Started By
Message

re: So AD and Jrue had 78 of our 113 points tonight...

Posted on 3/10/16 at 11:43 am to
Posted by corndeaux
Member since Sep 2009
9634 posts
Posted on 3/10/16 at 11:43 am to
quote:

Valentine isn't the patient decision, it's drafting a win now guy,


No rookie is a win now guy. I have a very hard time believing this FO will actually use and keep a draft pick. We've got 5 years of data suggesting they just don't see value in picks, which is insane considering the team they've had during that time and speaks to the short term thinking they have.

They have some holes that one pick and QPon alone aren't fixing. I liked Fisher's trade down strategy for depth and youth. But, again, that is putting a lot of eggs in the draft basket when this FO has not done so.

quote:

Middleton


This is not going to happen. Middleton/Giannis/Parker is the best collection of young wing talent in the league. All 3 guys are legit. Middleton is 24 and locked up (at $13M!) until 2019. The other two are 21 and rookie controlled. They have no reason to move any of them. Monroe is gone in a year, if not sooner. That team, if they find the right supporting pieces, will be scary in the next couple of years.
Posted by corndeaux
Member since Sep 2009
9634 posts
Posted on 3/10/16 at 11:44 am to
ha. i did the same thing when i read it. was like "wait a minute...."
Posted by TigerinATL
Member since Feb 2005
61512 posts
Posted on 3/10/16 at 11:58 am to
quote:

This is not going to happen


Probably not, but he's a good example of what you'd be aiming for. Jrue's availability came out of left field, there will be some team that wants to hit the reset button and will have a nice starter that they need to move but isn't quite good enough to start a bidding war over, or the team's situation is such that they don't want an open bidding war signalling to fans they're resetting. This year for example, I could see Millsap getting traded out of the blue around the draft if the Hawks know Horford is leaving and feel a reset is the best move. Obviously Teague would be available as well, but that's not unexpected and with him being an expiring he doesn't carry as much value.
This post was edited on 3/10/16 at 11:59 am
Posted by NOFOX
New Orleans
Member since Jan 2014
9947 posts
Posted on 3/10/16 at 12:28 pm to
quote:

Jrue's availability came out of left field


Now we know why though.

quote:

there will be some team that wants to hit the reset button and will have a nice starter that they need to move but isn't quite good enough to start a bidding war over


No team is going to trade an all-star potential player locked up on a contract unless there is serious health concerns. Teams will trade Tobias Harris level talent which doesn't get us anywhere. We need to hit on a draft pick and we cannot miss on our big free agent this year or next.
This post was edited on 3/10/16 at 12:30 pm
Posted by Fun Bunch
New Orleans
Member since May 2008
115906 posts
Posted on 3/10/16 at 12:33 pm to
quote:

No team is going to trade an all-star potential player locked up on a contract unless there is serious health concerns.


It actually happens semi-regularly.
Posted by NOFOX
New Orleans
Member since Jan 2014
9947 posts
Posted on 3/10/16 at 12:39 pm to
quote:

It actually happens semi-regularly.


That was before the cap increases and new contracts. Unless a player forces his way out or has serious baggage, I don't see it happening.

Who can you see being moved that is locked up and has all-star potential for two mid-firsts?
Posted by TigerinATL
Member since Feb 2005
61512 posts
Posted on 3/10/16 at 12:43 pm to
quote:

Teams will trade Tobias Harris level talent which doesn't get us anywhere.


I think you're not taking into account just how many NBA 2k Talent Points we're wasting with injuries and redundancy. Even if Tobias Harris is only Tyreke level talent, if he's healthy and fits our actual roster holes, he's a huge upgrade to what we're trotting out right now. If the team had been fully healthy, the plan was to start Gordon, QPon and Asik. Tobias Harris level talent is easily an upgrade on all 3 of those.
This post was edited on 3/10/16 at 12:44 pm
Posted by NOFOX
New Orleans
Member since Jan 2014
9947 posts
Posted on 3/10/16 at 12:52 pm to
quote:

Tobias Harris level talent is easily an upgrade on all 3 of those.


I meant that while a Tobias level talent makes us better in general it does not have the upside to propel us to contention or close. I fear Tobias level talents get us back to the first round, but provide a more rigid ceiling with little flexibility.

I am also just uncomfortable with this GM making any moves especially burning more picks to acquire flawed players. I feel we desperately need to keep draft picks. Missing on a draft pick is not as bad as missing on a $15M/yr guy. Hitting on a draft pick is also better than hitting on a $15M/yr guy. We are a small market and essentially we need to draft and develop players on cost controlled contracts to provide us with talent and trade assets.
This post was edited on 3/10/16 at 12:53 pm
Posted by TigerinATL
Member since Feb 2005
61512 posts
Posted on 3/10/16 at 1:01 pm to
quote:

I meant that while a Tobias level talent makes us better in general it does not have the upside to propel us to contention.


