re: Louisiana COVID-19 - April 11, 2020 Update: 20,014 Cases - 96,915 tested - 806 dead

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For the economy we better hope there isn't a superspreader at the Life Tabernacle Church this weekend.

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Been keeping my fingers crossed about tomorrow with that bozo. He’s expecting 2,000 tomorrow. Might be bullshite — but if not, it’s a situation to watch closely.

I think you should go on ahead and change your name to Flu Kent.

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I was hoping the number of hospitalizations would have peaked by now

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Peaked in New Orleans. Now peaking in BR and S-port.

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Is it? 61k people died of the flu in 2018. All the sudden the reported cases and deaths are fractional in 2020. but muh narrative..

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Longish-term average for flu deaths in a given year is about 15/100,000.

As of now a few states are above that mark (LA, NJ, NY) with a few others (MI, CT) closing in. National deaths still under flu levels but that's largely anchored down by TX and CA with their low totals.

The answer to whether the virus itself is "the same as the flu" is quite conclusively answered with a resounding NO by New York. (Currently 440 deaths/million, 44/100,000 - or the equivalent of 3 full flu seasons in the past month). New York City also stopped counting out-of-hospital deaths.

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why do models have to do with historical death statistics from this pre-COVID-19 world?

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Flu death counts aren't the number of people who tested positive for the flu and died from complications thereafter. It's a model that estimates the number.


Also the cdc estimates that approximately 35k died in the US from the 18/19 flu season


What next? You gonna cite the 2009 h1n1 deaths?

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What next? You gonna cite the 2009 h1n1 deaths?

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Nah, I’m good, but you seem like you have a lot of time on your hands. Knock yourself out.

I didn’t realize we were long lost friends. strange I don’t remember you whatsoever. bye rando

How many new cases were in Orleans?