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So if Au doesn't lose to UGA, but they drop one to Bama...
Posted on 11/8/10 at 3:35 pm
Posted on 11/8/10 at 3:35 pm
And to SC or FLA in the SECCG. Do we jump the 2 undefeated non-BCS teams?
12
Posted on 11/8/10 at 3:37 pm to Guava Jelly
no to much love for boise and TCU
This post was edited on 11/8/10 at 3:38 pm
Posted on 11/8/10 at 3:37 pm to Guava Jelly
Yes. But we need to drag Arky and Ole Miss to impress the human voters. And we need UNC and/or WVU to win their conference
Posted on 11/8/10 at 3:37 pm to Guava Jelly
No way we pass TCU. It would be tough to pass Boise
Posted on 11/8/10 at 3:38 pm to Guava Jelly
Seriously doubt it. The human voters hatred for Les won't give us the votes we need to get us in the top 2.
Posted on 11/8/10 at 3:38 pm to Guava Jelly
Would probably need Boise or TCU to lose as well. Not going to happen.
Posted on 11/8/10 at 3:39 pm to Guava Jelly
Until someone can beat the SEC in the national title game, the top ranked SEC team should automatically qualify for that game. 
Posted on 11/8/10 at 3:39 pm to Guava Jelly
We can't jump TCU. Their computer ranking is better than ours.
I do think we can jump Boise State if we get close enough to them in the human polls.
I do think we can jump Boise State if we get close enough to them in the human polls.
Posted on 11/8/10 at 3:39 pm to meaux feaux
i think we would pass boise. especially if we could get to number 5 in the polls. after that it would be tough without teams losing. tcu is very high in the computers and we wont jump them in the human poss
Posted on 11/8/10 at 3:41 pm to Guava Jelly
This is the most possible way for us to get to the BCS championship again. It is still unlikely. The other situation would be where we win out and AU wins out and then are declared ineligible and have to forfeit all their games, leaving us undefeated. This is an even less likely.
Posted on 11/8/10 at 3:41 pm to Guava Jelly
quote:
And to SC or FLA in the SECCG. Do we jump the 2 undefeated non-BCS teams?
I think that at least one of TCU, Boise or Oregon will have to lose, also. That might be the wedge we need in the human polls to grab the #2 BCS spot by the tiniest of margins. If Auburn drops the Iron Bowl and the SEC-CG and we simply defeat Ole Miss and Arkansas, I'm confident we're the Computer #1.
It will be close, and many other game results over the next three weeks will factor in (especially Miss State, WVU and UNC).
This post was edited on 11/8/10 at 4:29 pm
Posted on 11/8/10 at 3:42 pm to Guava Jelly
Might could pass a #2 Boise if LSU is #3, but it is impossible to pass an undefeated TCU. 2/3 BCS human polls >>> 1/3 computer poll + TCU is ahead of LSU in both.
Posted on 11/8/10 at 3:43 pm to Ace Midnight
Even if AU gets beat by Bama, they still make SEC CG, if they win that, they probably still in NC game.
1 loss SEC champ (AU or outside chance of LSU) goes to NC imo.
1 loss SEC champ (AU or outside chance of LSU) goes to NC imo.
Posted on 11/8/10 at 3:44 pm to Guava Jelly
Getting a little Germans...
Boise - maybe
TCU - probably not
Don't discount a 1-loss Big Ten champ or a 1-loss Big 12 champ to get poll love to keep a non-champ LSU out. It's not an anti-LSU bias. We benefitted from this sentiment in 2007.
Boise - maybe
TCU - probably not
Don't discount a 1-loss Big Ten champ or a 1-loss Big 12 champ to get poll love to keep a non-champ LSU out. It's not an anti-LSU bias. We benefitted from this sentiment in 2007.
This post was edited on 11/8/10 at 3:48 pm
Posted on 11/8/10 at 3:45 pm to lsumatt
quote:
No way we pass TCU. It would be tough to pass Boise
+1
Posted on 11/8/10 at 3:46 pm to EST
quote:
Until someone can beat the SEC in the national title game, the top ranked SEC team should automatically qualify for that game.
I think the SEC champ will get nearly any benefit of the doubt due to the track record.
Posted on 11/8/10 at 3:47 pm to Guava Jelly
How many ways can you play what if? It doesn't matter because you can't affect it. Just let the season play out.
Posted on 11/8/10 at 3:48 pm to Tiger_n_ATL
quote:
How many ways can you play what if?
Meh - it can be fun discussion. Would you rather breakdown ULM instead?
Posted on 11/8/10 at 3:50 pm to TriumphTiger
quote:
Getting a little Germans...
A little? Try a lot and this being the umpteenth frickin' thread about it.
How about one thread...stickied...BCS Scenarios and be done with it.
Edit - Oh wait...there IS one...
This post was edited on 11/8/10 at 3:52 pm
Posted on 11/8/10 at 4:32 pm to TopWaterTiger
quote:
Even if AU gets beat by Bama, they still make SEC CG, if they win that, they probably still in NC game.
You're right on this
Howver, the premise is - Auburn beats UGA, but loses to Bama AND the SEC-CG. They're out then, and people are having fun speculating as to how LSU gets in with just 1 loss. It also keeps it open, if Auburn beats UGA.
What will be somewhat trickier is if they beat both UGA and BAMA, then LOSE the SEC-CG - I have no idea what will happen. Does Auburn get in over LSU? We will be #1-#2 in the Computers (I believe), though maybe not by much.
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