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re: Storm Tracking Thread: Post Tropical Storm Hermine

Posted on 8/30/16 at 3:38 pm to
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
120172 posts
Posted on 8/30/16 at 3:38 pm to
Is BAMM is shittiest model there is? Its like a retarded person created it
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
36703 posts
Posted on 8/30/16 at 3:39 pm to
What are the 1002 and 1003 and 1006 numbers over the circle things??
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
36703 posts
Posted on 8/30/16 at 3:41 pm to
Glad I'm not going to the beach. lol (sorry for those who are)
This post was edited on 8/30/16 at 3:42 pm
Posted by TigerstuckinMS
Member since Nov 2005
33687 posts
Posted on 8/30/16 at 3:47 pm to
quote:

What are the 1002 and 1003 and 1006 numbers over the circle things??
Pressure, in millibars, where 1000 millibars is basically standard atmospheric pressure (it's not exactly, but close). The lines connect areas that are at the same pressure, just like the lines on a topographical map connect points at the same elevation.
This post was edited on 8/30/16 at 3:59 pm
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19805 posts
Posted on 8/30/16 at 3:48 pm to
quote:

Is BAMM is shittiest model there is? Its like a retarded person created it



You could say that but a more PC way to say it is that it is among the simplest of models

It is part of the Beta and Advection model group. They can provide some very quick information on shear, closer together the less shear and the more spread out they are the more shear. Beyond being simple, another problem for them is they are only as good as the data they get from the GFS.
Posted by IT_Dawg
Georgia
Member since Oct 2012
21731 posts
Posted on 8/30/16 at 3:49 pm to
Definitely looks to be starting it's move NNE and getting a little more structure. I'm going with 11pm they call it a TS and it hits just East (25 miles) of Panama City as a strong TS
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19805 posts
Posted on 8/30/16 at 3:50 pm to
Center is still poorly defined, it appears to have been nearly stationary or drifted to the SW during this recon mission.

Posted by otowntiger
O-Town
Member since Jan 2004
15648 posts
Posted on 8/30/16 at 3:51 pm to
quote:

John Hope is rolling in his grave. He would have just been like, "we are watching an area of disturbed weather moving towards the Gulf" and left it at that.
And that is really all there is to it. No need to discuss it any further with all us amateurs and media. No one has needed to know anything more than that at this point and from what it looks like it is doing/going to do.
Posted by Gleaux93
Member since Nov 2015
645 posts
Posted on 8/30/16 at 3:52 pm to
Are you guys making fun of the second-costliest hurricane in the history of the US?



LINK
Posted by Nado Jenkins83
Land of the Free
Member since Nov 2012
59599 posts
Posted on 8/30/16 at 3:55 pm to
quote:

Are you guys making fun of the second-costliest hurricane in the history of the US?


no i think they are making fun of the media.

Posted by arseinclarse
Algiers Purnt
Member since Apr 2007
34407 posts
Posted on 8/30/16 at 4:02 pm to
I'm waiting to hear with this guy has to say about the storm.


This post was edited on 8/30/16 at 4:04 pm
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19805 posts
Posted on 8/30/16 at 4:02 pm to
No upgrade but from NHC:

quote:

A Hurricane Watch has been issued for the Florida Gulf coast from
the Anclote River to Indian Pass. A Tropical Storm Watch has been
issued for the Florida Gulf coast west of Indian Pass to the
Walton/Bay County line.

Posted by baytiger
Boston
Member since Dec 2007
46978 posts
Posted on 8/30/16 at 4:04 pm to
quote:


Center is still poorly defined, it appears to have been nearly stationary or drifted to the SW during this recon mission.



Looks like a new upper level circulation offset from the low level one, too

Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19805 posts
Posted on 8/30/16 at 4:10 pm to
quote:

Looks like a new upper level circulation offset from the low level one, too


It will be interesting to see if convection fires with that feature again later this evening.
Posted by GeauxTime9
Baton Rouge, La
Member since Dec 2010
6391 posts
Posted on 8/30/16 at 4:46 pm to
Any updates?
Posted by heatom2
At the plant, baw.
Member since Nov 2010
12810 posts
Posted on 8/30/16 at 5:06 pm to
My wife is determined to still go to Gulf Shores Friday. Might not get much sun
Posted by doya2
Charenton
Member since Jan 2005
7924 posts
Posted on 8/30/16 at 5:17 pm to
The weekend will be nice...
Posted by heatom2
At the plant, baw.
Member since Nov 2010
12810 posts
Posted on 8/30/16 at 5:32 pm to
Yeah, might be a little windy friday though.
Posted by tipup
Member since Sep 2005
1649 posts
Posted on 8/30/16 at 5:43 pm to
quote:

might be a little windy friday though.


but hopefully it'll be a north wind.
Posted by heatom2
At the plant, baw.
Member since Nov 2010
12810 posts
Posted on 8/30/16 at 6:05 pm to
Ill drink to that
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