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Message
re: Storm Aftermath - Hurricane Matthew will be Retired
Posted on 9/26/16 at 7:52 am to rds dc
Posted on 9/26/16 at 7:52 am to rds dc
Pretty big westward shift with the 00z Euro EPS with more than half of the members moving into the Gulf. The control run has landfall in S. Texas. The 00z operational is slower than previous runs and is still on the eastern side of the spread in the Euro package.
00z Euro EPS:
00z Euro EPS 500mb pattern would suggest a general NW then N movement:
00z Euro EPS:
00z Euro EPS 500mb pattern would suggest a general NW then N movement:
2
Posted on 9/26/16 at 8:47 am to rds dc
This is a pretty big system and it will take some time to consolidate. Also, dry air north of the system and a lip of dry air curving down in front (hazy appearance on sat). Dry air out in front can be more of a hindrance than to the north but sustained convection should help mix out that bit in front.
Posted on 9/26/16 at 9:31 am to rds dc
that thing comes together like it looks it might, it has the potential to be a monster
Posted on 9/26/16 at 9:38 am to rds dc
quote:
Pretty big westward shift
Posted on 9/26/16 at 9:41 am to meauxjeaux2
Is it too early for a day by day track? Just curious where people think this storm will be this weekend.
Thanks to everyone for posting maps, models, info, etc
Thanks to everyone for posting maps, models, info, etc
Posted on 9/26/16 at 10:13 am to Palmetto08
quote:
Just curious where people think this storm will be this weekend.
Hopefully not Punta Cana.
Posted on 9/26/16 at 10:53 am to TigerstuckinMS
It looks like it is forming up fast.
Posted on 9/26/16 at 12:48 pm to Palmetto08
Looks like the GFS model has this taking a sharp right hook, slamming Dominican Republic and heading out to sea thereafter. Its still pretty early to know for sure but the model consensus has this thing missing the Continental US well to the east. It is early for sure but the models are definitely giving me hope that us here in FL and the rest of the CONUS for that matter will not be threatened.
Posted on 9/26/16 at 4:16 pm to meauxjeaux2
that Gif just slayed me at work man LOL
Posted on 9/26/16 at 4:27 pm to otowntiger
quote:
Looks like the GFS model has this taking a sharp right hook, slamming Dominican Republic and heading out to sea thereafter. Its still pretty early to know for sure but the model consensus has this thing missing the Continental US well to the east. It is early for sure but the models are definitely giving me hope that us here in FL and the rest of the CONUS for that matter will not be threatened.
Yea, the 12z GFS and GEFS continue to shift eastward but unfortunately it still moves through the Islands as a powerful hurricane. It appears that staying weak and sliding into Central America is the only option that keeps this from having some potentially adverse effects.
The 12z Euro continues to shift westward and now has 97L near the eastern end of Cuba at D10. Yesterday, it had the system east of the Bahamas and heading out to sea. The 12z Euro EPS mean at D10 is on the other end of Cuba with a 500mb pattern across N. America that suggest it may move into the Gulf from there.
12z Euro EPS:
12z Euro EPS 500mb (main steering pattern)
So another round of GFS vs. Euro...
Posted on 9/26/16 at 4:43 pm to rds dc
Let's go AMERICA!
Posted on 9/26/16 at 4:50 pm to lsuman25
From Dr. Maue at WxBell full 12z Euro EPS run:
Posted on 9/26/16 at 4:52 pm to rds dc
Do not want...
Posted on 9/26/16 at 4:56 pm to Jim Rockford
quote:Ditto!
Do not want...
Posted on 9/26/16 at 4:57 pm to rds dc
ugh,hopefully data tomorrow from the hurricane hunters gives us a better idea with the models
Posted on 9/26/16 at 4:57 pm to Thracken13
damnit im going on a cruise this weekend from ft lauderdale to st thomas,st maarten, and the bahamas. do you think its at risk? Leaves the 1st-7th
Posted on 9/26/16 at 4:57 pm to bobbyleewilliams
what is the timeline like on this thing?
Posted on 9/26/16 at 4:58 pm to dabigfella
I think you'll miss it.
Posted on 9/26/16 at 4:59 pm to theOG
if it were to hit the US again that is a huge if most likely sometime middle to late week next week
Posted on 9/26/16 at 5:02 pm to b-rab2
thanks b-rab im in FL already bc I have a vacation home in miami but im really hoping it doesnt cancel the cruise bc i got the sweetest deal ever on it!
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