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re: Storm Tracking Thread: Post Tropical Storm Hermine

Posted on 8/29/16 at 7:44 am to
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
146214 posts
Posted on 8/29/16 at 7:44 am to
You nailed it
Posted by TigerstuckinMS
Member since Nov 2005
33687 posts
Posted on 8/29/16 at 7:46 am to
quote:

You nailed it


Let's slow down here. He said panhandle.
Posted by dukke v
PLUTO
Member since Jul 2006
202758 posts
Posted on 8/29/16 at 7:47 am to
Looks like it's going that way to me.....
Posted by Dire Wolf
bawcomville
Member since Sep 2008
36590 posts
Posted on 8/29/16 at 7:48 am to
quote:


Going out on a limb here and saying perhaps it evoked too many painful memories




So the O-T needs trigger warnings now?
Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 8/29/16 at 8:16 am to
When do you think we'll know for sure a general area this thing is moving near? Tuesday? Wednesday? I ain't trusting these models until I see a NE turn on this damn thing. Speaking of which, how likely is this thing moves into the Atlantic again and then gets more powerful being another problem?
This post was edited on 8/29/16 at 8:21 am
Posted by GeauxxxTigers23
TeamBunt General Manager
Member since Apr 2013
62514 posts
Posted on 8/29/16 at 8:22 am to
I think we're gonna be okay
Posted by LCA131
Home of the Fake Sig lines
Member since Feb 2008
72595 posts
Posted on 8/29/16 at 8:25 am to
I trust your judgment...Have you stayed at a Holiday Inn Express recently?
Posted by DollaChoppa
I Simp for ACC
Member since May 2008
84774 posts
Posted on 8/29/16 at 8:25 am to
So if this thing becomes a Tropical storm, the streak ends right?
Posted by baytiger
Boston
Member since Dec 2007
46978 posts
Posted on 8/29/16 at 8:28 am to
It is looking pretty good for Louisiana at the moment. The ridge is developing as planned over the eastern Rockies, and a 500 mb trough will dig ahead of it to provide the steering flow to get the system to turn northeast.

Additionally, shear is a bit stronger than anticipated, especially in the northern Gulf, which will hinder development a bit.

I can't blame you guys for waiting until the turn actually comes before you breathe easy though.
Posted by baytiger
Boston
Member since Dec 2007
46978 posts
Posted on 8/29/16 at 8:30 am to
quote:


So if this thing becomes a Tropical storm, the streak ends right?




Gotta become a hurricane. Colin was a TS in the gulf earlier this year.

I'm still not ruling it out, especially if it stays to the southerly bound of its forecast track.
Posted by Titus Pullo
MTDGA
Member since Feb 2011
28567 posts
Posted on 8/29/16 at 8:33 am to
Looks like it's still here to me..?
This post was edited on 8/29/16 at 8:34 am
Posted by DollaChoppa
I Simp for ACC
Member since May 2008
84774 posts
Posted on 8/29/16 at 8:41 am to
quote:

Gotta become a hurricane. Colin was a TS in the gulf earlier this year.



Oh ok. Couldnt remember if it was just named storm or hurricane. Didnt pay attention to Colin at all
Posted by bobbyleewilliams
Tigertown
Member since Feb 2010
8266 posts
Posted on 8/29/16 at 8:42 am to
quote:

can anyone answer why my Hurricane Katrina "certain death; catastrophic damage warning thread got removed
It hasn't been deleted...
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
84755 posts
Posted on 8/29/16 at 8:43 am to
quote:

When do you think we'll know for sure a general area this thing is moving near? Tuesday? Wednesday


Wednesday morning. May not know the exact landfall, but all the models suggest it should be moving NE towards FL by then. If it isn't NE by then, we'll know where else it's going by then.

quote:

Speaking of which, how likely is this thing moves into the Atlantic again and then gets more powerful being another problem?


The GFS suggests the outerbanks of the Carolinas could be subject to another landfall, but that's a long way out.

Fwiw, the HWRF is still suggesting a Category 1 landfall around the Tampa area.



~90 mph winds.
Posted by Catman88
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Dec 2004
49125 posts
Posted on 8/29/16 at 8:50 am to
I have heard the streak mentiond as a major hurricane and just hurricane. I'm guessing since the last hurricane was a cat 3 one streak will at least still be in tact. Should it intensify
This post was edited on 8/29/16 at 8:52 am
Posted by JuiceTerry
Roond the Scheme
Member since Apr 2013
40868 posts
Posted on 8/29/16 at 9:43 am to
GFNI can go straight to hell
Posted by macatak911
Metairie, LA
Member since Sep 2007
11072 posts
Posted on 8/29/16 at 9:53 am to
11 AM EST update is out. western part of the cone shifting east again!
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19808 posts
Posted on 8/29/16 at 9:56 am to
Pretty good agreement across all models now on track. Convection looks pretty healthy this morning and recon might find a TS.
Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
166169 posts
Posted on 8/29/16 at 10:02 am to
precipitation forecasts for day 3 and then 4-5, near bone dry from gulf shores on back to LA.

This post was edited on 8/29/16 at 10:03 am
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19808 posts
Posted on 8/29/16 at 10:33 am to
Storms starting to fire with TD8 and recon will be in there first. Could it be the H storm and TD9 be the I?
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