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Started By
Message
2
Posted on 8/26/16 at 9:09 am to MightyYat
quote:
quote:
No y'all can't.
Bc you're obsessed with getting the last word in. Like a bunch of elementary school kids.
This thread pretty important to lots people.
Go to anther thread and continue your dick measuring contest.
Thanks for chiming in. Much appreciated.
super, where is it clear? The thing looks like a total mess.
Basically yesterday, it was a naked swirl. Today, storms are re-firing much closer to the center. It is still an absolute mess, to be sure, but I personally think it looks much better than yesterday. I wasn't convinced yesterday that it would survive, but as long as there is convection firing near the center, it is still something to watch for future development. I'll preface by saying that I am not of the opinion that we all need to be terrified of this thing - I just think that it did not die yesterday like many people believed it would.
Posted on 8/26/16 at 9:09 am to ForeverLSU02
quote:
I'm a bit on edge due to the flood, the storm and the fact that we should be having a baby any day doesn't help
Posted on 8/26/16 at 9:11 am to ForeverLSU02
quote:
we should be having a baby any day
Congrats! Still not as important as travel plans.
Posted on 8/26/16 at 9:12 am to Motorboat
quote:I understand. I had to cancel my Green Bay trip in January when we found out. Talk about bitter sweet
Congrats! Still not as important as travel plans.
Posted on 8/26/16 at 9:14 am to ForeverLSU02
quote:
I understand. I had to cancel my Green Bay trip in January when we found out. Talk about bitter sweet
A true fan would have driven to Green Bay and then given birth in the stadium after Fournette's first touchdown.
Posted on 8/26/16 at 9:18 am to MightyYat
quote:
Thanks for chiming in. Much appreciated.
super, where is it clear? The thing looks like a total mess. Are you talking about that big red flare up?
Yes, MightyYat. Yesterday, this was the naked swirl:
See how there are no thunderstorm clouds around that center? They were getting blown off by shear.
You can see how there are no storms in the IR:
Just a lonely swirl.
Compare to today:
And of course, on IR near the center:
This all happened in the last couple hours and it remains to be seen if these storms get blown off again by shear, but I didn't think I'd get much pushback here saying it looked more alive today than it did yesterday.
Posted on 8/26/16 at 9:26 am to supernovasky
So shear is good and tries to rip these things apart??
Posted on 8/26/16 at 9:28 am to tiger91
yes shear is good, just like pills.
Posted on 8/26/16 at 9:28 am to supernovasky
But where are you proposing the center is?
Posted on 8/26/16 at 9:30 am to tiger91
Well, it looks like the center of circulation is missing Cuba, and is now over open water. A little less upper shear and this thing might just do something.
Posted on 8/26/16 at 9:33 am to tiger91
quote:
So shear is good and tries to rip these things apart??
have we had so few the last decade due to el nino?
Posted on 8/26/16 at 9:35 am to RedRifle
quote:
Not going to read this whole thread. just want know is it coming towards uptown New Orleans or not?
Nah. CBD. You'll be fine.
Posted on 8/26/16 at 9:36 am to bbap
Yup. Imagine you have three layers (lower, middle, and upper atmosphere). The lower atmosphere is where these tropical storms are often swirling about, and in fact a lower level circulation (LLC) is essential to one of these tropical storms forming.
You can see that at the bottom, you have all of these storms firing up, and at the top, you've got the outflow. What shear does is it cuts off storms before they can establish proper outflow (literally chops the entire top part of the storm off).
When you have shear as bad as we had yesterday, it cuts off ALL thunderstorms and all you are left is a little naked swirl at the lowest level of the atmosphere. You could have been in the middle of the swirl on a boat yesterday and had a light breeze and sunshine.
You can see that at the bottom, you have all of these storms firing up, and at the top, you've got the outflow. What shear does is it cuts off storms before they can establish proper outflow (literally chops the entire top part of the storm off).
When you have shear as bad as we had yesterday, it cuts off ALL thunderstorms and all you are left is a little naked swirl at the lowest level of the atmosphere. You could have been in the middle of the swirl on a boat yesterday and had a light breeze and sunshine.
Posted on 8/26/16 at 9:36 am to Chad504boy
quote:
But where are you proposing the center is?
Who knows, Chad, we don't have recon out there right now. I suppose it's probably under that convection or pretty near it.
Posted on 8/26/16 at 9:39 am to supernovasky
Likewise, shear is decreasing over the storm. I anticipate today will be a better day for 99L.
This post was edited on 8/26/16 at 9:47 am
Posted on 8/26/16 at 9:43 am to supernovasky
quote:
I anticipate today will be a better day for 99L.
think we'll have a depression by the end of the day?
Posted on 8/26/16 at 9:43 am to supernovasky
quote:
You can see that at the bottom, you have all of these storms firing up, and at the top, you've got the outflow. What shear does is it cuts off storms before they can establish proper outflow (literally chops the entire top part of the storm off).
You can see this now in the daytime satellite. You see the tops forming and then dispersing.
Posted on 8/26/16 at 9:46 am to supernovasky
(no message)
This post was edited on 5/13/21 at 11:00 pm
Posted on 8/26/16 at 9:48 am to supernovasky
quote:
supernovasky
Thank you for the simple explanation. Appreciate it.
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