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Not making the playoffs is now a larger than 20% shot

Posted on 4/1/24 at 8:08 pm
Posted by 50_Tiger
Dallas TX
Member since Jan 2016
40077 posts
Posted on 4/1/24 at 8:08 pm
FML
Posted by jmcwhrter
Member since Nov 2012
6559 posts
Posted on 4/1/24 at 8:10 pm to
Still not sure why you guys are shocked..

We have played pretty meh all year against good teams - especially at home - and the only teams left on our schedule are good teams
Posted by Geauxldninja
Member since May 2018
1466 posts
Posted on 4/1/24 at 8:11 pm to
This take is incorrect. Pels have been good against good teams, they’ve been meh in a lot of games they should have won.
Posted by jmcwhrter
Member since Nov 2012
6559 posts
Posted on 4/1/24 at 8:16 pm to
Just like last year when we ran out to 1st in the west for a while, we beat good teams who were missing some of their best players.

I know BI is out but how many games against playoff teams did the other side sit on of their bwst?
Posted by DatPelican
TX
Member since May 2018
494 posts
Posted on 4/1/24 at 8:30 pm to
It happened last year and it’s happening again right now.

We should get some Summer Zion videos though to start the cycle over again..
Posted by BigPerm30
Member since Aug 2011
25897 posts
Posted on 4/1/24 at 8:31 pm to
quote:

This take is incorrect. Pels have been good against good teams, they’ve been meh in a lot of games they should have won.


I hate this. We beat good teams with injured players, resting players, etc. This team has only a handful of really good wins. Crunch time wins are not this teams specialty
Posted by J_Hingle
LA
Member since Jun 2013
5105 posts
Posted on 4/1/24 at 8:38 pm to
I think they’re like 8-14 against the top 6 teams in each conference
Posted by TeddyPadillac
Member since Dec 2010
25484 posts
Posted on 4/1/24 at 9:11 pm to
It’s unbelievable how many times I have to tell you dumbasses this.
The Pels are 1 of 9 teams in the league with a winning record against teams over .500. We are 25-22 about to be 23.

The clippers are one game over .500. The Mavs are 3 games under .500.


We are going to win 50 games this year and we are going to all be pissed huh.
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
110774 posts
Posted on 4/1/24 at 9:16 pm to
quote:

We are going to win 50 games this year and we are going to all be pissed huh.
The play in is a real possibility, go ahead and crown it if you want to.
Posted by Geauxldninja
Member since May 2018
1466 posts
Posted on 4/1/24 at 9:30 pm to
You say teams without their star players but you’re talking out of your arse. We’re playing without BI fyi and didn’t have Trey Murphy for extended periods. The facts are we have been pretty good against good teams.
Posted by Pels_Yaz
Member since Apr 2023
8740 posts
Posted on 4/1/24 at 9:35 pm to
quote:

It’s unbelievable how many times I have to tell you dumbasses this. The Pels are 1 of 9 teams in the league with a winning record against teams over .500. We are 25-22 about to be 23. The clippers are one game over .500. The Mavs are 3 games under .500. We are going to win 50 games this year and we are going to all be pissed huh.


Stop it. There were so many things wrong with this game. Every fan has a right to be pissed. The energy, gameplan, rotations, coaching, etc. it was honestly absurd for this time of the year in s crucial game to have these issues. Fans have EVERY right to bash this team tonight- its deserved!
Posted by TeddyPadillac
Member since Dec 2010
25484 posts
Posted on 4/1/24 at 9:38 pm to
quote:

Stop it. There were so many things wrong with this game. Every fan has a right to be pissed.


You are mistaking my thoughts here.
Tonight was a shite show and anyone and everyone should be pissed.


