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What are the chances the morganza spillways is open
Posted on 3/9/19 at 7:02 pm
Posted on 3/9/19 at 7:02 pm
With the river as high as it is?
5
Posted on 3/9/19 at 7:17 pm to denhamtiger
betta git yo lifejacktes boi
Posted on 3/9/19 at 7:23 pm to denhamtiger
Crossing my fingers they don’t open it and I don’t have to go clean out my camp.
Posted on 3/9/19 at 7:23 pm to denhamtiger
50/50
Posted on 3/9/19 at 8:04 pm to denhamtiger
Zero, it is not open.
But there is a chance it could be opened.
But there is a chance it could be opened.
Posted on 3/9/19 at 9:17 pm to dat yat
Not likely right now. Stage trigger is hit, but they aren't expected to hit the flow trigger.
Posted on 3/9/19 at 11:29 pm to dat yat
Exactly. The states being prepared right now for a flood so everyone will be ready. I wouldn’t worry about it right now but just keep a small eye on it in the coming months
Posted on 3/9/19 at 11:30 pm to denhamtiger
Morganza will not be opened for this rise. The river will crest at Red River Landing on Tuesday at 61.5ft. It is currently 61.2 ft. It will stay at 61.5ft for 3 day then begin falling.
Now will another rise come down once snow melt starts that could cause the river to rise higher in May/June? We will see. But for now no Morganza.
BTW..Bonnet Carre is not even open to capacity.
Now will another rise come down once snow melt starts that could cause the river to rise higher in May/June? We will see. But for now no Morganza.
BTW..Bonnet Carre is not even open to capacity.
Posted on 3/10/19 at 12:42 am to ScottieP
quote:
BTW..Bonnet Carre is not even open to capacity
Bonnet Carre doesn't affect if Morganza spillway is opened.
Morganza affects the amount of water reaching New Orleans but the BC spillway is so far down stream its affects on Morganza are not even measurable.
Posted on 3/10/19 at 4:51 am to omegaman66
I think Scottie's point is that the Bonnet Carre is currently flowing less than half of it's capacity and is forecasted to only open 200 of 350 bays for this event. The river flow trigger for the Bonnet Carre is 1.25 million cuft/sec. It's 1.5 million cuft/sec at Morganza. If the trigger is higher at Morganza and the Bonnet Carre is only operating at half capacity, it doesn't seem like Morganza would have to be opened.
Nobody thinks opening the Bonnet Carre will have any significant impact on the flow ~150 river miles upstream at Morganza.
Nobody thinks opening the Bonnet Carre will have any significant impact on the flow ~150 river miles upstream at Morganza.
Posted on 3/10/19 at 8:57 am to White Roach
100 % if the current weather pattern in the miss river drainage holds true for another few weeks. ie up north keeps getting more precip... yes it will...
This post was edited on 3/10/19 at 9:00 am
Posted on 3/10/19 at 9:30 am to choupiquesushi
I know it's only March 10th and a lot can change over the next 6 or 8 weeks, so anything is possible. But I thought the OP asking about this current river crest, not a potential 2nd or 3rd crest later in the season.
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