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Gulf Action - TS Danielle Forms in BoC - Earliest 4th Storm
Posted on 6/18/16 at 8:13 am
Posted on 6/18/16 at 8:13 am
Overall, conditions aren't too favorable for development across the EPAC and Gulf but that could change heading into early July. Still too far out to speculate, but the Gulf could become more conducive to development heading towards the 4th of July holiday.
If anything were to develop, the current pattern that will be responsible for record heat across the SW this weekend should also keep any storm pinned down in the BoC and move it towards Mexico.
This post was edited on 6/20/16 at 6:46 am
Posted on 6/18/16 at 8:23 am to rds dc
Come to me, Joboo! I wantz more rainz!!!
Posted on 6/18/16 at 8:25 am to RummelTiger
quote:
I wantz more rainz!!!
how much more rain youz guyz need?
aint you all full up?
Posted on 6/18/16 at 8:27 am to Uncle Stu
quote:
how much more rain youz guyz need?
aint you all full up?
Yes, but I don't live at Graveyard Point, or along Onion Creek, nor do I attempt to cross flooded roads (turn around, don't drown - maybe they need to print those signs in Spanish)...so MORE RAINZ!!!
Posted on 6/18/16 at 8:32 am to Uncle Stu
quote:
how much more rain youz guyz need?
aint you all full up?
If I've learned anything since moving to Texas, it's that you greedily take all the rain whenever you can get it!
Posted on 6/18/16 at 10:02 am to rds dc
Going to the beach for the 4th. Don't jinx it with all this bad weather stuff.
Posted on 6/18/16 at 10:05 am to rds dc
95% of the info and maps you post makes some sense to me, but this this is fricking comical:
Posted on 6/18/16 at 11:14 am to slackster
Yea, that graph/map/chart makes zero sense to me
Posted on 6/18/16 at 11:17 am to TigerTatorTots
quote:
Yea, that graph/map/chart makes zero sense to me
I mean reading the axises gives me a little inclination, but there is just way too much going on to have any idea what it means. I need my weather charts/maps to have landmasses on them.
Posted on 6/18/16 at 11:20 am to slackster
The only thing I can figure from that graph is it is supposed to tell us when the MJO is in certain regions and when Kelvin waves are moving through which are a big sign of possible tropical cyclone development but other than that I am totally lost.
Posted on 6/18/16 at 11:24 am to RummelTiger
quote:frick that! Goddamn lakes are full in Texas.
MORE RAINZ!!!
Posted on 6/18/16 at 9:13 pm to slackster
quote:
95% of the info and maps you post makes some sense to me, but this this is fricking comical:
That is a hovmöller with time on the left and longitude on the bottom. It is tracking the different types of atmospheric waves that move across the equator. Typically, the waves move from west to east, so left to right on the hovmöller. Significant waves will show up slanted, since you are moving up in time as you move down. The red dots are where and when cyclones formed.
You can see a significant MJO wave start on the far left around the end of April and move across during May and into June. There was also a Kelvin wave that was superimposed for a period of time.
In simplistic terms, the blue areas are unstable air and the brown areas are stable air. You are more likely to see development with unstable air. The red box is highlighting a period of stable air across the EPAC, Gulf and Western Caribbean.
This post was edited on 6/18/16 at 9:16 pm
Posted on 6/19/16 at 4:21 pm to rds dc
This mess is now TD4 and could become the earliest 4th named storm before Mexicoing it.
Posted on 6/19/16 at 4:44 pm to rds dc
Not hitting louisiana, not caring.
Posted on 6/19/16 at 4:51 pm to rds dc
NOAA is so desperate to remain relevant and get funding that they are starting to give names to thunderstorms now.....
Posted on 6/19/16 at 4:58 pm to rds dc
quote:
Could be Earliest 4th Storm
TS Donald?
Posted on 6/20/16 at 4:19 am to Jim Rockford
looks like a good bit of consolidating went on last night. Mexico is lucky it's going to run out of water.
Posted on 6/20/16 at 4:42 am to rds dc
Any threat of this hitting the Fla Panhandle around that time?
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