I was sitting way in the back and sitting very quietly on the fire Willie bus unlike others that have been leading that bus for weeks/months, but I got no problem taking the wheel of that bus now.
Posted by Pels_Yaz
Member since Apr 2023
8740 posts
Posted on 4/1/24 at 9:40 pm to
quote:

You are mistaking my thoughts here. Tonight was a shite show and anyone and everyone should be pissed. I was sitting way in the back and sitting very quietly on the fire Willie bus unlike others that have been leading that bus for weeks/months, but I got no problem taking the wheel of that bus now.


Ok gotchya. My bad. I misread that.
Posted by bengalmd
Baton Rouge
Member since May 2021
4491 posts
Posted on 4/1/24 at 10:42 pm to
The first half of the season, we lost games we should not have lost against sub-par teams, but did pretty well against better teams. The second half of the season, for which we were healthier as a whole than most teams, it’s been the opposite. The later you get into the season, the more it becomes like playoff basketball, with teams jockeying for playoff position and more physical play being allowed. Haven’t missed seeing a game this year, and watch a lot of the games of teams around us in the standings. The “dumbasses” are much more in tune with reality than you are, unfortunately. Dallas would absolutely smoke the Pels in a 7 game series. Just watch the remaining games of the season and see where we stand. BI helps, but most of the same weaknesses still exist for this time of year.
Posted by ForeverEllisHugh
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2016
14791 posts
Posted on 4/1/24 at 10:53 pm to
They’re not losing out. However the play-in is looking increasingly likely
Posted by Who_Dat_Tiger
Member since Nov 2015
17427 posts
Posted on 4/1/24 at 11:22 pm to
quote:

We are going to win 50 games this year and we are going to all be pissed huh.
I would be elated. We’re more likely to go 2-5 than 5-2 though in our current form and without BI
Posted by WaltWhite504
Member since Sep 2021
1323 posts
Posted on 4/2/24 at 9:00 am to
quote:

the play-in is looking increasingly likely


6 seed is more likely if you look at remaining schedule of the competition

Remaining Suns Games

Cavs
TWolves
Pels
2x Clippers BtB
Kings
Twolves


Remaining Kings Games

Clippers
Knicks
Celtics
Nets
Thunder
Pels
Suns
Blazers


Posted by purplepylon
NOLA & Laffy
Member since Nov 2005
7770 posts
Posted on 4/2/24 at 9:11 am to
We go 4-3 in our last seven and we get the 6 seed even if one of those losses is in Phoenix. In this case, the Suns could only lose two of these games to get the 6 seed.
quote:

Remaining Suns Games

Cavs
TWolves
Pels
2x Clippers BtB
Kings
Twolves


Wolves are in a 3 way fight for the 1 seed. Clippers are in fight with Dallas for the 4. Kings trying to stay out of the 9v10. Nobody on their schedule is taking a night off.

We beat SA, POR then all we'd have to find is 2 more wins out of Orl, GS, Sac, LAL and Phx. If we can't do that then we really crapped the bed
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
110774 posts
Posted on 4/2/24 at 9:49 am to
quote:

Not making the playoffs is now a larger than 20% shot

How are you arriving at this number?

I'd ask:

- What % chance do we fall to the 7 seed
- What % chance do we lose to the 8 seed at home
- What % chance do we lose to the 9/10 winner at home



Would be tough to see how that arrives at 20%, but not sure if you just made it up on the fly or saw somewhere where above 20% was actually a thing.

Per BRef, we're 85% to finish in the top 6 and 97.6% to be in the playoffs. Per PlayoffStatus it's 92%. Per ESPN, 95.3%
Posted by 50_Tiger
Dallas TX
Member since Jan 2016
40077 posts
Posted on 4/2/24 at 9:59 am to
quote:

We beat SA, POR then all we'd have to find is 2 more wins out of Orl, GS, Sac, LAL and Phx.



Orl: We havent beaten them in what seems like forever
GS: Fighitng for their lives and were on a road b2b
Sac: We should win this as they have injuries

That leaves LAL and Phx

We cant beat Phx and the LAL have the refs
This post was edited on 4/2/24 at 9:59 am
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