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re: This crazy real estate market

Posted on 1/13/22 at 7:52 pm to
Posted by ItNeverRains
37069
Member since Oct 2007
25688 posts
Posted on 1/13/22 at 7:52 pm to
My clients bought a house in June 2020 for 955. Accepted a better job out of state, I’m putting it on the market for 1.4. I anticipate multiple offers. Absolutely nuts right now.
Posted by jscrims
Lost
Member since May 2008
3560 posts
Posted on 1/13/22 at 7:53 pm to
quote:

This board also predicted the 2008 crash years ahead of time. Saved me a lot of pain.


Weren’t you still in school in 2008?
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41819 posts
Posted on 1/13/22 at 7:54 pm to
quote:

Gonna pocket my cash and sit tight for a while


what a decision, voluntarily losing 7% of your purchasing power because of...fear mongerers.

brutal
Posted by GreatLakesTiger24
One State Solution
Member since May 2012
55936 posts
Posted on 1/13/22 at 7:54 pm to
quote:

Some point..this has to crack.
please explain why and be as specific as possible
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
424431 posts
Posted on 1/13/22 at 7:55 pm to
quote:

Weren’t you still in school in 2008?

I graduated in 2008.

Took a job back home b/c it was a certainty. I had classmates who had no idea what was coming who focused on the bar instead and did not get a real, fulltime legal job for 3-4 years after graduation b/c of that.
Posted by notiger1997
Metairie
Member since May 2009
58315 posts
Posted on 1/13/22 at 7:56 pm to
quote:

Think there was around 13 years of steady increase prior to that


For those that remember or were paying more attention that I was 20 years ago, did the dot.com and tech crash hurt the real estate market much?
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41819 posts
Posted on 1/13/22 at 7:58 pm to
quote:

please explain why and be as specific as possible


Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
424431 posts
Posted on 1/13/22 at 7:58 pm to
quote:

please explain why and be as specific as possible

The biggest issue is that salaries are not likely to keep up. So if individuals aren't going to be able to afford homes, then, at best, you'll have clonglomorates, IBs, and rich individuals being the only ones who can afford homes in time.
Posted by blueboxer1119
Baton Rouge
Member since May 2013
8049 posts
Posted on 1/13/22 at 8:03 pm to
Real estate market will appreciate 10% minimum in 2022.

Fed will increase interest rates at least twice this year to slow it down.
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41819 posts
Posted on 1/13/22 at 8:05 pm to
quote:

So if individuals aren't going to be able to afford homes, then, at best, you'll have clonglomorates, IBs, and rich individuals being the only ones who can afford homes in time.


and rich people are not going to hold cash considering inflation print was 7% this month, so they will continue to store their wealth in real estate etc

you think blackrock was out buying up all the housing supply last year for a crash soon later? lol

real estate will continue to go up until there is comfortable alternative for storing wealth

you cant hold cash in this environment, or i guess you could but youd be a clown
Posted by lynxcat
Member since Jan 2008
24213 posts
Posted on 1/13/22 at 8:06 pm to
Sounds like you left money on the table.

If I had numerous offers the day I put it on the market, then I would seriously be questioning how much I’m leaving on the table.
Posted by MyRockstarComplex
The airport
Member since Nov 2009
3400 posts
Posted on 1/13/22 at 8:08 pm to
How long until a good interest rate on a 30 year mortgage is 8%+?
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41819 posts
Posted on 1/13/22 at 8:11 pm to
not anytime soon

in 2006 the fed owned 0% of residential mortgages, now they own ~24%

you think theyre going to crash real estate and bankrupt themselves? lmao
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
424431 posts
Posted on 1/13/22 at 8:13 pm to
quote:

you think blackrock was out buying up all the housing supply last year for a crash soon later? lol

I mean buying up properties didn't work out for every big company last year.

Zillow may lose $500M

quote:

real estate will continue to go up until there is comfortable alternative for storing wealth

Then it's just a bigger bubble, in that case. A few interest rate hikes or a few ripples in the employment market (like a recession that's on its way) will have major reverberations if these houses are being loaded up like this.

The only way this isn't a bubble is if we're in full on Weimar Republic. So you'll be right, but it won't really matter.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
424431 posts
Posted on 1/13/22 at 8:15 pm to
quote:

How long until a good interest rate on a 30 year mortgage is 8%+?

Not possible without destroying the US (which will destroy the world).

Even the super aggressive policies for 2022 have the fed raising rates 1% I think. You'll need another, what? 4% to get 8% mortgage rates?
Posted by canyon critter
Montana
Member since Feb 2019
1116 posts
Posted on 1/13/22 at 8:15 pm to
My home value here in Montana has increased more than 200% since purchasing in Oct 2018. Nuts.
Posted by USMEagles
Member since Jan 2018
11811 posts
Posted on 1/13/22 at 8:19 pm to
I got texted about selling my house today. Carpetbaggers abound.
Posted by The People
LSU Alumni
Member since Aug 2008
4217 posts
Posted on 1/13/22 at 8:19 pm to
If you need another reason to believe the phrase "it's cheaper to keep her," this real estate market subscribes.

Bought my house 2 years ago and it appraised 60k higher than what we paid.

I now owe the soon to be ex wife 30k in equity to buy her out, as opposed to a few grand under the previous appraisal when we purchased.

She was a miserable soul sucking bitch. The cost is worth every penny, but none the less something to consider.
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41819 posts
Posted on 1/13/22 at 8:21 pm to
I mean there's no way out of this situation.

a)raise rates and bankrupt millions (including themselves) or b) keep the ponzi alive until the wheels fall off

I don't see why they'd choose a) unless the great reset is an actual future reality

Posted by stout
Smoking Crack with Hunter Biden
Member since Sep 2006
167618 posts
Posted on 1/13/22 at 8:22 pm to
quote:

My home value here in Montana has increased more than 200% since purchasing in Oct 2018. Nuts.




I will be looking at a 260% profit margin on my house but I bought a storm damaged one for cheap with the intent to flip eventually. Bought it literally a few months before the market exploded so needless to say I didn't expect that kind of return.

We have a few rentals in some less desirable areas and a realtor is trying to convince me to cash out but I like the monthly cash flow.
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