I disagree. Several days ago people were going back and forth in some thread over whether Draymond Green is a star level offensive player or not and I don't think the answer is yes or no. That system, both the scheme and the roster itself, is making everyone better than they are except maybe Steph who's just unbelievable. Jrue and AD almost scored 80 by themselves last night, you don't need stars next to them, you just need consistently competent.
Posted by Solo
Member since Aug 2008
8245 posts
Posted on 3/10/16 at 1:19 pm to
Need two superstars or three stars. At least if we actually want to win a Championship. Is what it is.
Posted by TigerinATL
Member since Feb 2005
61512 posts
Posted on 3/10/16 at 1:38 pm to
I certainly have my sights set higher than AD/Jrue/Competence but we aren't going to attract anyone until it looks like we're headed in the right direction. Without some lottery luck and assuming we keep Gentry, the quickest path to getting back on track is probably smart team ball like what Atlanta has built. They're on the brink of implosion mostly because their core is too old. If Horford and Millsap were both a contract cycle younger there wouldn't be whispers about blowing it up.
Posted by NOFOX
New Orleans
Member since Jan 2014
9947 posts
Posted on 3/10/16 at 1:43 pm to
quote:

Jrue and AD almost scored 80 by themselves last night, you don't need stars next to them, you just need consistently competent.


You have to find team players to complement them. What does a Tobias Harris level talent do for you above and beyond what could be had in free agency? Harris vs Bazemore? They get you close to the same place, but one does not cost assets. I just find that burning assets to acquire non-stars is a losing proposition. Tobias Harris level talent doesn't make us a contender and removes the potential for real talent locked up for cheap long term.

You need a 3rd scoring option and to develop complementary players around Jrue and AD. You do that through the draft and free agency. That way if you miss in free agency, you hopefully have some young guys who hit. mortgaging the draft to trade for a non-star usually means you are toast if you miss.
Posted by TigerinATL
Member since Feb 2005
61512 posts
Posted on 3/10/16 at 1:52 pm to
quote:

Harris vs Bazemore? They get you close to the same place, but one does not cost assets.


Your overall point about not wanting to burn assets is fair enough, but I think you're missing one very important difference here. Bazemore does cost an asset that Harris doesn't, under the cap cap space. Remember in this scenario you're hoping to sign a guy like Hayward with cap space and then use the trade exception to add another starting caliber player that you otherwise couldn't afford. Now could you do a S&T of Bazemore rather than Harris for a lesser asset? Sure, I wouldn't be against that, the main point of this tangent I got us off on is did the team not trade Ryno in the hopes of creating enough cap space to add 2 starters when they technically would only have the cap space for 1. They probably didn't but the opportunity will still be there and I think it'd be worth giving Sacramento a few hundred thousand to make Ryno a S&T.

Also, this could be essential to you landing a guy like Hayward. Remember the CP3 Lakers Trade that never was? Houston was willing to overpay for Gasol because they had Nene in the bag as a FA if they landed Gasol. If you can promise a FA we have another starting caliber player in the bag, that might make a difference in their consideration of you.
This post was edited on 3/10/16 at 1:55 pm
Posted by NOLA Bronco
Member since Dec 2014
1898 posts
Posted on 3/10/16 at 2:04 pm to
Teams that do not engage in organizational discipline tend to have a short shelf life.

Constantly shedding draft picks for Tobias Harris level players may guarantee you never end up with a Kwame Brown but they also ensure you never end up with a Klay Thompson, Kawhi Leonard or Draymond Green. And I don't just mean talent level, I mean having a franchise player on a good contract that can likely be locked up for their career or traded for a treasure haul if things go south.

This team is not in a position to sell off draft picks unless a superstar demands to play here, which isn't happening anytime soon.
Posted by corndeaux
Member since Sep 2009
9634 posts
Posted on 3/10/16 at 2:23 pm to
quote:

Teams will trade Tobias Harris level talent which doesn't get us anywhere.


I'm actually curious how serious the Pels were about Harris.

Detroit got him for an expiring backup pg and a backup 4 w/ only $400K guaranteed next year. That is nothing. I'd happily have given up Anderson + whatever to get Harris. He is on a good deal for the next 3 years and is a good player, albeit with some flaws.

Teams aren't easily giving up guys locked into contracts as the cap explodes. Middleton is highway robbery at $13m in a $90+m cap. Harris is not as good and more expensive, but still a good deal at 3/$48. That Orlando moved him for an apparent salary dump is sort of crazy

If the Pels could have come into next season with Davis/Holiday/Harris, a 1st, and some depth signings, that's a reasonable foundation for the next few years.
This post was edited on 3/10/16 at 2:25 pm
Posted by LosLobos111
Austere
Member since Feb 2011
45385 posts
Posted on 3/10/16 at 3:07 pm to
quote:

TBW: More fun Jrue-AD stat. Davis is shooting 94-144 (65.3%) inside the arc after receiving a pass from Holiday since January 1st. 
65.3%


TS% is about that high as well
first pageprev pagePage 2 of 2Next pagelast page
refresh

Back to top
logoFollow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News
Follow us on Twitter, Facebook and Instagram to get the latest updates on LSU Football and Recruiting.

FacebookTwitterInstagram