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re: How Long Until A Robot or Computer Program Takes Your Job?

Posted on 2/20/17 at 2:34 pm to
Posted by LucasP
Member since Apr 2012
21618 posts
Posted on 2/20/17 at 2:34 pm to
BBC.com? Yeah I ain't clicking that at work, nice try.
Posted by Uncle Stu
#AlbinoLivesMatter
Member since Aug 2004
33658 posts
Posted on 2/20/17 at 2:34 pm to
quote:

Every robot should be required to have a human tender (or more than one) to mitigate job displacement.



quote:

Then, the meters affect your health by radiating your house.

So, my heating bill should go down...sweet


quote:

I also have evidence that they intrude upon your privacy inside the house.

by all means, bring it
Posted by LucasP
Member since Apr 2012
21618 posts
Posted on 2/20/17 at 2:36 pm to
quote:

by all means, bring it


Please don't, this is an interesting topic. I hate it when people derail good threads with bullshite.
Posted by DustyDinkleman
Here
Member since Feb 2012
18176 posts
Posted on 2/20/17 at 2:36 pm to
Very near future...


I will probably be out of a job by 2030 if not before.
Posted by OweO
Plaquemine, La
Member since Sep 2009
113900 posts
Posted on 2/20/17 at 2:36 pm to
quote:

s the human race ever going to come together to plan for this inevitable takeover and enact laws that will allow all humans to live peacefully while the brunt of the work is done by computers and robots or will our failure to plan for this lead to worldwide financial devastation and all out war?





The short answer is no, but people might come together, but people will still be divided in different groups. There will always be people with different agendas and different philosophies.

Humans will adapt to some degree. We would find other ways to become valuable. There will always be sales, entertainment, engineering, medical related, even labor to some degree, etc jobs, but there will be a bigger class gap. The middle class will eventually split. The lower middle will be more "lower" class and upper middle class will be upper class.
Posted by bmy
Nashville
Member since Oct 2007
48203 posts
Posted on 2/20/17 at 2:55 pm to
Not soon.. but most of my field work could be done by drone in the future
This post was edited on 2/20/17 at 2:56 pm
Posted by cas4t
Member since Jan 2010
70891 posts
Posted on 2/20/17 at 4:00 pm to
Well I'm a sales person so unless they create a robot to close deals....

Who knows I guess.

Why don't you at least ask what industry I'm in before calling me stupid, ya frick.
Posted by J Murdah
Member since Jun 2008
39779 posts
Posted on 2/20/17 at 4:01 pm to
A robot does do my job, but I get paid to make sure the robot doesn't fail.
Posted by cas4t
Member since Jan 2010
70891 posts
Posted on 2/20/17 at 4:04 pm to
If anything my job will go the route of me selling that actual technology. Not the technology replacing my job.

I work in commercial insurance, so technically a robot could review policies, gauge risk/reward, etc. but I don't see how brokering between corporations and underwriters at insurance carriers can be done through tech. A software may have negotiation abilities in the future I guess and give the buyer the info to arm themselves to negotiate themselves? But CFOs and controllers of companies don't want to do that. They just don't. That tech has been around for a decade now and risk managers and CFOs still prefer to know the time, not how the watch is built.

I just don't see it. At least not before I'm dead.
This post was edited on 2/20/17 at 4:24 pm
Posted by cas4t
Member since Jan 2010
70891 posts
Posted on 2/20/17 at 4:05 pm to
Similar here. I use analytics to negotiate. That wasn't the case just 3-4 years ago even though the software existed. And the analytics aren't always correct and it requires humans to review and tailor.
This post was edited on 2/20/17 at 4:27 pm
Posted by AU4real35
Member since Jan 2014
16065 posts
Posted on 2/20/17 at 4:06 pm to
Never, because I'm telling the the computer what it needs to do.
Posted by TygerDurden
Member since Sep 2009
1846 posts
Posted on 2/20/17 at 4:44 pm to
Until that that computer can take customers out for drinks, golf, hunting, ball games and fix their daily complaints I am not worried....that damn computer would have to learn to put with a ton of shite that would cause it to reboot itself about a dozen times a day.
Posted by LucasP
Member since Apr 2012
21618 posts
Posted on 2/20/17 at 4:47 pm to
quote:

I don't see how brokering between corporations and underwriters at insurance carriers can be done through tech. A software may have negotiation abilities in the future I guess and give the buyer the info to arm themselves to negotiate themselves? But CFOs and controllers of companies don't want to do that. They just don't.


Software buys and sells stock on the exchange all day, humans are completely out of the equation. Not sure why insurance couldn't go the same way. But honestly I don't know much about insurance.
Posted by Jake88
Member since Apr 2005
68047 posts
Posted on 2/20/17 at 5:04 pm to
maybe 50 years, maybe never.
Posted by dbeck
Member since Nov 2014
29450 posts
Posted on 2/20/17 at 5:25 pm to
What people don't realize is the domino effect that AI will have on the workforce and the economy. Robots may only take the lowest tier jobs at first but that's enough to cause havoc.

Consider the scenario in which a factory replaces all operators with robots. "Well I'm not an operator so it doesn't affect me."

Wrong. With no production employees you need no supervisors. With no supervisors you need no managers. You also need no HR department and you can cut Accounting down now that you have minimal payroll.

And eventually AI will reach the point that it's more cost-effective than humans even if humans are still better at their jobs. AI doesn't need to eat or sleep or take breaks. It doesn't call in sick or take vacation days or ask for a paycheck and benefits. If a computer program can only do your job at half the speed but only costs 40% of your salary and benefits to maintain...well you're gone.

And those displaced jobs have wide reaching effects on the economy. If you displace all the operators at a factory then you cut their paychecks out of the local economy. Everywhere they spend their money will take a hit.

We're about to see a microcosm of this when driver-less vehicles start taking over the trucking jobs. Motels, diners, and truck stops will all take a hit. And everyone will feel the pressure because those people aren't just going to disappear. They will be looking to re-enter the workforce in other areas.

tl;dr we're fricked
Posted by TH03
Mogadishu
Member since Dec 2008
171036 posts
Posted on 2/20/17 at 5:29 pm to
I'm in sales, but both Walmart and specs are on computerized ordering systems which order based on register rings and on hand quantities. I can still go in a pitch displays so I'm not fully replaced in those stores yet.
Posted by bountyhunter
North of Houston a bit
Member since Mar 2012
6326 posts
Posted on 2/20/17 at 5:34 pm to
There is a theory that any utopian society requires the concept of "free labor". Unfortunately right now the only way to achieve this is slavery, which clearly is not cool.

I know people like to refer to us being in the digital age, but I believe we are in the beginning of a new age that culminates with all necessary facets of life being automated. I see robotics, advanced sensors, processing hardware, telecommunications infrastructure, and software automating a lot of things in the next 10-20 years.
This post was edited on 2/20/17 at 5:36 pm
Posted by cas4t
Member since Jan 2010
70891 posts
Posted on 2/20/17 at 5:50 pm to
(no message)
This post was edited on 2/20/17 at 8:13 pm
Posted by Grim
Member since Dec 2013
12302 posts
Posted on 2/20/17 at 5:50 pm to
I'm a blacksmith and no frickin robot is gonna take my job. We're going through a bit of a slump right now but the market will come back up. It always has
Posted by NYNolaguy1
Member since May 2011
20870 posts
Posted on 2/20/17 at 6:10 pm to
Never.
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