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re: Which projected mediocre MLB team has the best chance to make the playoffs
Posted on 1/31/17 at 7:25 pm to Lester Earl
Posted on 1/31/17 at 7:25 pm to Lester Earl
quote:
bad teams are generally unlucky.
Maybe it's the other way around. Maybe really unlucky teams are mistakenly thought of as bad? The Red Sox and Cubs were two of the unluckiest teams in baseball last year according BaseRuns and they obviously were really good.
I do agree the Rays run production has some major questions, but what team in the AL outside of Boston, Cleveland and maybe Houston doesn't have major questions?
1
Posted on 1/31/17 at 7:31 pm to The Seaward
quote:
Maybe it's the other way around. Maybe really unlucky teams are mistakenly thought of as bad? The Red Sox and Cubs were two of the unluckiest teams in baseball last year according BaseRuns and they obviously were really good.
maybe. I just look up and down that lineup and there aren't many guys night in and night out that scare you.
quote:
I do agree the Rays run production has some major questions, but what team in the AL outside of Boston, Cleveland and maybe Houston doesn't have major questions?
i feel like we know what most teams will be. Balt, TEX, TOR, SEA, DET are other teams im comfortable saying are better than TB.
Posted on 1/31/17 at 7:38 pm to Lester Earl
This is two years in a row Baltimore hasn't received any love. Early offseason last year, I jumped on them as a postseason team. They had something like the 10th worst odds, bottom 3rd...
I'm not sure why they couldn't do it again.
The Rockies are intriguing. Their lineup will be potent...again. They have a big gap in the division between the top and bottom. They could feast on the Padres and DBacks and be in a nice spot.
If the closer spot is indeed solidified and they hold on to 9th inning leads, they can get away with subpar pitching. Maybe Jon Gray can have a bit of a breakout?
I'm not sure why they couldn't do it again.
The Rockies are intriguing. Their lineup will be potent...again. They have a big gap in the division between the top and bottom. They could feast on the Padres and DBacks and be in a nice spot.
If the closer spot is indeed solidified and they hold on to 9th inning leads, they can get away with subpar pitching. Maybe Jon Gray can have a bit of a breakout?
This post was edited on 1/31/17 at 7:41 pm
Posted on 1/31/17 at 7:45 pm to Lester Earl
quote:
Balt, TEX, TOR, SEA, DET are other teams im comfortable saying are better than TB.
fair enough. I feel all those teams are kind of bundled together and I don't really feel comfortable ranking any of them.
quote:
Maybe Jon Gray can have a bit of a breakout?
I think he had a breakout last year, it's just hard to tell because of Coors Field. Another leap forward would go a long way for them though.
Posted on 1/31/17 at 7:46 pm to WestCoastAg
The Brewers.
Posted on 1/31/17 at 7:47 pm to WestCoastAg
Pirates and Orioles would be my top two. The Orioles annually beat their projections. (Baloo's post has been made).
Rockies are interesting as I think some projections underrate multiple players for them.
Rockies are interesting as I think some projections underrate multiple players for them.
Posted on 1/31/17 at 7:50 pm to Vicks Kennel Club
quote:
Rockies are interesting as I think some projections underrate multiple players for them.
Dave Cameron had a post this week on how ZIPS is much higher on multiple Rockies players than Steamer.
Posted on 1/31/17 at 7:58 pm to The Seaward
I noticed that Steamer projections are WAY too low on Charlie Blackmon and probably too low on Cargo and Dahl. Then, I saw Cameron's article. At least I noticed a few first. 
Posted on 1/31/17 at 8:45 pm to goldennugget
The Astros won 81 games last season while missing their best pitcher for 75% of the season. Combine that with the young talented pitchers that only played the final month and a half of the year and the offensive hitters they acquired in FA. It's not unreasonable to see them winning 9 more games than last season.
This post was edited on 1/31/17 at 8:49 pm
Posted on 1/31/17 at 8:52 pm to Waldeaux24
The Astros are currently projected to win 90 games on Fangraphs.
Posted on 1/31/17 at 9:08 pm to The Seaward
quote:
I think the real joke is the Astros projected to win 90 games with that rotation At best its 4th best rotation in the division
I know. My post was in response to this.
Posted on 1/31/17 at 9:51 pm to Waldeaux24
That makes sense. I originally misread it that you thought the Astros were a "projected mediocre team". My bad.
Posted on 1/31/17 at 10:00 pm to WestCoastAg
Royals.
Based on nothing but good old fashioned hope
Based on nothing but good old fashioned hope
Posted on 1/31/17 at 10:05 pm to Lester Earl
Pirates, but it comes down to their pitching. They have some highly touted young pitching. If those guys can move in and give them innings and a chance, they can win the WC.
Posted on 2/1/17 at 5:01 am to WestCoastAg
Pirates
Posted on 2/1/17 at 1:06 pm to WestCoastAg
I wouldnt be surprised to see the Braves make a playoff run this year. Loaded with young talent
Posted on 2/1/17 at 1:15 pm to Lester Earl
quote:
i feel like we know what most teams will be. Balt, TEX, TOR, SEA, DET are other teams im comfortable saying are better than TB.
I feel like we (Texas) are becoming the St. Louis of the AL. We shouldn't be good, yet we find a way to make the postseason.
And with that comparison I mean we are the same aside from actually winning shite in the playoffs. I am somewhat optimistic this year though, I think a healthy Darvish will make a big difference.
Posted on 2/1/17 at 1:27 pm to McCaigBro69
The Marlins
Their ownership is rock solid
Their ownership is rock solid
Posted on 2/1/17 at 1:28 pm to SoFla Tideroller
also, their projections just had a dramatic shift today
Posted on 2/1/17 at 1:31 pm to WestCoastAg
Been hunting all morning and watching NSD coverage. What's up with the Marlins?
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