Started By
Message

Over / Under on Wins: 39

Posted on 10/5/17 at 11:03 pm
Posted by Jrock87
NOLA
Member since Jul 2008
1795 posts
Posted on 10/5/17 at 11:03 pm
I like the over.
Posted by pawel
Warsaw, Poland
Member since Oct 2016
788 posts
Posted on 10/5/17 at 11:57 pm to
Even a fan not high on Pels would take over...
Heck. Most national writers apart from Celtics' Ringer will take over...
Posted by Ryan3232
Valet driver for TD staff
Member since Dec 2008
25787 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 12:42 am to
quote:

Over / Under on Wins: 39



Edit: you comin on the Pels board with a losing record over/under is either you trolling or being a dick or cause its the vegas over/under
This post was edited on 10/6/17 at 4:16 am
Posted by tigerfan88
Member since Jan 2008
8181 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 1:36 am to
That's the vegas over under, not his own personal number
Posted by Ryan3232
Valet driver for TD staff
Member since Dec 2008
25787 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 4:15 am to
Id bet over all day
Posted by TigerinATL
Member since Feb 2005
61440 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 5:58 am to
On paper the combustibility rating for this team is off the charts. You have 3 notorious personalities on this team in Cousins, Rondo and Allen. People are waiting for this thing to blow up after hitting the smallest speed bump. What they don’t realize is these 3 guys all know and like each other, and Rondo has coaches he can yell at in Gentry and Erman that aren’t going to get upset about it and start a him or me power struggle over it like happened in Dallas.

I also think several other teams like Minnesota are getting overrated. There isn’t much separation in the back of the playoff race. There are a bunch of unknowns that will determine who makes the playoffs like injury and whether some of the young offensive stars like KAT and Jokic start playing better defense.
This post was edited on 10/6/17 at 10:57 am
Posted by brmark70816
Atlanta, GA
Member since Feb 2011
9758 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 6:34 am to
I'd take the under. Fully healthy, I think the team would be over .500. But it very top heavy and two of the biggest stars (Davis and Holiday) are very injury prone. I think they finish with around 35 wins..
Posted by cgrand
HAMMOND
Member since Oct 2009
38653 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 7:06 am to
40-43 if reasonably healthy
so...take the over
Posted by Hammond Tiger Fan
Hammond
Member since Oct 2007
16210 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 8:40 am to
I think the Pels will get off to a fast start then they will be just average from the All-Star break forward as teams learn how to defend Rondo, AD, Boogie, and Jrue. I think they will end up around the 45-50 win mark.
This post was edited on 10/6/17 at 8:42 am
Posted by CelticDog
Member since Apr 2015
42867 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 9:02 am to
Under.

No sf to speak of.
No bench.
Rondo big if.

Even if we see all star rondo, the lack of bench will absolutely kill them.
The top teams all have real benches. Those teams will crush the pels.
Pels lead by 5 going into last 3 Minutes of first half, then the bench is swatted aside. Pels hard won lead evaporates. This will happen enough times to demoralize rondo, then cousins will catch the rondo induced idngaf. Pels will also often just get outscored by 20 to 25 at the sf position.
Top end 50
Bottom 25
O/u. 33
I love AD.
The ownership/budget, asik deal, and hill injury snuffs out the pels. God help them if ad or cousins or jrue is out a month and takes 10 games to get back his touch.
That last injury scenario = 25 game win total.
This post was edited on 10/6/17 at 9:06 am
Posted by DeionDeion
New Orleans, LA
Member since Apr 2010
6110 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 9:27 am to
I see all the concerns. Sub-par bench. No real SF. Combustable personalities. I still say over. Mainly because if not, the Pelicans might not have another roster like this for a long time. So it's really hopeful thinking.

