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Quake expert: San Andreas "locked, loaded, and ready to roll"

Posted on 5/5/16 at 1:55 am
Posted by Jim Rockford
Member since May 2011
98133 posts
Posted on 5/5/16 at 1:55 am
LINK

quote:



Southern California’s section of the San Andreas fault is “locked, loaded and ready to roll,” a leading earthquake scientist said Wednesday at the National Earthquake Conference in Long Beach.

The San Andreas fault is one of California’s most dangerous, and is the state’s longest fault. Yet for Southern California, the last big earthquake to strike the southern San Andreas was in 1857, when a magnitude 7.9 earthquake ruptured an astonishing 185 miles between Monterey County and the San Gabriel Mountains near Los Angeles.

It has been quiet since then — too quiet, said Thomas Jordan, director of the Southern California Earthquake Center.

Although the Pacific plate is moving northwest relative to North America at about 16 feet, or 5 meters, every 100 years, the southern San Andreas fault has been quiet for more than a century. (Thomas Jordan / Southern California Earthquake Center)

“The springs on the San Andreas system have been wound very, very tight. And the southern San Andreas fault, in particular, looks like it’s locked, loaded and ready to go,” Jordan said in the opening keynote talk.

Other sections of the San Andreas fault also are far overdue for a big quake. Further southeast of the Cajon Pass, such as in San Bernardino County, the fault has not moved substantially since an earthquake in 1812, and further southeast toward the Salton Sea, it has been relatively quiet since about 1680 to 1690.


This post was edited on 5/5/16 at 1:55 am
Posted by 2poop
bama
Member since Sep 2009
4562 posts
Posted on 5/5/16 at 1:56 am to

Posted by Jim Rockford
Member since May 2011
98133 posts
Posted on 5/5/16 at 1:56 am to
Related: Underside of North American plate is peeling off, causing earthquakes in the southeast US LINK
Posted by The Baker
This is fine.
Member since Dec 2011
16160 posts
Posted on 5/5/16 at 1:57 am to
(no message)
This post was edited on 1/10/21 at 11:03 pm
Posted by HogBalls
Member since Nov 2014
8587 posts
Posted on 5/5/16 at 2:05 am to
Posted by lsu480
Downtown Scottsdale
Member since Oct 2007
92876 posts
Posted on 5/5/16 at 2:06 am to
I am sure this is bullshite and it better be because I have way too many important people in my life that live on top of that fault
Posted by Charlie Arglist
Wichita, Kansas
Member since Nov 2012
5550 posts
Posted on 5/5/16 at 2:13 am to
Posted by HailHailtoMichigan!
Mission Viejo, CA
Member since Mar 2012
69250 posts
Posted on 5/5/16 at 2:20 am to
quote:

Jim Rockford
They've been saying this for more than a decade. The average person in california doesn't think about this for more than one minute a year at most.
Posted by Charlie Arglist
Wichita, Kansas
Member since Nov 2012
5550 posts
Posted on 5/5/16 at 2:33 am to
quote:

Jim Rockford

They've been saying this for more than a decade. The average person in california doesn't think about this for more than one minute a year at most.


But he hadn't met his thread quota for the day...needed something to throw out there.
Posted by tigerfan84
Member since Dec 2003
20219 posts
Posted on 5/5/16 at 3:28 am to
maybe they should call The Rock
Posted by lsu480
Downtown Scottsdale
Member since Oct 2007
92876 posts
Posted on 5/5/16 at 3:33 am to
quote:

The average person in california doesn't think about this for more than one minute a year at most.


I see you live in Cali but I also lived there for close to 10 years of my life and that is BS IMO. I didn't worry about earthquakes until I experienced my first legit one and then I worried about them every single time it got overcast, especially since I knew the huge brick fireplace in the home I owned had collapsed into the house and through the roof in during a strong earthquake before I bought it. My ex lived ON the San Andreas fault, right on the border of Northridge and Reseda, and during the Northridge quake her house shook so hard that not only did it knock everything off of the walls but her 9 foot deep pool had less than 1 foot of water in it after from the shaking....and there were no cracks in the pool. Her fathers house down the road had a carport that went under the house and that part of the house collapsed and smashed the cars but luckily those rooms had nobody in them....he moved his younger kids out of the state ASAP after that because of the helpless feeling he had while it was going on. They all had no power for over 2 weeks and that quake wasn't anywhere near what this article predicts. You are very lucky that you don't worry about them but that just tells me you haven't been in a big one. Living along the San Andreas is like constantly knowing you could experience Katrina like damage with zero notice. To me there is literally nothing scarier than an earthquake because you have no warning and when they start your world is turned upside down and you have no idea how bad it will be until it, and the aftershocks, are over. frick Earthquakes.
Posted by McCaigBro69
TigerDroppings Premium Member
Member since Oct 2014
45084 posts
Posted on 5/5/16 at 3:38 am to
Why the frick would I sit and cower about this? Nothing we can do about it.

If it happens then whatever. I'll just get to do a shite ton of blow before I die.
Posted by Beaver Bandit
Louisiana
Member since Dec 2015
654 posts
Posted on 5/5/16 at 3:42 am to
The only way I'd move to an earthquake prone area is if I was offered a once in a lifetime job. At least with hurricanes and tornadoes there's a warning and you can prepare. With earthquakes there's no getting away once it starts, frick that.
Posted by lsu480
Downtown Scottsdale
Member since Oct 2007
92876 posts
Posted on 5/5/16 at 3:43 am to
You wouldn't, but you would think about it more than 1 minute a year. Especially when there is earthquake weather.....
Posted by McCaigBro69
TigerDroppings Premium Member
Member since Oct 2014
45084 posts
Posted on 5/5/16 at 4:09 am to
quote:

You wouldn't, but you would think about it more than 1 minute a year.


Yeah I can't deny that. I deal with like 10-12 tornado warnings a year (Finally got by one for the first time this year) and I honestly can't go to sleep knowing there's a tornado warning) and I constantly think about that crap.

I think I'd have to actually experience and earthquake before I'd ever think of it.
Posted by mpar98
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2006
8034 posts
Posted on 5/5/16 at 4:24 am to
See you down in Arizona Bay
Posted by tigerpimpbot
Chairman of the Pool Board
Member since Nov 2011
66890 posts
Posted on 5/5/16 at 4:53 am to
Learn to swim
Posted by BottomlandBrew
Member since Aug 2010
27062 posts
Posted on 5/5/16 at 5:58 am to
They said the New Madrid fault was primed and ready to go when I was a kid. We used to have to do earthquake drills in elementary school. 25 years later and still nothing.
Posted by TigerMyth36
River Ridge
Member since Nov 2005
39728 posts
Posted on 5/5/16 at 6:11 am to
quote:

They've been saying this for more than a decade.
Not really. They've been saying it for 3 decades.

Always someone out there in some field, always pushing doomsday.
Posted by LSUfan20005
Member since Sep 2012
8807 posts
Posted on 5/5/16 at 6:38 am to
Well, 30 years is mere seconds in geolological time.
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