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re: Pels' fight for the 8 seed thread post All-Star/DMC Addition

Posted on 2/25/17 at 10:22 am to
Posted by quail man
New York, NY
Member since May 2010
40925 posts
Posted on 2/25/17 at 10:22 am to
I'm going to try to keep this updated after every game or so.
Posted by jptiger2009
Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2009
9616 posts
Posted on 2/26/17 at 8:35 am to
So...that was a shite show last night. The effort was so up and down. What do they get for tanking, finishing bottom 4 in the league? I thought that our pick was gone? What are the conditions?
Posted by TigerinATL
Member since Feb 2005
61438 posts
Posted on 2/26/17 at 8:36 am to
Top 3 protected so if they win one of the top 3 spots in the lottery they can keep it. (Or trade it)
This post was edited on 2/26/17 at 8:37 am
Posted by jptiger2009
Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2009
9616 posts
Posted on 2/26/17 at 8:46 am to
Roger that. Thanks!

Those can't be great odds.?. Can they?
Posted by TigerinATL
Member since Feb 2005
61438 posts
Posted on 2/26/17 at 8:52 am to
That depends, if we lose out the odds would be decent, but we are losing because everybody but AD/DC look lost after the trade. I expect them to get it together and go streaking before too long.
Posted by SirWinston
PNW
Member since Jul 2014
81341 posts
Posted on 2/26/17 at 11:14 am to
We suck no shot at playoffs
Posted by Crewz
Member since Jun 2014
5093 posts
Posted on 2/26/17 at 11:20 am to
That schedule is tough. Gotta win all three vs Denver and probably go 11-9 in the other game. I would say 20-25% chance
Posted by quail man
New York, NY
Member since May 2010
40925 posts
Posted on 2/26/17 at 11:23 am to
updated after Mavs game. had to add the Mavs back in. that was depressing.
Posted by CelticDog
Member since Apr 2015
42867 posts
Posted on 2/26/17 at 1:51 pm to
quote:

I actually want them to stay at the 8 seed. Pels present a matchup nightmare now in the front court against Golden State.


I agree about the matchup clause, but they are not "staying" at the 8 seed.
They are behind a lot of teams.
I do not see how people are projecting a 65 to 75% likelihood of winning the 8 seed.




Posted by Ghazi
Dallas Mavs 2011 NBA Champions
Member since Dec 2007
16121 posts
Posted on 2/26/17 at 4:26 pm to
Warriors would beat the Pelicans in 4-5 ... "matchup nightmare"
Posted by SirWinston
PNW
Member since Jul 2014
81341 posts
Posted on 2/26/17 at 5:58 pm to
Ghazi who did you vote for
Posted by quail man
New York, NY
Member since May 2010
40925 posts
Posted on 3/1/17 at 9:11 pm to
first post all star break win
Posted by Toula
504
Member since Dec 2006
35399 posts
Posted on 3/2/17 at 9:53 am to
Denver has a chance to pull away with the 8 seed. Just won both nights on a road b2b and now 3 games up.

They come home to play 7 of the next 8. Only road game in this stretch is at Sacramento.


Posted by NOFOX
New Orleans
Member since Jan 2014
9933 posts
Posted on 3/2/17 at 10:13 am to
Denver can pull away, but they also could easily go 4-7 over their next 11 before our matchup.

W's - CHA, SAC, @SAC, LAL
L's - LAC, WAS, BOS, HOU, @HOU, CLE, @IND

Of course, the exact same could be said for us as we play Rockets 2x, Jazz, Raptors, Spurs, Grizzlies, and Heat.
Posted by TigerinATL
Member since Feb 2005
61438 posts
Posted on 3/2/17 at 10:16 am to
quote:

we play Rockets 2x,


Maybe it's because they've absolutely demolished us both times, but it really feels like we've played the Rockets more than twice already. The losses were so bad the Rockettards didn't even bother teasing us about them.

Posted by Toula
504
Member since Dec 2006
35399 posts
Posted on 3/2/17 at 10:23 am to
They are above .500 at home, so don't see them going 3-5 there during this stretch.

Heck, even if they go 4-7 as you say, that's the winning percentage of everyone below them

To have a chance, we need to cut the gap in 1/2 before 3/26.
Posted by TheSexecutioner
Member since Mar 2011
5247 posts
Posted on 3/2/17 at 11:01 am to
quote:

Tough 4 game westcoast road trip meaning tough in the sense that you have to travel to the west coast for 4 games to end the season, not a comment on the caliber of opponents.


Is that tough as far as away games go? Seems like that really cuts down on the travel having all those West Coast games bunched up.
Posted by TheSexecutioner
Member since Mar 2011
5247 posts
Posted on 3/2/17 at 11:13 am to
quote:

To have a chance, we need to cut the gap in 1/2 before 3/26.


Not neccesarily. Nuggets won't be favored in a single game. Unless they are favored at home against us. I'd guess that will be about even. They could easily finish 2-7 and us finish 6-3. We will be favored or a push(@Por and @Den) in all of our games besides 2. @Utah and @GSW.

Honestly, we just need to get it within 3 games or so. Their easy games are coming up and our easy ones are at the end of the season. Win 2 out of 3 and I think we've got it since their schedule is tougher.

Problem is we will lose tiebreaker, so sweeping all 3 would be huge.
Posted by Toula
504
Member since Dec 2006
35399 posts
Posted on 3/2/17 at 11:29 am to
quote:

. Nuggets won't be favored in a single game.


They will be favored against the Kings and Lakers. It doesn't matter anyway, they were dogs last two nights on road and won. They are also 12 pt dogs at home against GS and ran them out of the gym.
Posted by TheSexecutioner
Member since Mar 2011
5247 posts
Posted on 3/2/17 at 12:41 pm to
quote:

They will be favored against the Kings and Lakers. It doesn't matter anyway, they were dogs last two nights on road and won. They are also 12 pt dogs at home against GS and ran them out of the gym.


They do not play the Kings or Lakers after 3/26, which is what I was responding to. The notion that we have to cut it to 2 games before we play the first of our 3 games against them.

They were also substantial favorites over a woefully bad Sacramento team, and they got ran out of the gym. Also favorites against Memphis and they lost that.

The Nuggets were favorites in 3 of the 5 games since All-Star break and won 3 out of 5 games. 2 of those games they were favored against are likely the 2 worst teams in the league. Sacramento and Brooklyn. Their schedule gets tough and they haven't shown themselves to be even a .500 team. No reason to think that they finish the season off beating teams favored than them.

Of course they will steal a couple, but starting 3/16, AD and Boogie in Denver are the easiest of their last 15 games. 5-10 finish is pretty realistic. They honestly won't be favored by more than 2 points for a single game.
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