I project something like:
1) Warriors
2) Rockets
3) Spurs
4) Thunder
5) Nuggets
6) Wolves
7) Pelicans - 45-37 (last year the 7th seed won 43 games)
8) Jazz

9) Blazers
10) Clippers
11) Kings
12) Grizz
13) Mavs
14) Suns
15) Lakers
This post was edited on 10/6/17 at 9:33 am
Posted by TigerinATL
Member since Feb 2005
61440 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 9:29 am to
quote:

No bench. ...Pels lead by 5 going into last 3 Minutes of first half, then the bench is swatted aside


Jake Madison made it sound like they might not do the same staggering as last year because that was due in part to Cousins poor fitness level which has been corrected. However, if they are still staggering all of your bench concerns are moot. Depth issues if injuries occur are still there, but if they stagger most bench units would have 2 of Rondo/Jrue and AD/DC on them and should outperform most other 2nd units.
This post was edited on 10/6/17 at 9:30 am
Posted by Epic Cajun
Lafayette, LA
Member since Feb 2013
32390 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 10:20 am to
quote:

but if they stagger most bench units would have 2 of Rondo/Jrue and AD/DC on them and should outperform most other 2nd units

There's no excuse (outside of injury) to not have at least one of Rondo/Jrue and one of AD/Cousins on the court at all times.

I think the bench units might actually have a better +/- than the starting/finishing unit.

I thought it was interesting that they went with Jrue/Cousins, as the first bench unit. I just assumed they'd go with Jrue/AD and Rondo/Cousins.
Posted by tigerfan88
Member since Jan 2008
8181 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 10:45 am to
Unless the Cousins/Davis lineup is just killing people, the most logical thing is to stagger them so one is pretty much always in the floor.

If done properly, our "bench" units should be one of our biggest strengths. Start Rondo/Holliday/Cunningham/Davis/Cousins, take out Cousins and Rondo at around the 6 min mark and put in Clark and Moore. Then to start the second quarter go Rondo/Allen/Crawford/Moore(or Clark)/Cousins
Posted by Solo
Member since Aug 2008
8235 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 10:51 am to
Assuming we are healthy, I love the over.
Posted by brmark70816
Atlanta, GA
Member since Feb 2011
9758 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 11:26 am to
So 4 guards, small guards, and Cousins? Plus playing a starter with bench players doesn't make the "bench" stronger. It just masks their weaknesses and forces a lesser player to play with the starters. Who is going to be playing on Davis' squad, when Cousins is resting? Diallo? Other teams will just adjust and stagger their starters as well, to get the best match ups..
Posted by CocoLoco
Member since Jan 2012
29108 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 11:29 am to
Still think they win between 45-50
Posted by DeionDeion
New Orleans, LA
Member since Apr 2010
6110 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 11:31 am to
no question our bench, starters, offense are all better than they were last season. however our bench is still below average and our defense will probably drop due to the Solo injury. and as much grief as we give Solo, his absence seriously hurts us.

from my point of view, we decrease on defense, increase on offense, and increase in our starters & bench. last year we won 34 games. I think the magic # will be about 42. So do our positives from last year push us to +8 games this season? Was our record skewed last season having lost 17 of our first 24 games?

Lots of questions this season.
This post was edited on 10/6/17 at 11:41 am
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
110690 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 11:34 am to
quote:

Still think they win between 45-50

Definitely should if we remain relatively healthy...big if.
Posted by TigerinATL
Member since Feb 2005
61440 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 11:35 am to
quote:

playing a starter with bench players doesn't make the "bench" stronger.


You tell that to the backup big and backup PG trying to defend a Rondo/Boogie P&R with 3 capable 3 point shooters next to them.

quote:

Who is going to be playing on Davis' squad


It will be interesting to see how good the small ball unit is without Hill, but last year the small ball unit that was getting good enough to have made the playoffs had the trade not happened. The staggering units I would expect to see would be

A small ball unit built around Jrue/AD with 3 of Moore/Clark/Miller/Cunningham

A Boogie P&R attack with
Rondo or Crawford at point, Boogie at center and 3 shooters.

quote:

Other teams will just adjust and stagger their starters as well, to get the best match ups.


The problem AD/DC present is that most teams have at best 1 defender good enough to slow 1 of them down. How are they going to stagger that 1 guy? This isn't like Greg Monroe off the bench when we were able to put Asik on him. Boogie will just take 3s and drive if they put an Asik on him.
This post was edited on 10/6/17 at 11:41 am
first pageprev pagePage 1 of 2Next pagelast page

Back to top
logoFollow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News
Follow us on Twitter, Facebook and Instagram to get the latest updates on LSU Football and Recruiting.

FacebookTwitterInstagram