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Severe Weather Thread: 4/17 --Extra Bonus Easter Edition-- North LA and Northshore

Posted on 4/8/22 at 11:32 am
Posted by Duke
Twin Lakes, CO
Member since Jan 2008
35656 posts
Posted on 4/8/22 at 11:32 am






Line of storms diving south into the evening. Typically good lightning producers. The hail profile is pretty good on these as well as some wind potential.
This post was edited on 4/17/22 at 11:37 am
Posted by JohnnyKilroy
Cajun Navy Vice Admiral
Member since Oct 2012
35582 posts
Posted on 4/8/22 at 11:33 am to
shite is wack
Posted by tigerinthebueche
Member since Oct 2010
36791 posts
Posted on 4/8/22 at 11:36 am to
Can't you just start a babe thread every once in a while?
Posted by 50_Tiger
Dallas TX
Member since Jan 2016
40280 posts
Posted on 4/8/22 at 11:37 am to
NWS Ft Worth mentioned Tuesday is the more "worrisome" day for DFW as textbook dryline event occurring.

More Yeehaw
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
120544 posts
Posted on 4/8/22 at 11:40 am to
Spring weather gonna spring weather
Posted by Duke
Twin Lakes, CO
Member since Jan 2008
35656 posts
Posted on 4/8/22 at 11:42 am to
quote:

Spring weather gonna spring weather


Yeah, mid-April be like this.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
55053 posts
Posted on 4/8/22 at 11:44 am to
Duke had a real nice write-up on next week. He could have condensed the TL,DR version even more by saying, "Hell if I know."

What a shitshow this all is. I'm waiting at least on the Hi-res NAM. The long range models are in the weeds right now.

Good job again, Duke. I haven't read the shear post yet.
This post was edited on 4/8/22 at 11:45 am
Posted by V Bainbridge
Member since Jul 2020
7795 posts
Posted on 4/8/22 at 11:47 am to
Feels like there is a storm cloud over my head when I finish out taxes so there might as well be a literal one.
Posted by Mr Breeze
The Lunatic Fringe
Member since Dec 2010
6001 posts
Posted on 4/8/22 at 11:48 am to
Posted by Duke
Twin Lakes, CO
Member since Jan 2008
35656 posts
Posted on 4/8/22 at 11:49 am to
quote:

He could have condensed the TL,DR version even more by saying, "Hell if I know."


3 shortwaves and a longwave over two days.

Euro and GFS on materially different solutions.

Just big fun to figure out.

quote:

I haven't read the shear post yet.


It'll be pretty trivial for you.
Posted by theunknownknight
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
57449 posts
Posted on 4/8/22 at 11:50 am to
CANCEL SCHOOLS

THINK OF THE NURSES
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
55053 posts
Posted on 4/8/22 at 11:55 am to
quote:

It'll be pretty trivial for you.

I can surprise you. Trust me.
Posted by SouthernHog
Arkansas
Member since Jul 2016
6212 posts
Posted on 4/8/22 at 12:24 pm to
Bout time we get in on this shite!
Posted by LSU-MNCBABY
Knightsgate
Member since Jan 2004
24379 posts
Posted on 4/8/22 at 12:32 pm to
EBR schools closed for the week just in case
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
55053 posts
Posted on 4/8/22 at 12:32 pm to
This is Wednesday. GFS has a nice Dewpoint gradient as well, but is a little messier. Either way, that's potent.


With 60s all the way to Iowa.
This post was edited on 4/8/22 at 1:21 pm
Posted by WhuckFistle
Member since Jul 2015
3013 posts
Posted on 4/8/22 at 12:53 pm to

So according to this map, Little Rock is fricked.
Nice knowing you baws.

Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
55053 posts
Posted on 4/8/22 at 12:56 pm to
CIPS is a decent guide for analogs to aid forecasting, but it needs to be viewed within the scope it is intended.
This post was edited on 4/8/22 at 12:56 pm
Posted by wfallstiger
Wichita Falls, Texas
Member since Jun 2006
11669 posts
Posted on 4/8/22 at 1:10 pm to
Amen....just finished paying this morning .... greedy sumbi#%=÷_s
Posted by Duke
Twin Lakes, CO
Member since Jan 2008
35656 posts
Posted on 4/8/22 at 1:13 pm to
quote:

CIPS is a decent guide for analogs to aid forecasting, but it needs to be viewed within the scope it is intended.


Right.

Its also good to remember it'll based on what a model shows and if the model is wrong, the analogs dont work.
Posted by PureBlood
The Motherland
Member since Oct 2021
4039 posts
Posted on 4/8/22 at 1:15 pm to
quote:

shite is wack



At least this spring shite is nicer than the other times of the year. It sucks midweek but then we get perfect weekends.
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