs Oakland.
Remaining Schedule
BYE
vs Saints
@ Cincy
@ Carolina
vs Chargers
@ KC
vs Tampa
@ Oakland
@ Baltimore
vs Cleveland
vs KC
I don't expect them to run the table, although not withstanding injuries won't they be favored in most or all of those games, but it would certainly seem that their probably looking at no more than 2-3 losses out of those 10 games and that's being conservative. I'd say 10-6 is their most likely outcome because they'll probably drop 1 at home 1-2 on the road (although all those teams have weaknesses). They should easily win their division.
Based on all that, if you put 100 to win 1600, couldn't you just plan on covering against them in the WC game (should be a favorite, $100)(they could still get one of the byes, probably not), divisional round (close to even money) ($200), AFC championship ($400), Super Bowl ($800).
If you committed to doing that and they make the playoffs you've locked in a win and it's just an adjustment on how far you ride them. Under that scenario you risk nothing to win 800 if they win it all but you could easily lock in $100- $200 of winnings.
Lets not forget this team went to the 2nd round with Tebow starting, if they have home field for the WC with Manning's no huddle and that defense you have to like their chances.
Right now they are sitting at 3-3 with their 3 losses being @ Atlanta, @ New England, vs. Texans.
Wins over @ San Diego, vs Pittsburg, vs Oakland.
Remaining Schedule
BYE
vs Saints
@ Cincy
@ Carolina
vs Chargers
@ KC
vs Tampa
@ Oakland
@ Baltimore
vs Cleveland
vs KC
I don't expect them to run the table, although not withstanding injuries won't they be favored in most or all of those games, but it would certainly seem that their probably looking at no more than 2-3 losses out of those 10 games and that's being conservative. I'd say 10-6 is their most likely outcome because they'll probably drop 1 at home 1-2 on the road (although all those teams have weaknesses). They should easily win their division.
Based on all that, if you put 100 to win 1600, couldn't you just plan on covering against them in the WC game (should be a favorite, $100)(they could still get one of the byes, probably not), divisional round (close to even money) ($200), AFC championship ($400), Super Bowl ($800).
If you committed to doing that and they make the playoffs you've locked in a win and it's just an adjustment on how far you ride them. Under that scenario you risk nothing to win 800 if they win it all but you could easily lock in $100- $200 of winnings.
Lets not forget this team went to the 2nd round with Tebow starting, if they have home field for the WC with Manning's no huddle and that defense you have to like their chances.
Posted on 10/19/12 at 10:36 am to JB Bama
they look pretty mediocre. they may make the playoffs but the odds could be 100-1 and i doubt i jump on it.
Posted on 10/19/12 at 10:39 am to JB Bama
Their schedule is godawful after the game @ Cincy.
I can easily see 10-6... the way the AFC is shaping up, that could be enough to secure the 3rd seed at least.
Baltimore seems like a quasi-fraud @ 5-1, and Houston will likely be the #1 seed.
I can easily see 10-6... the way the AFC is shaping up, that could be enough to secure the 3rd seed at least.
Baltimore seems like a quasi-fraud @ 5-1, and Houston will likely be the #1 seed.
Posted on 10/19/12 at 10:43 am to bbap
yeah, but my point is if they are 100-1 and they make the playoffs you only have to cover yourself against them 3-4 games.
$100 at 16-1 = $1600 payoff
Bet $200 round 1 they lose you win $100
Bet $400 round 2 they lose you win $100
bet $800 round 3 they lose you win $100
bet $1500 on them to lose the super bowl you break even
don't forget if you bet spreads you can have wiggle room early on since they should be favored in round 1 and 2 to hit a big middle.
$100 at 16-1 = $1600 payoff
Bet $200 round 1 they lose you win $100
Bet $400 round 2 they lose you win $100
bet $800 round 3 they lose you win $100
bet $1500 on them to lose the super bowl you break even
don't forget if you bet spreads you can have wiggle room early on since they should be favored in round 1 and 2 to hit a big middle.
Posted on 10/19/12 at 11:25 am to JB Bama
Make that bet because not only will the Broncos win out and win the Super Bowl but also Peyton Manning will win his 5th regular season MVP and second Super Bowl MVP. G.O.A.T.
Posted on 10/19/12 at 4:00 pm to JB Bama
to make that bet, you have to think
A. Peyton Manning is back
and B. Joe Flacco isn't coming
they're gonna win the division but they have to be the best to go to the Super Bowl
on a side note the AFC has gotten weak all of a sudden
A. Peyton Manning is back
and B. Joe Flacco isn't coming
they're gonna win the division but they have to be the best to go to the Super Bowl
on a side note the AFC has gotten weak all of a sudden
This post was edited on 10/19/12 at 4:08 pm
Posted on 10/19/12 at 6:10 pm to bbap
quote:What? The Broncos have taken every game down to the wire that they've lost. Take away those two mistakes against the Chargers in the the quarter and it is a beatdown just like against Pitt and Oakland.
they look pretty mediocre.
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