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Message
re: Hurricane Season - July - TS Emily
Posted on 7/18/17 at 9:00 am to Large Farva
Posted on 7/18/17 at 9:00 am to Large Farva
1
Posted on 7/18/17 at 8:54 pm to rds dc
Looks like Don will fail to reach 1.00 ACE, keeping the season below normal for ACE.
This post was edited on 7/21/17 at 4:47 pm
Posted on 7/18/17 at 9:03 pm to The Boat
I said this on July 2.
Yep
quote:
You know it's going to be an active season when you get development way out there in early July. This is what we saw in 2005 when Dennis and Emily became powerful storms in July.
quote:
2 MDR Names before 8/1 Bad News
Yep
Posted on 7/18/17 at 9:05 pm to Kyrie Eleison
I remember when Stephanie Abrams and those big tits debuted on the weather channel during the busy hurricane season of 2004.
She still looks pretty fine.
Jim Cantore probably slays the weather channel chicks. Everyone knows he fricked Alexandra Steele.
She still looks pretty fine.
Jim Cantore probably slays the weather channel chicks. Everyone knows he fricked Alexandra Steele.
Posted on 7/18/17 at 9:12 pm to rds dc
I'll be making landfall in september.
Posted on 7/18/17 at 9:15 pm to The Hurricane
We'll keep an eye out for ya.
Posted on 7/19/17 at 5:58 pm to rds dc
Meanwhile, in the EPAC
This post was edited on 7/19/17 at 7:38 pm
Posted on 7/24/17 at 8:18 pm to rds dc
EPAC is still going strong with some crazy physics possible
Posted on 7/24/17 at 8:29 pm to rds dc
Posted on 7/24/17 at 8:32 pm to rds dc
Models are starting to drop hints that a system might form in the Atlantic towards the end of the month and track generally westward. The Atlantic is currently unfavorable for development but that could change as there are signs that a convectively active Kelvin wave (good for thunderstorms) may follow the currently suppressed phase (bad for thunderstorms).
The GEFS has been more aggressive with development but the Euro EPS has been trending towards more development. The 18z GEFS with the "anywhere from Mexico to NYC" special
The GEFS has been more aggressive with development but the Euro EPS has been trending towards more development. The 18z GEFS with the "anywhere from Mexico to NYC" special
Posted on 7/25/17 at 1:58 am to The Boat
Rummy was fond of Cheryl Lemke.
Posted on 7/25/17 at 6:39 am to rds dc
quote:
The 18z GEFS with the "anywhere from Mexico to NYC" special
Have to love accuracy.
Posted on 7/25/17 at 8:01 am to rds dc
quote:
The Atlantic is currently unfavorable for development but that could change as there are signs that a convectively active Kelvin wave (good for thunderstorms) may follow the currently suppressed phase (bad for thunderstorms).
Pretty good agreement across the different models that the Atlantic will become more favorable for storms over the next couple of weeks. The image above is from the Euro and the image a few post up was from the CFS.
Posted on 7/26/17 at 7:52 am to rds dc
The slow burn starts, things could get very active over the next few weeks, even more so than climo.
Posted on 7/26/17 at 9:26 am to rds dc
What is the point of posting all of these maybes? The vast majority don't happen.
Posted on 7/30/17 at 10:08 am to rds dc
NHC is watching a couple of areas but nothing seems overly threatening right now, outside of some heavy rain along the Gulf.
Posted on 7/30/17 at 10:43 am to rds dc
rds dc
Since what looked to be spinning up activity didn't really materialize in July (at least not in the Atlantic), is the thinking this will be an active season dialing back?
Since what looked to be spinning up activity didn't really materialize in July (at least not in the Atlantic), is the thinking this will be an active season dialing back?
Posted on 7/30/17 at 10:56 pm to udtiger
First Cat 5 of the year is raging in the Pacific,
Noru
Noru
Posted on 7/30/17 at 11:05 pm to rds dc
quote:
rds dc
Off topic, but any predictions on this year's winter?
Posted on 7/30/17 at 11:08 pm to udtiger
quote:
Since what looked to be spinning up activity didn't really materialize in July (at least not in the Atlantic), is the thinking this will be an active season dialing back?
It's hard to say, the next couple of weeks should give some clues. Globally, things have been unfavorable for the Atlantic and tropical waves coming off of Africa. There is a strong Kelvin Wave about to move across the Atlantic. That could make conditions more favorable across the MDR and improve the structure of the waves coming off of Africa. However, the models aren't really showing much activity, so it's kind of a wait and see.
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