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re: Storm Tracking Thread: Post Tropical Storm Hermine

Posted on 8/31/16 at 1:51 pm to
Posted by Catman88
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Dec 2004
49125 posts
Posted on 8/31/16 at 1:51 pm to
Gee two cities built on swamp land that recently had citizens comment in their papers claiming BR shouldn't rebuild because we are stupid for building here "under sea level"

Yea wouldn't wish a hurricane on those people.....
Posted by 4LSU2
Member since Dec 2009
37328 posts
Posted on 8/31/16 at 1:59 pm to
quote:

Media is so desperate for a Gulf hurricane.


Me too. I've got $100 riding on it.
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
11306 posts
Posted on 8/31/16 at 2:06 pm to
East Gulf Buoy at 26.0N 85.6W getting interesting...



Posted by TigerstuckinMS
Member since Nov 2005
33687 posts
Posted on 8/31/16 at 2:09 pm to
quote:

really wondering why they only upped it to 40mph.


Surface winds are slower than winds aloft. Since airplanes don't fly very well on the surface, they estimate the surface wind speeds from what they find at flight level.
Posted by LSU1NSEC
Member since Sep 2007
17243 posts
Posted on 8/31/16 at 2:16 pm to
who's trolling WU blog with the XTRP model posts?

lolz
Posted by meauxjeaux2
watson
Member since Oct 2007
60283 posts
Posted on 8/31/16 at 2:24 pm to
you on JM's blog?
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19810 posts
Posted on 8/31/16 at 2:43 pm to
Westward bumps continue and the early 18z guidance is west of the the NHC track now:

Posted by fishfighter
RIP
Member since Apr 2008
40026 posts
Posted on 8/31/16 at 2:46 pm to
That is not good. Big move to the west.
Posted by BigB0882
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2014
5308 posts
Posted on 8/31/16 at 2:48 pm to
It is not going to come to Louisiana. It is already making a move to the NNE so the easterly component is already there. It isn't going to turn back W. Just not possible with the setup currently. Since the turn has been made there is nothing for us to worry about.
Posted by Chicken
Jackassistan
Member since Aug 2003
22006 posts
Posted on 8/31/16 at 2:49 pm to
Is there a GTFO model?
Posted by Janky
Team Primo
Member since Jun 2011
35957 posts
Posted on 8/31/16 at 2:50 pm to
Yes, PEEJ.
Posted by jimbeam
University of LSU
Member since Oct 2011
75703 posts
Posted on 8/31/16 at 2:52 pm to
Was peej.......right???
Posted by bamarep
Member since Nov 2013
51806 posts
Posted on 8/31/16 at 2:53 pm to
quote:

Was peej.......right???



Yes, about 100 pages ago.


He won't get his apologies though.
Posted by fishfighter
RIP
Member since Apr 2008
40026 posts
Posted on 8/31/16 at 2:57 pm to
Well, it ain't over till the fat lady sings.
Posted by Y.A. Tittle
Member since Sep 2003
101404 posts
Posted on 8/31/16 at 2:58 pm to
quote:

Yes, about 100 pages ago.


He won't get his apologies though.



Posted by bamarep
Member since Nov 2013
51806 posts
Posted on 8/31/16 at 2:59 pm to



Well done.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19810 posts
Posted on 8/31/16 at 2:59 pm to
quote:


It is not going to come to Louisiana. It is already making a move to the NNE so the easterly component is already there. It isn't going to turn back W. Just not possible with the setup currently. Since the turn has been made there is nothing for us to worry about.


Yea, given the current setup, it is probably as far west as it will ever be. The westward bumps in landfall are only of concern to people in Florida, esp. since earlier runs had this moving through a low population density area. Population density goes up as you move west along the coast, but even so, everything points to this staying pretty weak. Tallahassee could get the center and I'm sure there is a crab leg joke in there some place

Posted by Jim Rockford
Member since May 2011
98188 posts
Posted on 8/31/16 at 2:59 pm to
All hail Peej
Posted by theunknownknight
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
57316 posts
Posted on 8/31/16 at 2:59 pm to
derr. anyone paying half-attention knew it was moving further west than the "models" said.

Shame for forecast model was removed by the admins.
Posted by TigerstuckinMS
Member since Nov 2005
33687 posts
Posted on 8/31/16 at 3:01 pm to
quote:

All hail Peej


Aw, hell, Peej
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